Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Seoul Guarantee Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Seoul Guarantee Insurance is target price of 32,463 won per share, which is 2.1% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>All in all, we are not particularly impressed with SGIC's lack of top-line sales growth and worsening operating profit and margins in 1Q-3Q 2024. </li>
<li>Despite the much lower IPO price range and a promise for higher shareholder returns, we remain Negative on this IPO. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Seoul Guarantee Insurance is target price of 32,463 won per share, which is 2.1% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
All in all, we are not particularly impressed with SGIC's lack of top-line sales growth and worsening operating profit and margins in 1Q-3Q 2024. 
Despite the much lower IPO price range and a promise for higher shareholder returns, we remain Negative on this IPO. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. 
Seoul Guarantee Insurance (SGI) is a guarantee insurance firm operating predominantly in Korea.
In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and share our updated thoughts on valuation.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

<ul>
<li>Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp (SGIC) is trying for another attempt at an IPO at much lower IPO price range. The IPO price range is from 26,000 won to 31,800 won.</li>
<li>At the high end of the IPO price range, the IPO offering size is 222 billion won. The IPO price range has been lowered by 34% to 39%. </li>
<li>Despite the company's consistent record of generating positive operating profit, its lack of sales growth and declining operating margins in 2024 remain key concerns.</li>
</ul>


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp (SGIC) is trying for another attempt at an IPO at much lower IPO price range. The IPO price range is from 26,000 won to 31,800 won.
At the high end of the IPO price range, the IPO offering size is 222 billion won. The IPO price range has been lowered by 34% to 39%. 
Despite the company's consistent record of generating positive operating profit, its lack of sales growth and declining operating margins in 2024 remain key concerns.


Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO Preview (Significantly Lower IPO Price Range)

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Samsung's preferred shares lagged significantly behind the common shares yesterday, showing the largest daily sigma move we've seen in a while.</li>
<li>Samsung’s delayed value-up announcement, despite regulatory pressure, has fueled speculation about a potential Biologics stake purchase from C&amp;T.</li>
<li>It's time to pause the trade on Samsung’s preferred discount narrowing that I highlighted in early August. The main inflection point will be when Samsung makes its value-up announcement.</li>
</ul>


Samsung's preferred shares lagged significantly behind the common shares yesterday, showing the largest daily sigma move we've seen in a while.
Samsung’s delayed value-up announcement, despite regulatory pressure, has fueled speculation about a potential Biologics stake purchase from C&amp;T.
It's time to pause the trade on Samsung’s preferred discount narrowing that I highlighted in early August. The main inflection point will be when Samsung makes its value-up announcement.


Exploring Why Samsung Electronics' Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

<ul>
<li>Local stock market focuses on ISA tax benefits expansion; political push for higher tax-exempt limits seen as pivotal event.</li>
<li>Investors expect dividend stocks to outperform due to ISA tax advantages: tax exemptions within limits and lower 9.9% taxation on excess amounts, boosting ISA-based equity investments.</li>
<li>ETF influence declining; ISA tax benefits may boost dividend plays, heightening interest in preferred stocks tied to efforts to redeem them, impacting equity costs.</li>
</ul>


Local stock market focuses on ISA tax benefits expansion; political push for higher tax-exempt limits seen as pivotal event.
Investors expect dividend stocks to outperform due to ISA tax advantages: tax exemptions within limits and lower 9.9% taxation on excess amounts, boosting ISA-based equity investments.
ETF influence declining; ISA tax benefits may boost dividend plays, heightening interest in preferred stocks tied to efforts to redeem them, impacting equity costs.


Pref-Centred Dividend Plays with Expanded ISA Tax Benefits in Value-Up Context

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

SGIC IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Seoul Guarantee Insurance is target price of 32,463 won per share, which is 2.1% higher than the high end of the IPO...

Douglas Kim

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Pre-IPO Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Weaker Performance than Expected

Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS) is looking to raise around US$155m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we discuss its recent financials, and...

Clarence Chu

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp IPO Preview (Significantly Lower IPO Price Range)

Seoul Guarantee Insurance Corp (SGIC) is trying for another attempt at an IPO at much lower IPO price range. The IPO price range is from 26,000 won...

Douglas Kim

Exploring Why Samsung Electronics' Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

This post explores what might have caused the sudden shift in the narrowing of Samsung Electronics' preferred share discount yesterday.

Sanghyun Park

Pref-Centred Dividend Plays with Expanded ISA Tax Benefits in Value-Up Context

This post explores the expansion of ISA tax benefits and its impact on dividend trades focused on preferred stocks within the value-up trading...

Sanghyun Park

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