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Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>Decline in global exploration puts future energy supplies partially at risk.</li><li>Last week, the IEA announced that it now expects world oil demand to decline 2.5 million barrels per day this year compared with its prior estimate of 1.6 million barrels per day.</li><li>Despite the near-term demand concerns, continued relatively low levels of exploration spending could result in future oil supplies below global demand. </li></ul>

Decline in global exploration puts future energy supplies partially at risk.Last week, the IEA announced that it now expects world oil demand to decline 2.5 million barrels per day this year compared with its prior estimate of 1.6 million barrels per day.Despite the near-term demand concerns, continued relatively low levels of exploration spending could result in future oil supplies below global demand. 

Energy Roundup : Oil Prices Advance Ever Higher

<ul><li>Global oil supplies have experienced massive disruptions in 2026. </li><li>A major news agency published a report last week stating that nearly half the world’s oil is supplied by countries affected by conflicts this year, including the ongoing Iran war and the expansion into other Middle East countries (which has resulted in the largest oil supply crisis on record), the Russia-Ukraine war, conflicts in Libya, and US restrictions on Venezuelan oil exports at ?the start of the year. </li><li>Reuters calculated that countries affected by those conflicts together produced ~45 million barrels of oil per day based on 2025 output, representing more than 43% of the global oil supply (Figure 1).</li></ul>

Global oil supplies have experienced massive disruptions in 2026. A major news agency published a report last week stating that nearly half the world’s oil is supplied by countries affected by conflicts this year, including the ongoing Iran war and the expansion into other Middle East countries (which has resulted in the largest oil supply crisis on record), the Russia-Ukraine war, conflicts in Libya, and US restrictions on Venezuelan oil exports at ?the start of the year. Reuters calculated that countries affected by those conflicts together produced ~45 million barrels of oil per day based on 2025 output, representing more than 43% of the global oil supply (Figure 1).

Global Energy Security Remains Stressed as Renewed Fighting Pushes Prices Higher

<ul><li>Residential electricity price spike shines a light on data center power usage. </li><li>Residential electricity prices rose sharply across much of the US between 2021 and 2025, with a meaningful number of utilities recording compound annual growth rates well above general inflation.</li><li>The Electric Power Monthly report published by the Energy Information Administration shows that US average residential electricity rates increased 6.1% per year during 2021-2025 and has jumped another ~9% so far this year (Figure 1). </li></ul>

Residential electricity price spike shines a light on data center power usage. Residential electricity prices rose sharply across much of the US between 2021 and 2025, with a meaningful number of utilities recording compound annual growth rates well above general inflation.The Electric Power Monthly report published by the Energy Information Administration shows that US average residential electricity rates increased 6.1% per year during 2021-2025 and has jumped another ~9% so far this year (Figure 1). 

States Push Back on Data Center Projects; US Military De-Escalation Calms Oil Markets

<ul><li>US oil rig count advances to highest level in 14 months. </li><li>In its latest weekly report released on August 14, Baker Hughes stated the US active oil rigs rose by one to 455 rigs this week, the highest level since late May 2025 (Figure 1). </li><li>With the West Texas Intermediate benchmark oil price up 24% (to $83/bbl this week) since the start of the Iran war on February 28, the US oil rig count has increased by 47 rigs as operators gain confidence that higher oil prices could remain higher for longer due to the war-related oil supply disruptions. </li></ul>

US oil rig count advances to highest level in 14 months. In its latest weekly report released on August 14, Baker Hughes stated the US active oil rigs rose by one to 455 rigs this week, the highest level since late May 2025 (Figure 1). With the West Texas Intermediate benchmark oil price up 24% (to $83/bbl this week) since the start of the Iran war on February 28, the US oil rig count has increased by 47 rigs as operators gain confidence that higher oil prices could remain higher for longer due to the war-related oil supply disruptions. 

Energy Roundup : US Oil Rig Count Continues to Climb; No Middle East Peace Negotiation Progress

<ul><li>Replenishing oil reserves likely to set higher near-term oil price floor. </li><li>Regardless of when the latest Iran war military escalation hopefully ends in another ceasefire and resumption of peace negotiations, we expect crude oil demand to refill global oil inventories and strategic petroleum reserves will provide upward pressure on oil prices, resulting in a higher floor price than would otherwise be expected. </li><li>As Figure 1 highlights, the additional crude oil demand associated with replenishing global stockpiles could exceed 500 thousand barrels per day and continue at least throughout 2027. </li></ul>

Replenishing oil reserves likely to set higher near-term oil price floor. Regardless of when the latest Iran war military escalation hopefully ends in another ceasefire and resumption of peace negotiations, we expect crude oil demand to refill global oil inventories and strategic petroleum reserves will provide upward pressure on oil prices, resulting in a higher floor price than would otherwise be expected. As Figure 1 highlights, the additional crude oil demand associated with replenishing global stockpiles could exceed 500 thousand barrels per day and continue at least throughout 2027. 

Energy Roundup : Restocking Global Oil Storage Should Pressure Oil Prices...

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Sable Offshore Corp. operates as an oil and gas company. The Company focuses on developing the prolific Santa Ynez Unit in federal waters offshore. Sable Offshore Sable Offshore conducts its business in the United States.

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Sable Offshore (SOC US)

Energy Roundup : Oil Prices Advance Ever Higher

Last week, the IEA announced that it now expects world oil demand to decline 2.5 million barrels per day this year compared with its prior estimate...

Water Tower Research

Global Energy Security Remains Stressed as Renewed Fighting Pushes Prices Higher

A major news agency published a report last week stating that nearly half the world’s oil is supplied by countries affected by conflicts this...

Water Tower Research

States Push Back on Data Center Projects; US Military De-Escalation Calms Oil Markets

Residential electricity prices rose sharply across much of the US between 2021 and 2025, with a meaningful number of utilities recording compound...

Water Tower Research

Energy Roundup : US Oil Rig Count Continues to Climb; No Middle East Peace Negotiation Progress

In its latest weekly report released on August 14, Baker Hughes stated the US active oil rigs rose by one to 455 rigs this week, the highest level...

Water Tower Research

Energy Roundup : Restocking Global Oil Storage Should Pressure Oil Prices...

Regardless of when the latest Iran war military escalation hopefully ends in another ceasefire and resumption of peace negotiations, we expect...

Water Tower Research

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