Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.</li><li>Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.</li><li>High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower.Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain high output.High output in Oct 2025 would help to cushion impact of scheduled plant-maintenance.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.</li><li>Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay muted.Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks.Lack of weather-related supply disruptions in recent months likely leaves those stocks at higher-than-expected levels.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.</li><li>Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.</li><li>Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices.Any extension of crude oil prices holding at current levels or rising further would add to squeeze on base oils margins, especially for light grades.Balanced-to-tight base oils supply would give refiners more leverage to respond to any sustained squeeze on margins.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>MENA remains a structural underweight, absent in nearly 25% of EM funds, though participation has climbed to a decade high with 75.9% of EM funds now holding positions.</li>
<li>UAE has overtaken Saudi as the largest allocation, supported by inflows into Real Estate and Financials; Saudi remains underweight, while Qatar and Kuwait attract little investor interest.</li>
<li>Emaar, Al Rajhi, Aldar, and Saudi National Bank anchor MENA exposure, with second-tier growth from ADCB, Emirates NBD, and UAE Energy sectors.</li>
</ul>


MENA remains a structural underweight, absent in nearly 25% of EM funds, though participation has climbed to a decade high with 75.9% of EM funds now holding positions.
UAE has overtaken Saudi as the largest allocation, supported by inflows into Real Estate and Financials; Saudi remains underweight, while Qatar and Kuwait attract little investor interest.
Emaar, Al Rajhi, Aldar, and Saudi National Bank anchor MENA exposure, with second-tier growth from ADCB, Emirates NBD, and UAE Energy sectors.


MENA: From Structural Underweight to Selective Rebuild

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 6 October

US Group II base oils prices edge up versus vacuum gasoil (VGO) as crude prices correct lower. Firm, rangebound base oils margins sustain...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 6 October

US base oils demand likely to stay muted. Buyers could cover more of any seasonal pick-up in demand at start of Q4 with unused stocks. Lack of...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 29 September

Global base oils prices mostly extend fall vs feedstock/competing fuel prices amid sustained rise in crude oil prices. Any extension of crude oil...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year. Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows...

Base Oil News

MENA: From Structural Underweight to Selective Rebuild

MENA stays structurally underweight but participation is rising, led by UAE and Saudi. Real Estate and Financials drive inflows, with Emaar, Al...

Steven Holden

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