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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these months</li><li>The scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoY</li><li>We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these monthsThe scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoYWe estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

<ul><li>Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/share</li><li>Cement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAP</li><li>Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/shareCement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAPReported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We visited Sagar Cements’ recently-acquired SGU of Andhra Cement and its 1.5mn MT SGU—both of which are in Visakhapatnam</li><li>Sagar is scrapping the grinding plant (Andhra Cements’) and preparing it to sell off the land parcel (107 acres, proximity to residential areas)</li><li>We believe the timely sale of the land parcel at a proper rate can deleverage as well as rerate the company</li><li>Sagar’s operational SGU at Visakhapatnam is GreenCo platinum-certified, manufacturing all types of cement and is majorly operating on green power</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We visited Sagar Cements’ recently-acquired SGU of Andhra Cement and its 1.5mn MT SGU—both of which are in VisakhapatnamSagar is scrapping the grinding plant (Andhra Cements’) and preparing it to sell off the land parcel (107 acres, proximity to residential areas)We believe the timely sale of the land parcel at a proper rate can deleverage as well as rerate the companySagar’s operational SGU at Visakhapatnam is GreenCo platinum-certified, manufacturing all types of cement and is majorly operating on green powerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sagar Cements: Gearing up to Monetise the Andhra Land

<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)</li><li>Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of deposits</li><li>With limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lower</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of depositsWith limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lowerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

India

Sagar Cements Ltd. produces and distributes portland cement.  The Company offers slag, super grade, and special sulphate resistance cements.

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Sagar Cements (SGC IN)

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan, NCC

Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6%...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Sagar Cements: Gearing up to Monetise the Andhra Land

Sagar is scrapping the grinding plant (Andhra Cements’) and preparing it to sell off the land parcel (107 acres, proximity to residential areas)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

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