Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-logistics-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22748" rel="noopener">Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP)</a> to acquire six freehold properties in Germany, The Netherlands and The UK; Accretive by +1.8% to DPU</h3><ul><li>FLT has proposed an acquisition of interests in three freehold logistics and industrial properties located in Germany and a logistics and industrial property in the Netherlands, from subsidiaries of Frasers Property Limited (FPL SP); and two freehold properties, known as Connexion and Blythe Valley Park, located in the UK from subsidiaries of I.M. Properties. The acquisitions are positioned to capitalise on strong logistics industry tailwinds in The UK and Germany – the two largest e-commerce markets in Europe and among top 10 globally</li><li>The agreed property purchase price for the acquisition is approximately S$548.7m, representing a discount of ~2.5% to the aggregate appraised value of S$562.4m. The aggregate purchase consideration for the acquisition, excluding acquisition fee and other transaction costs is ~S$469.7m</li><li>As at 31Mar21, the acquisitions have a blended occupancy rate of 97.4% with a long WALB of 7.6 years, with tenants that include established third-party logistics companies and corporates, such as Hermes Germany GmbH, Gymshark Limited, Lounge Underwear Limited and BASF SE. All of the New EU Properties are 100% occupied with leases that have built-in consumer price indexation</li><li>With the acquisitions being freehold, the proportion of freehold assets in FLT’s portfolio will increase in proportion from 65.1% to 67.9% upon completion. Portfolio’s WALB will also extend from 4.4 years to 4.7 years</li><li>The estimated NPI yield is ~5%. On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be both DPU and NAVPU accretive, at +1.8% and +0.9%, respectively. Funding for the acquisitions will be via a combination of proceeds from the equity fund raising (54.6%) and borrowings (remaining 45.4%). Post-acquisition, gearing would increase from 35.5% to 36.2% on pro-forma basis. The proposed acquisition is expected to be completed by Jun21.</li></ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0?ui=2&amp;ik=03e35791bb&amp;attid=0.0.3&amp;permmsgid=msg-f:1700600348485070213&amp;th=1799bf01bc5bad85&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8xCEqA5_st0uV0EWFnw6XJqjbimQjVryOhbTImWN4xc62NjD9zqImfTW_0CazjDP53F1403yFCvywywt4e0OVlILLThfxaZmQCMoZ5GSG0nL1XYwY11V2LtGY&amp;disp=emb" width="695" height="336" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-image-whitelisted=""></figure>

SingaporeFrasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (FLT SP) to acquire six freehold properties in Germany, The Netherlands and The UK; Accretive by +1.8% to DPUFLT has proposed an acquisition of interests in three freehold logistics and industrial properties located in Germany and a logistics and industrial property in the Netherlands, from subsidiaries of Frasers Property Limited (FPL SP); and two freehold properties, known as Connexion and Blythe Valley Park, located in the UK from subsidiaries of I.M. Properties. The acquisitions are positioned to capitalise on strong logistics industry tailwinds in The UK and Germany – the two largest e-commerce markets in Europe and among top 10 globallyThe agreed property purchase price for the acquisition is approximately S$548.7m, representing a discount of ~2.5% to the aggregate appraised value of S$562.4m. The aggregate purchase consideration for the acquisition, excluding acquisition fee and other transaction costs is ~S$469.7mAs at 31Mar21, the acquisitions have a blended occupancy rate of 97.4% with a long WALB of 7.6 years, with tenants that include established third-party logistics companies and corporates, such as Hermes Germany GmbH, Gymshark Limited, Lounge Underwear Limited and BASF SE. All of the New EU Properties are 100% occupied with leases that have built-in consumer price indexationWith the acquisitions being freehold, the proportion of freehold assets in FLT’s portfolio will increase in proportion from 65.1% to 67.9% upon completion. Portfolio’s WALB will also extend from 4.4 years to 4.7 yearsThe estimated NPI yield is ~5%. On a 1H21 pro-forma basis, the acquisitions are expected to be both DPU and NAVPU accretive, at +1.8% and +0.9%, respectively. Funding for the acquisitions will be via a combination of proceeds from the equity fund raising (54.6%) and borrowings (remaining 45.4%). Post-acquisition, gearing would increase from 35.5% to 36.2% on pro-forma basis. The proposed acquisition is expected to be completed by Jun21.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24May21) - FLT expands further into Europe

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;"> </td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">ECWREIT</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">SASSR</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">BHGREIT</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Period</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">30.8 (+30.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">EMA Rental Income: 34.1 (+23.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">27.7 (+30.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">EMA Rental Income (Excluding straight-line adjustments): 32.3 (+27.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.53</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.759 (+31.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.91</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.922</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.81</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">1.00</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">0.64(Based on 4Q20 NAV)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;"> 99.1</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">93.5</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">92.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;"> NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">38.3</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">27.6</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">35.6</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">4.1</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">3.3</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">3.8</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">7.76</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">7.46</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">100% of offshore facilities</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">60% of offshore loans</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 162.6pt;">Rating</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td><td style="width: 162.5pt;">NA</td></tr></tbody></table><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 1Q21 DPU +32.3% YoY; Robust growth but DI retention persist with retained DI snowballing to S$5.49m</h3><ul><li>Both revenue and NPI grew by 30.9% YoY in 1Q21 to S$30.8m (26.9% BB est.) and S$27.7m (28.1% BB est.), respectively, mainly due to absence of rental rebates in 1Q20 and strengthening of RMB. In RMB terms, gross revenue and NPI were 26.0% and 26.1% YoY higher, respectively</li><li>1Q21 DPU increased 32.3% YoY or 7.4% QoQ to S$1.532c (26.9% BB est.), mainly due to absence of rental rebates given. ECWREIT continued to retain 10% of DI in 1Q21 (vs. 10% in 4Q20 and 5% in 1Q20) on a conservative view of uncertainties arising from prolonged COVID-19 pandemic globally and for general working capital purpose</li><li>ECWREIT has secured renewal of major lease at Hengde Logistics, extending WALE to 3.2 years (by GRI) from 3.1 years as at 31Mar21. ~11.8% of GRI will be due for renewal for the remaining of FY21E</li><li>Portfolio occupancy remains robust at 99.1% (vs. 99.3% in 4Q20 and 96.7% in 3Q20)</li><li>On 30Apr, ECWREIT announced an incident of a displacement and collapse of a berth at Chongxian Port Investment that resulted in the damage of two gantry cranes located within the vicinity of the berth. Due to the location of the damaged area, the operations at the damaged berth and the 2 adjacent berths have been suspended. The rest of the port operation is not affected. The cause of the incident is still being investigated. ECWREIT is working closely with the insurer to assess the quantum of revenue loss and property damage recoverable by insurance claims</li><li>Portfolio gearing stands at 38.3% (vs. 38.1% in 4Q20 and 38.6% in 1Q20) with average cost of debt of 4.1% pa. (vs. 4.2% in 4Q20 and 4.3% in 1Q20) and 100% of offshore facilities hedged</li><li>ECWREIT currently trades at 7.76% FY21E yield and 0.81x P/B.</li></ul>Comments: 1Q21 revenue and NPI came in at 26.5% and 26.0% of our full-year FY21E estimates, respectively. Meanwhile, 1Q21 DPU came in at 27.5% of FY21E estimates. Note that we have assumed a 10% DI retention for FY21E, the higher than expected 1Q21 DPU was due to a lower 1Q21 tax rate at 24.7% (vs. our projected 38.0%). Including 1Q21’s S$1.38m, total retained DI since 1Q20 has amounted to S$5.49m (or S$0.681c per Unit). Port Logistics had done well in 1Q21, with revenue increasing 40.4% YoY to S$12.7m, and NPI increasing 41.8% YoY to S$11.9m (NPI margin +0.9pp. YoY to 93.5%). E-commerce Logistics has also recorded a strong 1Q21 growth, with revenue and NPI rising 32.4% and 30.9% YoY to S$14.7m and S$12.7m, respectively (NPI margin -1.0% to 86.5%). On the other hand, Specialised Logistics was muted in 1Q21, with Revenue and NPI flattish YoY at S$3.4m and S$3.1m, respectively (NPI margin +0.7pp. to 90.7%). While insurance claims could offset the revenue loss and restoration costs somewhat, we are cognizant that Chongxian Port Investment contributed to ~27% and ~28% of FY20 Revenue and NPI, respectively. We are currently reviewing our recommendations for ECWREIT.

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) ECWREITSASSRBHGREITPeriod1Q211Q211Q21Gross Revenue (S$ m)30.8 (+30.9% YoY)EMA Rental Income: 34.1 (+23.4% YoY)Not DisclosedNPI (S$ m)27.7 (+30.9% YoY)EMA Rental Income (Excluding straight-line adjustments): 32.3 (+27.8% YoY)Not DisclosedDPU (S$ c)1.531.759 (+31.9% YoY)Not DisclosedNAV per Unit (S$)0.910.922Not DisclosedP/B (x)0.811.000.64(Based on 4Q20 NAV)Occupancy (%) 99.193.592.1Reversion (%) NANot DisclosedNot DisclosedGearing (%)38.327.635.6Cost of Debt (%)4.13.33.81 Yr Fwd Yield (%)7.767.46NADebt Hedged (%)100% of offshore facilitiesNot Disclosed60% of offshore loansTarget PriceUnder ReviewNANARatingUnder ReviewNANAEC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 1Q21 DPU +32.3% YoY; Robust growth but DI retention persist with retained DI snowballing to S$5.49mBoth revenue and NPI grew by 30.9% YoY in 1Q21 to S$30.8m (26.9% BB est.) and S$27.7m (28.1% BB est.), respectively, mainly due to absence of rental rebates in 1Q20 and strengthening of RMB. In RMB terms, gross revenue and NPI were 26.0% and 26.1% YoY higher, respectively1Q21 DPU increased 32.3% YoY or 7.4% QoQ to S$1.532c (26.9% BB est.), mainly due to absence of rental rebates given. ECWREIT continued to retain 10% of DI in 1Q21 (vs. 10% in 4Q20 and 5% in 1Q20) on a conservative view of uncertainties arising from prolonged COVID-19 pandemic globally and for general working capital purposeECWREIT has secured renewal of major lease at Hengde Logistics, extending WALE to 3.2 years (by GRI) from 3.1 years as at 31Mar21. ~11.8% of GRI will be due for renewal for the remaining of FY21EPortfolio occupancy remains robust at 99.1% (vs. 99.3% in 4Q20 and 96.7% in 3Q20)On 30Apr, ECWREIT announced an incident of a displacement and collapse of a berth at Chongxian Port Investment that resulted in the damage of two gantry cranes located within the vicinity of the berth. Due to the location of the damaged area, the operations at the damaged berth and the 2 adjacent berths have been suspended. The rest of the port operation is not affected. The cause of the incident is still being investigated. ECWREIT is working closely with the insurer to assess the quantum of revenue loss and property damage recoverable by insurance claimsPortfolio gearing stands at 38.3% (vs. 38.1% in 4Q20 and 38.6% in 1Q20) with average cost of debt of 4.1% pa. (vs. 4.2% in 4Q20 and 4.3% in 1Q20) and 100% of offshore facilities hedgedECWREIT currently trades at 7.76% FY21E yield and 0.81x P/B.Comments: 1Q21 revenue and NPI came in at 26.5% and 26.0% of our full-year FY21E estimates, respectively. Meanwhile, 1Q21 DPU came in at 27.5% of FY21E estimates. Note that we have assumed a 10% DI retention for FY21E, the higher than expected 1Q21 DPU was due to a lower 1Q21 tax rate at 24.7% (vs. our projected 38.0%). Including 1Q21’s S$1.38m, total retained DI since 1Q20 has amounted to S$5.49m (or S$0.681c per Unit). Port Logistics had done well in 1Q21, with revenue increasing 40.4% YoY to S$12.7m, and NPI increasing 41.8% YoY to S$11.9m (NPI margin +0.9pp. YoY to 93.5%). E-commerce Logistics has also recorded a strong 1Q21 growth, with revenue and NPI rising 32.4% and 30.9% YoY to S$14.7m and S$12.7m, respectively (NPI margin -1.0% to 86.5%). On the other hand, Specialised Logistics was muted in 1Q21, with Revenue and NPI flattish YoY at S$3.4m and S$3.1m, respectively (NPI margin +0.7pp. to 90.7%). While insurance claims could offset the revenue loss and restoration costs somewhat, we are cognizant that Chongxian Port Investment contributed to ~27% and ~28% of FY20 Revenue and NPI, respectively. We are currently reviewing our recommendations for ECWREIT.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12May21) - ECWREIT strong growth despite retention

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Performance of S-Reits within the STI On Thursday night (Oct 12), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly higher than markets had anticipated, leading to higher expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely implement one more interest rate hike before the year ends.</li><li>The three S-Reits with the lowest gearing ratios are: Sasseur Reit (26.2 per cent), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (28.6 per cent) and Paragon Reit (29.8 per cent).</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Performance of S-Reits within the STI On Thursday night (Oct 12), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly higher than markets had anticipated, leading to higher expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely implement one more interest rate hike before the year ends.The three S-Reits with the lowest gearing ratios are: Sasseur Reit (26.2 per cent), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (28.6 per cent) and Paragon Reit (29.8 per cent).

REIT Watch - S-Reits among top gainers in STI for week starting Oct 9

<ul><li>In terms of net fund flows over the month, retail investors net bought S$8.2 million of S-Reits while institutional investors net sold S$86.4 million in the sector.</li><li>However, there were 10 S-Reits and property trusts which recorded net institutional inflows in the month of July.</li><li>They were Keppel DC Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT), CapitaLand India Trust (Clint), ESR-Logos Reit, Far East Hospitality Trust, Digital Core Reit, Paragon Reit, Sasseur Reit, First Reit, and BHG Retail Reit.</li></ul>

In terms of net fund flows over the month, retail investors net bought S$8.2 million of S-Reits while institutional investors net sold S$86.4 million in the sector.However, there were 10 S-Reits and property trusts which recorded net institutional inflows in the month of July.They were Keppel DC Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT), CapitaLand India Trust (Clint), ESR-Logos Reit, Far East Hospitality Trust, Digital Core Reit, Paragon Reit, Sasseur Reit, First Reit, and BHG Retail Reit.

REIT Watch - Institutional investors net buyers of these 10 S-Reits in July

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP)

<ul><li>S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times Higher interest rates have typically been associated with higher borrowing costs and therefore lower distributions available for unitholders.</li><li>To hedge the impact of rising rates, S-REITs have been actively managing interest rate exposures.</li></ul>

S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times Higher interest rates have typically been associated with higher borrowing costs and therefore lower distributions available for unitholders.To hedge the impact of rising rates, S-REITs have been actively managing interest rate exposures.

REIT Watch - S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times

Singapore

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of income-producing retail outlet malls and related real estate assets, primarily in China. Its portfolio includes four outlet malls located in Chongqing, Hefei, and Kunming. The company was founded in Singapore in 2017.

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Sasseur (SASSR SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24May21) - FLT expands further into Europe

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SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12May21) - ECWREIT strong growth despite retention

ECWREIT strong growth despite retention; SASSR rebounded from a low-base; CAPL fund mgmt, resi the bright spots; FPL SG & AUS supporting growth;...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - S-Reits among top gainers in STI for week starting Oct 9

REIT Watch - Performance of S-Reits within the STI On Thursday night (Oct 12), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in slightly higher than...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Institutional investors net buyers of these 10 S-Reits in July

In terms of net fund flows over the month, retail investors net bought S$8.2 million of S-Reits while institutional investors net sold S$86.4...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times

S-REITs actively manage impact of rising rates; average ICR at 4.3 times Higher interest rates have typically been associated with higher...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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