Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.


[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aramco’s Q3 operating revenue fell 1.8% YoY and missed estimates by 0.5%. Similarly, its net profit fell by 15.4% YoY and its EPS missed expectations by 1%.</li>
<li>Aramco’s total hydrocarbon production fell 0.8% YoY but rose 3.3% QoQ in Q3. Its average crude oil price realisation dropped 11.2% YoY and 7.5% QoQ.</li>
<li>Despite a decline in net profit, Aramco maintained its dividend, which led to a shift from net cash to a net debt position as dividend payouts exceeded free cash flow.</li>
</ul>


Aramco’s Q3 operating revenue fell 1.8% YoY and missed estimates by 0.5%. Similarly, its net profit fell by 15.4% YoY and its EPS missed expectations by 1%.
Aramco’s total hydrocarbon production fell 0.8% YoY but rose 3.3% QoQ in Q3. Its average crude oil price realisation dropped 11.2% YoY and 7.5% QoQ.
Despite a decline in net profit, Aramco maintained its dividend, which led to a shift from net cash to a net debt position as dividend payouts exceeded free cash flow.


[Earnings Review] Saudi Aramco Maintains Dividend Despite Decline in Net Profit in Q3

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 15/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 0.5m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 0.4m barrel increase. Gasoline stocks exceeded estimates, while distillates declined less than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 3 Bcf for the week ending 15/Nov, contrasting analyst expectations of a 2 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 6.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>TD Cowen raised its PT on Exxon, while Morgan Stanely lowered its PT on Halliburton. Aramco and Sinopec began the construction of a refining and petrochemical complex in China.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 15/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 0.5m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 0.4m barrel increase. Gasoline stocks exceeded estimates, while distillates declined less than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 3 Bcf for the week ending 15/Nov, contrasting analyst expectations of a 2 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 6.4% above the 5-year seasonal average.
TD Cowen raised its PT on Exxon, while Morgan Stanely lowered its PT on Halliburton. Aramco and Sinopec began the construction of a refining and petrochemical complex in China.


[ETP 2024/47] WTI Rises on Ukraine-Russia Tensions; Henry Hub Jumps on Cold Weather Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 08/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, surpassing expectations of a 0.4m barrel increase. Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stocks unexpectedly declined.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 42 Bcf for the week ending 08/Nov, exceeding analyst expectations of a 34 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 6.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Occidental beat revenue and EPS estimates by 0.7% and 34.8%, respectively led by higher hydrocarbon output. Analysts upgraded their 12-month PTs on Occidental, Chevron, Exxon, and Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 08/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, surpassing expectations of a 0.4m barrel increase. Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stocks unexpectedly declined.
US natural gas inventories rose 42 Bcf for the week ending 08/Nov, exceeding analyst expectations of a 34 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 6.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Occidental beat revenue and EPS estimates by 0.7% and 34.8%, respectively led by higher hydrocarbon output. Analysts upgraded their 12-month PTs on Occidental, Chevron, Exxon, and Halliburton.


[ETP 2024/46] WTI Drops on Strong Dollar, Henry Hub Gains on Lower Output and Better Demand Outlook

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.
US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.


[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] Saudi Aramco Maintains Dividend Despite Decline in Net Profit in Q3

Aramco shifted to a net debt position as dividend payouts surpassed cash flow. Profit dropped 15.4% YoY on weaker oil prices and refining margins,...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/47] WTI Rises on Ukraine-Russia Tensions; Henry Hub Jumps on Cold Weather Forecasts

US crude and gasoline inventories increased more than expected. Exxon's PT increased while Halliburton's was lowered. Aramco and Sinopec started...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/46] WTI Drops on Strong Dollar, Henry Hub Gains on Lower Output and Better Demand Outlook

US crude inventories rose more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks fell; nat-gas stocks also exceeded analyst expectations....

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] Saudi Aramco Maintains Dividend Despite Decline in Net Profit in Q3

Aramco shifted to a net debt position as dividend payouts surpassed cash flow. Profit dropped 15.4% YoY on weaker oil prices and refining margins,...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/47] WTI Rises on Ukraine-Russia Tensions; Henry Hub Jumps on Cold Weather Forecasts

​US crude and gasoline inventories increased more than expected. Exxon's PT increased while Halliburton's was lowered. Aramco and Sinopec started...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/46] WTI Drops on Strong Dollar, Henry Hub Gains on Lower Output and Better Demand Outlook

​US crude inventories rose more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks fell; nat-gas stocks also exceeded analyst expectations....

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

​US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

US crude and gasoline inventories increased more than expected. Exxon's PT increased while Halliburton's was lowered. Aramco and Sinopec started...

US crude inventories rose more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks fell; nat-gas stocks also exceeded analyst expectations....

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...