Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India’s automotive sector is facing a new external risk: China’s recent tightening of rare earth element (REE) export restrictions.</li>
<li>While the short-term impact appears contained, particularly for ICE 2Ws/3Ws, passenger vehicles—both ICE and EV—are the most exposed</li>
<li>Indian OEMs are actively engaging with Chinese authorities and India’s Ministry of External Affairs to seek interim solutions, and a resolution is expected within 2–3 weeks.</li>
</ul>


India’s automotive sector is facing a new external risk: China’s recent tightening of rare earth element (REE) export restrictions.
While the short-term impact appears contained, particularly for ICE 2Ws/3Ws, passenger vehicles—both ICE and EV—are the most exposed
Indian OEMs are actively engaging with Chinese authorities and India’s Ministry of External Affairs to seek interim solutions, and a resolution is expected within 2–3 weeks.


Rare Earth Export Curbs from China: Assessing the Risk for India’s Auto Industry

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belrise Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belrise-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44122:1" rel="noopener">Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Samvardhana Motherson</li>
<li>The US and China have agreed to significantly roll back tariffs for 90 days, in a major but temporary de-escalation of trade tensions. The US will reduce tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% from 145% (comprising a 10% reciprocal tariff and 20% tariffs related to fentanyl imposed in February and March) by May 14th, while China will reduce its levies on American imports to 10% (from 125%).</li>
<li>The two countries also agreed to establish a mechanism to continue discussions about economic and trade relations, led by Chinese VicePremier He Lifeng, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, according to a joint statement published by the White House. US President Donald Trump said that China will also “suspend and remove all non-monetary barriers”, but offered no specific details.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Samvardhana Motherson
The US and China have agreed to significantly roll back tariffs for 90 days, in a major but temporary de-escalation of trade tensions. The US will reduce tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% from 145% (comprising a 10% reciprocal tariff and 20% tariffs related to fentanyl imposed in February and March) by May 14th, while China will reduce its levies on American imports to 10% (from 125%).
The two countries also agreed to establish a mechanism to continue discussions about economic and trade relations, led by Chinese VicePremier He Lifeng, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, according to a joint statement published by the White House. US President Donald Trump said that China will also “suspend and remove all non-monetary barriers”, but offered no specific details.


India

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

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Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Rare Earth Export Curbs from China: Assessing the Risk for India’s Auto Industry

India's automotive sector faces risk from China's rare earth element export restrictions, with passenger vehicles most exposed.

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$252m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Samvardhana Motherson

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Rare Earth Export Curbs from China: Assessing the Risk for India’s Auto Industry

​India's automotive sector faces risk from China's rare earth element export restrictions, with passenger vehicles most exposed.

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Belrise Industries IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$252m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Samvardhana Motherson

Lucror Analytics

India's automotive sector faces risk from China's rare earth element export restrictions, with passenger vehicles most exposed.