Research from Superfluous Value, Superfluous Value

Superfluous Value

Research from Superfluous Value

Stock selection has rarely been as important as it is today. After a roaring decade for US markets and with signs of mania everywhere, the S&P 500 as over-priced as it has ever been.

But, there is better way. Superfluous Value is a contrarian, deep-dive into the markets forgotten by the 60/40 instos and indexing, momentum chasers. Where the hot money has long moved on, it leaves behind investments offering great safety and prospective returns.

I believe the 2020s will look diametrically opposite to the recent past, with Emerging Markets, the UK, Japan and commodities set to rip and I intend to be holding the best opportunities available as they do.

Please feel free to come along on the journey.

Contrarian Deep-Dive into the Markets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>It was the sort of year that may only come once in a career.</li><li>Almost everything worked as the markets finally looked beyond US tech to Asian holdcos, commodities and EM value.</li><li>The level of outperformance was particularly surprising given the AI bubble and crypto/meme silliness rage on and that I began the year with 24% cash.</li></ul>

It was the sort of year that may only come once in a career.Almost everything worked as the markets finally looked beyond US tech to Asian holdcos, commodities and EM value.The level of outperformance was particularly surprising given the AI bubble and crypto/meme silliness rage on and that I began the year with 24% cash.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.</li><li>But today, it’s particularly worth pointing out that an unusually large number of UK stocks are down significantly over the last month.</li><li>Many are for business specific reasons, but it’s almost uncanny the way UK stocks find a way to tank, even when much of the world is rallying.</li></ul>

The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.But today, it’s particularly worth pointing out that an unusually large number of UK stocks are down significantly over the last month.Many are for business specific reasons, but it’s almost uncanny the way UK stocks find a way to tank, even when much of the world is rallying.

<ul><li>Rules are made to be broken. While I have generally followed a practice of backing away slowly from any company mentioning AI or TAM in recent times, this week I bought shares in a “tech-led, new age/new era digital advertising, marketing and technology services company” at a highly depressed valuation.</li><li><p>While the tech sector and its tie-ins haven’t been the place to find value lately, S4 Capital has declined to an attractive price through a combination of industry cyclicality, operational mis-steps and a UK listing.</p></li><li><p>The stock is down an astonishing 95% from its heady, post-covid days to the point of trading for less than a quarter of the capital invested since its founding. </p></li></ul>

Rules are made to be broken. While I have generally followed a practice of backing away slowly from any company mentioning AI or TAM in recent times, this week I bought shares in a “tech-led, new age/new era digital advertising, marketing and technology services company” at a highly depressed valuation.While the tech sector and its tie-ins haven’t been the place to find value lately, S4 Capital has declined to an attractive price through a combination of industry cyclicality, operational mis-steps and a UK listing.The stock is down an astonishing 95% from its heady, post-covid days to the point of trading for less than a quarter of the capital invested since its founding. 

United Kingdom

S4 Capital is a digital advertising, marketing, and technology services company. It builds a purely digital advertising and marketing services business for global, multinational, regional, and local clients, focusing on content, data & digital media, and technology services. The company was established in May 2018 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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S4 Capital (SFOR LN)

2025 Portfolio Review

The level of outperformance was particularly surprising given the AI bubble and crypto/meme silliness rage on and that I began the year with 24% cash.

Superfluous Value

Noteworthy UK Carnage

The UK remains one of my favourite hunting grounds and I’ve written about its challenges ad nauseam over the last few years.

Superfluous Value

S4 Capital: When Knights Cry

The stock is down an astonishing 95% from its heady, post-covid days to the point of trading for less than a quarter of the capital invested since...

Superfluous Value

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