Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The A16 chip Samsung fabs is mainly for real-time inference in Tesla’s FSD cars, not data-center training, which remains dominated by Dojo and NVIDIA hardware.</li>
<li>If Tesla’s deal includes AI chips with HBM, it’s a major catalyst; if just A16, it’s not proof HBM yield issues are solved.</li>
<li>Tesla’s deal isn’t a sure sign Samsung’s HBM4 passed NVIDIA’s qual tests, but it’s a key reference boosting market hype—time to consider a Samsung long, SK Hynix short setup.</li>
</ul>


The A16 chip Samsung fabs is mainly for real-time inference in Tesla’s FSD cars, not data-center training, which remains dominated by Dojo and NVIDIA hardware.
If Tesla’s deal includes AI chips with HBM, it’s a major catalyst; if just A16, it’s not proof HBM yield issues are solved.
Tesla’s deal isn’t a sure sign Samsung’s HBM4 passed NVIDIA’s qual tests, but it’s a key reference boosting market hype—time to consider a Samsung long, SK Hynix short setup.


My Take on Samsung’s Big Foundry Deal with Tesla

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a downtrend for 4 weeks, but it was only mildly oversold (60% prob. of reversal last Friday, at the Close).</li>
<li>After 4 weeks down, this week the stock re-started its rally, touching 71200 on Tuesday at the Close. </li>
<li>This insight will try to define the short-term profit targets for this rally (spoiler: they are not far, at least from the TIME MODEL perspective...).</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a downtrend for 4 weeks, but it was only mildly oversold (60% prob. of reversal last Friday, at the Close).
After 4 weeks down, this week the stock re-started its rally, touching 71200 on Tuesday at the Close. 
This insight will try to define the short-term profit targets for this rally (spoiler: they are not far, at least from the TIME MODEL perspective...).


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sanghyun-park" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:354" rel="noopener">Sanghyun Park</a> has reported in detail about what seems to be going on behind closed doors at Samsung in regard to the foundry spin-off: read his insight - highly recommended.</li>
<li>We maintain our BUY recommendation for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> and although we have not yet seen a strong rally, we see the stock slowly drifting upward from its bottom.</li>
<li>Our short-term tactical perspective covering the next 2–3 weeks is presented in this insight.</li>
</ul>



Sanghyun Park has reported in detail about what seems to be going on behind closed doors at Samsung in regard to the foundry spin-off: read his insight - highly recommended.
We maintain our BUY recommendation for Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and although we have not yet seen a strong rally, we see the stock slowly drifting upward from its bottom.
Our short-term tactical perspective covering the next 2–3 weeks is presented in this insight.


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook as Foundry Spin-Off Gains Momentum

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Insiders say Google’s fast-growing phone biz now overlaps Samsung’s, sparking serious rivalry fears. This “Google shock” has become a major topic among Samsung’s top execs lately.</li>
<li>Sammy’s crisis plan involves carving out System LSI from foundry, with a likely spin-off of the foundry biz as a separate entity—insiders say that’s the favored move now.</li>
<li>Samsung’s restructuring sparks a tug-of-war between shareholder value erosion and foundry re-rating. A spin-off looks likely, with recent stock moves showing investor optimism.</li>
</ul>


Insiders say Google’s fast-growing phone biz now overlaps Samsung’s, sparking serious rivalry fears. This “Google shock” has become a major topic among Samsung’s top execs lately.
Sammy’s crisis plan involves carving out System LSI from foundry, with a likely spin-off of the foundry biz as a separate entity—insiders say that’s the favored move now.
Samsung’s restructuring sparks a tug-of-war between shareholder value erosion and foundry re-rating. A spin-off looks likely, with recent stock moves showing investor optimism.


Fresh Intel on Samsung’s Foundry Spin-Off Plan

<ul>
<li>Local chatter’s building that Samsung Electronics and Kakao might drop value-up disclosures by end-June to mid-July, as both cozy up to the new administration and move into its inner circle.</li>
<li>Jay Lee’s surprise solo meeting with President Lee marked a turning point, signaling Samsung’s intent to step out of SK’s shadow and take the lead under the new regime.</li>
<li>Value-Up details aren’t final, but Samsung’s likely to reaffirm &gt;35% payout, while Kakao’s set to focus on ROE improvement and multiple expansion.</li>
</ul>


Local chatter’s building that Samsung Electronics and Kakao might drop value-up disclosures by end-June to mid-July, as both cozy up to the new administration and move into its inner circle.
Jay Lee’s surprise solo meeting with President Lee marked a turning point, signaling Samsung’s intent to step out of SK’s shadow and take the lead under the new regime.
Value-Up details aren’t final, but Samsung’s likely to reaffirm &gt;35% payout, while Kakao’s set to focus on ROE improvement and multiple expansion.


Near-Term Value-Up Plays in the Pipeline: Samsung Electronics & Kakao

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

My Take on Samsung’s Big Foundry Deal with Tesla

This post shares my take on Samsung’s big foundry win with Tesla, breaking down what the deal means for Samsung’s stock play.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) experienced a 4-week mild downtrend, but started a reversal this week, rallying to 71200 on Tuesday. The stock...

Nico Rosti

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook as Foundry Spin-Off Gains Momentum

We maintain a BUY on Samsung Electronics as the foundry spin-off gains traction. The stock is drifting higher from recent lows. Tactical view...

Nico Rosti

Fresh Intel on Samsung’s Foundry Spin-Off Plan

This post shares the latest intel on Sammy’s foundry spin-off. Local chatter is picking up around a carve-out that could spark notable price movement.

Sanghyun Park

Near-Term Value-Up Plays in the Pipeline: Samsung Electronics & Kakao

This post covers near-term value-up plays in the pipeline — and the market’s buzzing about two heavyweights: Samsung Electronics and Kakao.

Sanghyun Park

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

My Take on Samsung’s Big Foundry Deal with Tesla

This post shares my take on Samsung’s big foundry win with Tesla, breaking down what the deal means for Samsung’s stock play.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): Tactical Outlook and Profit Targets

​Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) experienced a 4-week mild downtrend, but started a reversal this week, rallying to 71200 on Tuesday. The stock...

Nico Rosti

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Outlook as Foundry Spin-Off Gains Momentum

We maintain a BUY on Samsung Electronics as the foundry spin-off gains traction. The stock is drifting higher from recent lows. Tactical view...

Nico Rosti

Fresh Intel on Samsung’s Foundry Spin-Off Plan

This post shares the latest intel on Sammy’s foundry spin-off. Local chatter is picking up around a carve-out that could spark notable price movement.

Sanghyun Park

Near-Term Value-Up Plays in the Pipeline: Samsung Electronics & Kakao

This post covers near-term value-up plays in the pipeline — and the market’s buzzing about two heavyweights: Samsung Electronics and Kakao.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) experienced a 4-week mild downtrend, but started a reversal this week, rallying to 71200 on Tuesday. The stock...