Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

Qualtrics International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualtrics-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27731:1" rel="noopener">Qualtrics International (XM US)</a>  is the largest XM provider and pioneer in Experience Management. The company was founded in 2002 by Ryan Smith, Jared Smith, and their dad, Scott Smith.</li>
<li>In 2018, SAP acquired Qualtrics for ~$8B in an all-cash deal, one of the largest-ever acquisitions of a SaaS company.</li>
<li>We view <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualtrics-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27731:1" rel="noopener">Qualtrics International (XM US)</a>  as well-positioned to continue to take market share with additional growth drivers such as new products and international expansion. </li>
</ul>



Qualtrics International (XM US)  is the largest XM provider and pioneer in Experience Management. The company was founded in 2002 by Ryan Smith, Jared Smith, and their dad, Scott Smith.
In 2018, SAP acquired Qualtrics for ~$8B in an all-cash deal, one of the largest-ever acquisitions of a SaaS company.
We view Qualtrics International (XM US)  as well-positioned to continue to take market share with additional growth drivers such as new products and international expansion. 


Qualtrics: Leading Pure-Play XM Provider. A Solid Risk-Reward Opportunity

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.</li>
<li>The silver lining? New ESG-<em>related</em> investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.</li>
<li>One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.</li>
</ul>


Notwithstanding bright spots and positive long-term outlook, the ESG gold rush has created an acute state of chaos. Regulatory flux. Rampant greenwashing. ESG litigation. Elon and S&amp;P.
The silver lining? New ESG-related investing opportunities emerging from all the chaos; stocks poised to benefit, regardless of who else wins or losses. The new shovel-sellers, as it were.
One large opportunity is driven by new greenhouse gas (GHG) reporting regulations, specifcally leading GHG emissions software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) stocks.


Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

<ul><li>The unprecedented amount of liquidity is having profound implications for high growth tech companies.</li><li>Expected topline growth rate has become the number one business valuation driver in the cloud space.</li><li>The hidden risk of rising interest rates and fading momentum trade is often left unaccounted for, which could soon create serious problems.</li></ul>

The unprecedented amount of liquidity is having profound implications for high growth tech companies.Expected topline growth rate has become the number one business valuation driver in the cloud space.The hidden risk of rising interest rates and fading momentum trade is often left unaccounted for, which could soon create serious problems.

The Cloud Space In Numbers: What Matters The Most

<ul>
<li>After having a go at SAP during the last earnings release in March, Oracle is due to announce its quarterly results this week.</li>
<li>The company continues to strengthen its dominant position in the Enterprise Resource Planning space and is seeing stronger momentum.</li>
<li>The supply-constrained Oracle Cloud Infrastructure offers a key competitive advantage for Oracle's ERP and database services.</li>
</ul>


After having a go at SAP during the last earnings release in March, Oracle is due to announce its quarterly results this week.
The company continues to strengthen its dominant position in the Enterprise Resource Planning space and is seeing stronger momentum.
The supply-constrained Oracle Cloud Infrastructure offers a key competitive advantage for Oracle's ERP and database services.


Oracle: The Turning Point Of The Business

Germany

SAP SE is a multinational software company. The Company develops business software, including e-business and enterprise management software, consults on organizational usage of its applications software, and provides training services. SAP markets its products and services worldwide.

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SAP (SAP GR)

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Qualtrics: Leading Pure-Play XM Provider. A Solid Risk-Reward Opportunity

We are initiating coverage on Qualtrics and believe that fundamentals have always been attractive. The company is well positioned as a leader at scale

Andrei Zakharov

Selling Shovels in a Gold Rush: SaaS Stocks Cashing in on Emissions Reporting Rules

ESG investing has been complicated by evolving emissions reporting regulations. With the chaos, comes new investment opportunities. Such as in...

Kyle Rudden

The Cloud Space In Numbers: What Matters The Most

The unprecedented amount of liquidity is having profound implications for high growth tech companies. Expected topline growth rate has become the...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Oracle: The Turning Point Of The Business

After having a go at SAP during the last earnings release in March, Oracle is due to announce its quarterly results this week. The company...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

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