Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Equity Bottom-Up

Santacruz Silver Mining / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Santacruz reported its Q1/25 production results, missing our expectations due to pronounced seasonality and various operational challenges which have now been resolved.</li>
<li>AgEq production came in at 3.7Moz compared to our estimate of 4.5Moz, representing -10% QoQ and -5% YoY.</li>
<li>SCZ is up 217% since our initiation report, yet still remains mispriced, in our view.</li>
</ul>


Santacruz reported its Q1/25 production results, missing our expectations due to pronounced seasonality and various operational challenges which have now been resolved.
AgEq production came in at 3.7Moz compared to our estimate of 4.5Moz, representing -10% QoQ and -5% YoY.
SCZ is up 217% since our initiation report, yet still remains mispriced, in our view.


SCZ: Seasonally Weak Q1, Stronger Results Moving Forward

<ul><li>What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions.</li><li>• In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%.</li><li>The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%.</li></ul>

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions.• In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%.The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%.

Kobo Resources Inc - Mining Monthly: May Edition

<ul>
<li>SCZ reported Q4 and 2024 financial results that beat our estimates due to the increased silver price.</li>
<li>Santacruz reported Q4 revenue of $81.7M (+42% YoY) vs. our estimate of $77.0M and adjusted EBITDA of $23.0M (+300% YoY) beating our estimate of $20.0M.</li>
<li>Despite rallying 150% YTD, SCZ still only trades at 3.3x 2025E OCF and remains set up for another record year in 2025.</li>
</ul>


SCZ reported Q4 and 2024 financial results that beat our estimates due to the increased silver price.
Santacruz reported Q4 revenue of $81.7M (+42% YoY) vs. our estimate of $77.0M and adjusted EBITDA of $23.0M (+300% YoY) beating our estimate of $20.0M.
Despite rallying 150% YTD, SCZ still only trades at 3.3x 2025E OCF and remains set up for another record year in 2025.


SCZ: Demonstrating its Leverage to the Silver Price

<ul><li>What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade tensions.</li><li>• In April, gold was up 5.6%, silver was down 4.2%, and copper was down 9.6%.</li><li>The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 6.5%, GDXJ up 7.3%, and SIL up 3.3%.</li></ul>

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade tensions.• In April, gold was up 5.6%, silver was down 4.2%, and copper was down 9.6%.The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 6.5%, GDXJ up 7.3%, and SIL up 3.3%.

Kobo Resources Inc - Mining Monthly: April Edition

<ul><li>Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe.</li><li>This mainly came from our exposure to precious metals, notably silver.</li><li>Our coverage universe was up 13% during the quarter and 40% over the last year, compared to the TSX, which was up 0.1% and 12%, respectively.</li></ul>

Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe.This mainly came from our exposure to precious metals, notably silver.Our coverage universe was up 13% during the quarter and 40% over the last year, compared to the TSX, which was up 0.1% and 12%, respectively.

BQE Water Inc - Q1/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Canada

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. explores and mines for silver ores. The Company develops, operates and discovers silver mining assets throughout Mexico.

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Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZ CN)

SCZ: Seasonally Weak Q1, Stronger Results Moving Forward

Santacruz reported its Q1/25 production results, missing our expectations due to pronounced seasonality and various operational challenges which...

Atrium Research

Kobo Resources Inc - Mining Monthly: May Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and...

Atrium Research

SCZ: Demonstrating its Leverage to the Silver Price

Santacruz reported Q4 revenue of $81.7M (+42% YoY) vs. our estimate of $77.0M and adjusted EBITDA of $23.0M (+300% YoY) beating our estimate of...

Atrium Research

Kobo Resources Inc - Mining Monthly: April Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade...

Atrium Research

BQE Water Inc - Q1/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe. This...

Atrium Research

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