Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fpt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4290:1" rel="noopener">FPT Corp,</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vietnam-airlines-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24134:1" rel="noopener">Vietnam Airlines Jsc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saigon-thuong-tin-commercial-joint-stock-bank-sacombank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:650:1" rel="noopener">Sacombank</a> and Gelex Electricity Jsc will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 19 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.5% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$112m. There are a couple of stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflow will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/masan-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23075:1" rel="noopener">Masan Group (MSN VN)</a> following a large increase in the free float for the stock.</li>
</ul>



FPT Corp,Vietnam Airlines Jsc, Sacombank and Gelex Electricity Jsc will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 19 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.5% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$112m. There are a couple of stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
The largest passive inflow will be in Masan Group (MSN VN) following a large increase in the free float for the stock.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 9.5% Turnover; US$112m Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. </li><li>Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in 1H25, marking a sharp acceleration of 6%p (1Q25: 3.9%).</li><li> This surge in credit expansion was not merely market-driven, but also stemmed from decisive policy guidance. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in 1H25, marking a sharp acceleration of 6%p (1Q25: 3.9%). This surge in credit expansion was not merely market-driven, but also stemmed from decisive policy guidance. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 2Q25 Update and Outlook - Dual Mandate

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><p style="text-align: justify;">We increase our target price (TP) for STB by 17.5% to VND43,700/share and maintain our BUY rating.</p></li><li>Our higher TP is due to (1) the positive impact of rolling our TP horizon forward to end-2025F, which outweighs (2) a 2.7% decrease in our aggregate 2024-2028F projected NPAT (-7.6%/-3.8%/-3.5%/-2.8%/+1.4% in 2024/25/26/27/28F, respectively). <p style="text-align: justify;"></p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;">We lower our aggregate 2024-2028F net income forecast primarily due to a 7.4% reduction in aggregate NOII, driven by higher-than-expected 2024F expenses for fee and transaction services.</p></li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We increase our target price (TP) for STB by 17.5% to VND43,700/share and maintain our BUY rating.Our higher TP is due to (1) the positive impact of rolling our TP horizon forward to end-2025F, which outweighs (2) a 2.7% decrease in our aggregate 2024-2028F projected NPAT (-7.6%/-3.8%/-3.5%/-2.8%/+1.4% in 2024/25/26/27/28F, respectively). We lower our aggregate 2024-2028F net income forecast primarily due to a 7.4% reduction in aggregate NOII, driven by higher-than-expected 2024F expenses for fee and transaction services.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

STB [BUY +31.2%] - VAMC Collateral Sale to Boost CAR Ratio in 2025F; Attractive Valuation - Update

<ul><li>Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).</li><li>This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.</li><li>Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

<ul><li>Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging.</li><li>Banks under our coverage reported higher credit growth for 9M 2024 compared to the industry average (11.3% vs 9.0%), with standout performances from private banks like TCB (+17.5%), HDB (+16.6%), ACB (+13.8%), and LPB (+16.1%).</li><li>System-wide deposit growth in 7M 2024 remained weak at around 1.7%. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging.Banks under our coverage reported higher credit growth for 9M 2024 compared to the industry average (11.3% vs 9.0%), with standout performances from private banks like TCB (+17.5%), HDB (+16.6%), ACB (+13.8%), and LPB (+16.1%).System-wide deposit growth in 7M 2024 remained weak at around 1.7%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3 2024 Banking Earnings Wrap-Up - Resilient Earnings Growth Despite NIM Contraction

Vietnam

Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Joint-Stock Bank, known as Sacombank, operates various personal and corporate banking services such as deposits, foreign exchange transactions, loans, outward transfer, and international payments.

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Sacombank (STB VN)

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: 4 Adds; 9.5% Turnover; US$112m Trade

FPT Group, Vietnam Airlines, Sacombank, Gelex Electricity will be added to the index. Big float increase for Gelex Elec. Estimated one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Banking Sector - 2Q25 Update and Outlook - Dual Mandate

Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in...

Mirae Asset Securities

STB [BUY +31.2%] - VAMC Collateral Sale to Boost CAR Ratio in 2025F; Attractive Valuation - Update

We increase our target price (TP) for STB by 17.5% to VND43,700/share and maintain our BUY rating. Our higher TP is due to (1) the positive impact...

Vietcap

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24,...

Mirae Asset Securities

Q3 2024 Banking Earnings Wrap-Up - Resilient Earnings Growth Despite NIM Contraction

Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging. Banks under our coverage reported higher...

Vietcap

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)