Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Dongwon Group's decision to merge Dongwon F&amp;B and Dongwon Industries into one company is a positive move.</li>
<li>Dongwon F&amp;B will be incorporated as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Dongwon Industries and will be delisted.</li>
<li>Post stock swap between Dongwon Industries and Dongwon F&amp;B, the surviving entity (Dongwon Industries) is a likely candidate for KOSPI 200 inclusion in 2H 2025/2026.</li>
</ul>


Dongwon Group's decision to merge Dongwon F&amp;B and Dongwon Industries into one company is a positive move.
Dongwon F&amp;B will be incorporated as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Dongwon Industries and will be delisted.
Post stock swap between Dongwon Industries and Dongwon F&amp;B, the surviving entity (Dongwon Industries) is a likely candidate for KOSPI 200 inclusion in 2H 2025/2026.


Dongwon F&B: Delisting and Incorporation as a Wholly Owned Subsidiary of Dongwon Industries

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nongshim announced that it plans to increase the prices of its instant noodles and snack products starting next week. </li>
<li>Nongshim plans to raise the retail prices of 14 instant noodle products by 7.2% on average and three snack products by 7.4% starting Monday (10 March).</li>
<li>We estimate the consensus to raise their earnings estimates by 5-10%+ in 2025 and 2026, driven by the higher product prices of major instant noodles and snacks. </li>
</ul>


Nongshim announced that it plans to increase the prices of its instant noodles and snack products starting next week. 
Nongshim plans to raise the retail prices of 14 instant noodle products by 7.2% on average and three snack products by 7.4% starting Monday (10 March).
We estimate the consensus to raise their earnings estimates by 5-10%+ in 2025 and 2026, driven by the higher product prices of major instant noodles and snacks. 


<ul>
<li>One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. </li>
<li>China's President Xi recently stated <em>"Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” </em>
</li>
<li>We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. </li>
</ul>


One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. 
China's President Xi recently stated "Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” 

We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. 


China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

<ul>
<li>Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower than current price.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to its NAV, we have a Negative View of Doosan Corp. </li>
<li>Considering Doosan Group's repeated corporate governance concerns in the past decade, our holdco discount estimate of 50% is probably generous. </li>
</ul>


Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower than current price.
Given the lack of upside relative to its NAV, we have a Negative View of Doosan Corp. 
Considering Doosan Group's repeated corporate governance concerns in the past decade, our holdco discount estimate of 50% is probably generous. 


Doosan Corp - NAV Valuation Analysis Amid Index Rebalance Expectations

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>This event drew significant attention, causing unusual price action. From Sept 20 to Nov 29, corrections in the deletions far outpaced the KOSPI, with the trend holding across key checkpoints.</li>
<li>We’re watching 4 stocks: Kumho Petro, Lotte Chemical, Posco DX, and EcoPro Materials. SK Bioscience and Enchem are close, with small price moves likely pushing them out.</li>
<li>Based on past rebalancing patterns, proactive positions on these names could trigger strong price action. All except Enchem have listed futures and solid volume, making trading conditions favorable.</li>
</ul>


This event drew significant attention, causing unusual price action. From Sept 20 to Nov 29, corrections in the deletions far outpaced the KOSPI, with the trend holding across key checkpoints.
We’re watching 4 stocks: Kumho Petro, Lotte Chemical, Posco DX, and EcoPro Materials. SK Bioscience and Enchem are close, with small price moves likely pushing them out.
Based on past rebalancing patterns, proactive positions on these names could trigger strong price action. All except Enchem have listed futures and solid volume, making trading conditions favorable.


A Passive Flow Trading Event that Sparked Wild Price Action in Korea Is Happening Again

South Korea

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

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Samyang Foods (003230 KS)

Dongwon F&B: Delisting and Incorporation as a Wholly Owned Subsidiary of Dongwon Industries

Dongwon Group announced a major reorganization plan on 14 April. Dongwon F&B (049770 KS) will be delisted and incorporated as a wholly owned...

Douglas Kim

Nongshim Raises Instant Noodles Prices

Nongshim announced that it plans to increase the prices of its instant noodles and snack products. We believe this price increase by Nongshim will...

Douglas Kim

China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

One of the big thematic events that have impacted the Korean stock market this week has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean...

Douglas Kim

Doosan Corp - NAV Valuation Analysis Amid Index Rebalance Expectations

Our NAV analysis of Doosan Corp suggests an implied market cap of 3.9 trillion won or implied price per share of 235,039 won which is 17.2% lower...

Douglas Kim

A Passive Flow Trading Event that Sparked Wild Price Action in Korea Is Happening Again

With the Lunar New Year holiday, Korea's 10-day Global Index rebalancing window starts tomorrow and ends on the 31st. On additions? Nothing...

Sanghyun Park

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