Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope &amp; Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.</li>
<li>The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. </li>
<li>Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.</li>
</ul>


There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope &amp; Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.
The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. 
Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.


5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down - Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

<ul>
<li>Key insiders at Seoul City Gas (017390 KS) and Daou Data Corp (032190 KS) sold their shares before the recent crash.</li>
<li>On 28 April, it was reported that Kim Young-Min (Seoul City Gas Chairman) sold 2% of Seoul City Gas on 20 April, resulting in net sales of 45.7 billion won.</li>
<li>These Korean companies are two of the eight stocks related to the CFD derivatives sell-down that have been crashing in the past week. </li>
</ul>


Key insiders at Seoul City Gas (017390 KS) and Daou Data Corp (032190 KS) sold their shares before the recent crash.
On 28 April, it was reported that Kim Young-Min (Seoul City Gas Chairman) sold 2% of Seoul City Gas on 20 April, resulting in net sales of 45.7 billion won.
These Korean companies are two of the eight stocks related to the CFD derivatives sell-down that have been crashing in the past week. 


Insiders At Seoul City Gas and Daou Data Corp Sell Shares Before the Crash

<ul>
<li>The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment &amp; Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions of 8 stocks related to CFD selling.  </li>
<li>The balance of credit loans for KOSPI increased 12.7% YTD. On the other hand, the balance of credit loans for KOSDAQ increased by 36.1% YTD. </li>
<li>As local securities companies further reduce credit loans and regulators also restrict CFD related leverage, a sound pair trade could be to go long KOSPI 200 and short KOSDAQ 150. </li>
</ul>


The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment &amp; Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions of 8 stocks related to CFD selling.  
The balance of credit loans for KOSPI increased 12.7% YTD. On the other hand, the balance of credit loans for KOSDAQ increased by 36.1% YTD. 
As local securities companies further reduce credit loans and regulators also restrict CFD related leverage, a sound pair trade could be to go long KOSPI 200 and short KOSDAQ 150. 


Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives.</li>
<li>As a result of the CFD related margin call selling, the following are the major impact on the 8 related stocks and the overall Korean stock market in our view.</li>
<li>They include a) overshooting on the downside on 8 related names, b) negative impact on the major rechargeable battery names, and c) negative impact on the overall Korean stock market. </li>
</ul>


The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives.
As a result of the CFD related margin call selling, the following are the major impact on the 8 related stocks and the overall Korean stock market in our view.
They include a) overshooting on the downside on 8 related names, b) negative impact on the major rechargeable battery names, and c) negative impact on the overall Korean stock market. 


A Crash in 8 Korean Stocks Related to CFD Derivatives: Margin Call in Korea

South Korea

Samchully Co., Ltd. an energy company, specializes in distributing liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Incheon City and the Gyeonggi area.  The Company also distributes gas equipment including gas heaters, ranges, and ovens.  In addition, Samchully operates discount store and real estate leasing business.

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Samchully (004690 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

Insiders At Seoul City Gas and Daou Data Corp Sell Shares Before the Crash

Key insiders at Seoul City Gas and Daou Data sold their shares before the recent crash.These Korean companies are two of the eight stocks related...

Douglas Kim

Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment & Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down - Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today, which could have been due to another round of CFD derivatives related margin...

Douglas Kim

Insiders At Seoul City Gas and Daou Data Corp Sell Shares Before the Crash

Key insiders at Seoul City Gas and Daou Data sold their shares before the recent crash.These Korean companies are two of the eight stocks related...

Douglas Kim

Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment & Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions...

Douglas Kim

A Crash in 8 Korean Stocks Related to CFD Derivatives: Margin Call in Korea

The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives. We discuss the major...

Douglas Kim