Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Middle East supply disruptions begin to feed through, with Singapore's exports falling to a two-year low in the month to 8 April</li><li>Last pre-disruption Middle East cargoes reach the US Gulf coast, with no new Group III loadings since late February</li><li>Spain and Indonesia's steady Group III flows point to limited capacity to fill the Middle East supply gap</li></ul>

Middle East supply disruptions begin to feed through, with Singapore's exports falling to a two-year low in the month to 8 AprilLast pre-disruption Middle East cargoes reach the US Gulf coast, with no new Group III loadings since late FebruarySpain and Indonesia's steady Group III flows point to limited capacity to fill the Middle East supply gap

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 10 Apr '26

<ul><li>Several Group II cargoes loaded from Taiwan over the past week, mostly bound for India, with delivery in second-half April.</li><li>Taiwan’s cargo-loadings remained relatively steady through first-half April, in line with the same period in March.</li><li>Singapore’s base oils exports over the past week fell to the second lowest level in more than a year, following an even steeper weekly drop at end-March.</li></ul>

Several Group II cargoes loaded from Taiwan over the past week, mostly bound for India, with delivery in second-half April.Taiwan’s cargo-loadings remained relatively steady through first-half April, in line with the same period in March.Singapore’s base oils exports over the past week fell to the second lowest level in more than a year, following an even steeper weekly drop at end-March.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 10 April

<ul><li>Middle East supply disruptions are proving structural rather than temporary, with lubricants prices facing significant increases</li><li>India's base oils supply fell to an eighteen-month low in February, cutting inventories ahead of peak seasonal demand as disruptions complicated restocking</li><li>Europe's January Group II supply rose to a five-month high, building a buffer that helped cushion the initial impact of disruptions</li></ul>

Middle East supply disruptions are proving structural rather than temporary, with lubricants prices facing significant increasesIndia's base oils supply fell to an eighteen-month low in February, cutting inventories ahead of peak seasonal demand as disruptions complicated restockingEurope's January Group II supply rose to a five-month high, building a buffer that helped cushion the initial impact of disruptions

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Apr '26

<ul><li>A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of light- and heavy-grade Group II base oils was set to load from Taiwan in early-April, with India the likely destination.</li><li>The large shipment and a surge in flows in second-half March pointed to a muted impact so far from any feedstock supply issues.</li><li>Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in late March before heading to northwest Europe, set to arrive around mid-May.</li></ul>

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of light- and heavy-grade Group II base oils was set to load from Taiwan in early-April, with India the likely destination.The large shipment and a surge in flows in second-half March pointed to a muted impact so far from any feedstock supply issues.Cargo of Group III base oils loaded from Indonesia in late March before heading to northwest Europe, set to arrive around mid-May.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 2 April

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global near-term outlook remains neutral on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision); we downgraded our outlook after ACWI-US broke below $141.50 support.</li>
<li>We downgraded our outlook to bearish on U.S. equities (S&amp;P 500) on March 31. Global equities have held up a bit better, and crucial support held at $134 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>While we remain defensive and are concerned that ACWI-US will break down, we would only turn bearish on global equities if ACWI-US breaks below $134.</li>
</ul>


Our global near-term outlook remains neutral on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision); we downgraded our outlook after ACWI-US broke below $141.50 support.
We downgraded our outlook to bearish on U.S. equities (S&amp;P 500) on March 31. Global equities have held up a bit better, and crucial support held at $134 on ACWI-US.
While we remain defensive and are concerned that ACWI-US will break down, we would only turn bearish on global equities if ACWI-US breaks below $134.


Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in Utilities, Energy, and Materials

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 10 Apr '26

Middle East supply disruptions begin to feed through, with Singapore's exports falling to a two-year low in the month to 8 April Last...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 10 April

Several Group II cargoes loaded from Taiwan over the past week, mostly bound for India, with delivery in second-half April. Taiwan’s...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 2 Apr '26

Middle East supply disruptions are proving structural rather than temporary, with lubricants prices facing significant increases. India's base oils...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 2 April

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of light- and heavy-grade Group II base oils was set to load from Taiwan in early-April, with India...

Base Oil News

Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in Utilities, Energy, and Materials

Upgrading Norway to Overweight; Stay Defensive. Buys in global Utilities, Energy, and Materials. $ACWI support at $134 holding for now, but still...

Vermilion Research

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