IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a>, a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, has filed for a US$1.0 billion IPO to list on Nasdaq.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vinfast-auto-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85901" rel="noopener">VinFast Auto IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and liability exposure to ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>



VinFast (1905332D VN), a Vietnamese EV manufacturer and a majority-owned affiliate of Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), has filed for a US$1.0 billion IPO to list on Nasdaq.
In VinFast Auto IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and liability exposure to ICE vehicles.


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers are pulling out all the stops to lure buyers into placing orders by the end of 2022, before subsidies for new-energy vehicle (NEV) purchases are completely phased out</li><li>Carmakers are adopting these sales strategies because they want to “get in ahead of rivals” to secure as many orders as possible before 2023 amid growing speculation that China’s passenger NEV market will likely enter a phase of readjustment</li><li>Government subsidies were introduced in 2010 to spur the growth of the industry — alongside other support policies such as tax breaks for buyers</li></ul>

Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers are pulling out all the stops to lure buyers into placing orders by the end of 2022, before subsidies for new-energy vehicle (NEV) purchases are completely phased outCarmakers are adopting these sales strategies because they want to “get in ahead of rivals” to secure as many orders as possible before 2023 amid growing speculation that China’s passenger NEV market will likely enter a phase of readjustmentGovernment subsidies were introduced in 2010 to spur the growth of the industry — alongside other support policies such as tax breaks for buyers

China’s EV-Makers Race to Secure Orders Before Subsidies End

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its mark</li><li>China eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaul</li><li>Xi to visit Saudi Arabia to boost relations in the Middle East</li></ul>

In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its markChina eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaulXi to visit Saudi Arabia to boost relations in the Middle East

CX Daily: Beijing Stock Exchange Fights to Make Its Mark

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.</li>
<li>There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.</li>
</ul>


Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.
Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.
There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

<ul>
<li>China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Ministry of Finance extended the exemption on 10% purchase taxes for new energy vehicles (NEVs) until the end of 2023</li>
<li>The government has been signaling the third extension of the purchase-tax exemption since July.</li>
<li>In August, Premier Li Keqiang told a State Council executive meeting that the tax exemptions will amount to 100 billion yuan ($14 billion)</li>
</ul>


China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Ministry of Finance extended the exemption on 10% purchase taxes for new energy vehicles (NEVs) until the end of 2023
The government has been signaling the third extension of the purchase-tax exemption since July.
In August, Premier Li Keqiang told a State Council executive meeting that the tax exemptions will amount to 100 billion yuan ($14 billion)


China Extends NEV Purchase Tax Exemption Another Year

China

SAIC Motor Corporation Ltd., through joint ventures, manufactures and markets automobiles and related parts and accessories.

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SAIC Motor (600104 CH)

VinFast Auto IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case are a lack of brand recognition, questionable ability to generate profits, the precarious state of financing and...

Arun George

China’s EV-Makers Race to Secure Orders Before Subsidies End

Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers are pulling out all the stops to lure buyers into placing orders by the end of 2022, before subsidies...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Beijing Stock Exchange Fights to Make Its Mark

In Depth: Beijing Stock Exchange fights to make its mark. China eases quarantine rules, lifts travel test requirements in Covid policy overhaul

Caixin Global

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

China Extends NEV Purchase Tax Exemption Another Year

China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Ministry of Finance extended the exemption on 10% purchase taxes for new energy...

Caixin Global

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