Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices.</li><li>Even so, expectations of ready availability of supplies, combined with seasonal slowdown in lube consumption in coming weeks, likely to incentivize buyers to maintain low stocks.</li><li>Buyers face ongoing challenge of balancing expectations of weak fundamentals with repercussions of higher crude oil prices and risk of weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices.Even so, expectations of ready availability of supplies, combined with seasonal slowdown in lube consumption in coming weeks, likely to incentivize buyers to maintain low stocks.Buyers face ongoing challenge of balancing expectations of weak fundamentals with repercussions of higher crude oil prices and risk of weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 13/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 11.5m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.3m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 95 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 96 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.1% above the five-year average but 7.7% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>Bernstein downgrades Shell and upgrades Aramco. Meanwhile, Chevron makes a pivot into U.S. lithium production.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 13/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 11.5m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.3m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose.
The EIA reported a 95 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 96 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.1% above the five-year average but 7.7% below year-ago levels.
Bernstein downgrades Shell and upgrades Aramco. Meanwhile, Chevron makes a pivot into U.S. lithium production.


[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

<ul><li>Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge.</li><li>Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel prices rather than any sudden change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Fall in base oils margins comes at a time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are already starting to face downward pressure.</li></ul>

Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge.Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel prices rather than any sudden change in base oils supply-demand fundamentals.Fall in base oils margins comes at a time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are already starting to face downward pressure.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 16 June

<ul><li>US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months.</li><li>US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base oils, relative to feedstock prices and relative to other regions.</li><li>US Group III price-strength coincides with tighter global Group III supply-demand fundamentals and growing number of signals reflecting those tighter fundamentals.</li></ul>

US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months.US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base oils, relative to feedstock prices and relative to other regions.US Group III price-strength coincides with tighter global Group III supply-demand fundamentals and growing number of signals reflecting those tighter fundamentals.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 16 June

<ul><li>US base oils margins fall as crude and heating oil prices surge.</li><li>Margins had previously been trending lower slowly.</li><li>Steady-to-lower margins coincided with muted domestic demand and improving supply fundamentals following completion of most plant maintenance work.</li></ul>

US base oils margins fall as crude and heating oil prices surge.Margins had previously been trending lower slowly.Steady-to-lower margins coincided with muted domestic demand and improving supply fundamentals following completion of most plant maintenance work.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 16 June

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices. Even so, expectations of ready...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 16 June

Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge. Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 16 June

US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months. US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 16 June

US base oils margins fall as crude and heating oil prices surge. Margins had previously been trending lower slowly. Steady-to-lower margins...

Base Oil News

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 23 June

US base oils demand could get support from higher crude oil prices that curb prospect of fall in base oils prices. Even so, expectations of ready...

Base Oil News

[ETP 2025/25] WTI Wavers on Israel-Iran Tensions, While Henry Hub Rebounds on Demand Revival

​US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 16 June

Global base oils margins fall as feedstock/competing fuel prices surge. Sharp fall in base oils margins reflect impact of higher crude/diesel...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 16 June

US Group III 4cSt base oils price rises in June to highest level in almost nine months. US Group III 4cSt price rises relative to Group II base...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 16 June

US base oils margins fall as crude and heating oil prices surge. Margins had previously been trending lower slowly. Steady-to-lower margins...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories drop significantly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles increase. Natural gas storage levels above average but below last year...