Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.</li><li>Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year.Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows from Asia to Americas so far this year.Strength of Asia prices facilitates flows of base oils shipments from US to markets like UAE and India so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>MENA remains a structural underweight, absent in nearly 25% of EM funds, though participation has climbed to a decade high with 75.9% of EM funds now holding positions.</li>
<li>UAE has overtaken Saudi as the largest allocation, supported by inflows into Real Estate and Financials; Saudi remains underweight, while Qatar and Kuwait attract little investor interest.</li>
<li>Emaar, Al Rajhi, Aldar, and Saudi National Bank anchor MENA exposure, with second-tier growth from ADCB, Emirates NBD, and UAE Energy sectors.</li>
</ul>


MENA remains a structural underweight, absent in nearly 25% of EM funds, though participation has climbed to a decade high with 75.9% of EM funds now holding positions.
UAE has overtaken Saudi as the largest allocation, supported by inflows into Real Estate and Financials; Saudi remains underweight, while Qatar and Kuwait attract little investor interest.
Emaar, Al Rajhi, Aldar, and Saudi National Bank anchor MENA exposure, with second-tier growth from ADCB, Emirates NBD, and UAE Energy sectors.


MENA: From Structural Underweight to Selective Rebuild

<ul><li>US light-grade base oils domestic prices weaken versus feedstock/competing fuel prices; export price-differentials hold firmer.</li><li>Diverging trends reflect weaker outright prices for domestic supplies and firmer prices for export volumes.</li><li>Premium of Group II domestic light-grade base oils prices over export prices falls in response to narrowest level in more than two months.</li></ul>

US light-grade base oils domestic prices weaken versus feedstock/competing fuel prices; export price-differentials hold firmer.Diverging trends reflect weaker outright prices for domestic supplies and firmer prices for export volumes.Premium of Group II domestic light-grade base oils prices over export prices falls in response to narrowest level in more than two months.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 29 September

<ul><li>US base oils demand could ease amid expectations of ready availability of supply and steady-to-lower prices.</li><li>US demand typically rises in month of October from September before slowing in month of November.</li><li>Typical rise in demand in month of October would coincide with major plant shutdown for scheduled maintenance work.</li></ul>

US base oils demand could ease amid expectations of ready availability of supply and steady-to-lower prices.US demand typically rises in month of October from September before slowing in month of November.Typical rise in demand in month of October would coincide with major plant shutdown for scheduled maintenance work.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 29 September

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Global oil majors are slashing jobs and investments as weak demand, OPEC+ supply hikes, and rising costs drive the sharpest industry retrenchment since the 2020 collapse.</li>
<li>U.S. producers face added strain from tariffs, cost inflation, and consolidation, forcing capex cuts, layoffs, and highlighting the slowdown of shale-driven growth that once powered record output.</li>
<li>ExxonMobil emerges strongest among peers, supported by low debt, robust free cash flow, advantaged low-cost assets, and global diversification, giving it unmatched resilience in a prolonged low-price environment.</li>
</ul>


Global oil majors are slashing jobs and investments as weak demand, OPEC+ supply hikes, and rising costs drive the sharpest industry retrenchment since the 2020 collapse.
U.S. producers face added strain from tariffs, cost inflation, and consolidation, forcing capex cuts, layoffs, and highlighting the slowdown of shale-driven growth that once powered record output.
ExxonMobil emerges strongest among peers, supported by low debt, robust free cash flow, advantaged low-cost assets, and global diversification, giving it unmatched resilience in a prolonged low-price environment.


Oil and Gas Giants Shift from Expansion to Discipline Amid Supply Glut and Cost Pressures

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year. Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows...

Base Oil News

MENA: From Structural Underweight to Selective Rebuild

MENA stays structurally underweight but participation is rising, led by UAE and Saudi. Real Estate and Financials drive inflows, with Emaar, Al...

Steven Holden

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 29 September

US light-grade base oils domestic prices weaken versus feedstock/competing fuel prices; export price-differentials hold firmer. Diverging trends...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 29 September

US base oils demand could ease amid expectations of ready availability of supply and steady-to-lower prices. US demand typically rises in month of...

Base Oil News

Oil and Gas Giants Shift from Expansion to Discipline Amid Supply Glut and Cost Pressures

Global oil majors are cutting jobs and investments due to weak demand and rising costs, with ExxonMobil emerging as the strongest player thanks to...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 29 September

Asia’s Group II base oils prices stay unusually firm vs US export prices so far this year. Strength of Asia Group II prices curbs arbitrage flows...

Base Oil News

MENA: From Structural Underweight to Selective Rebuild

MENA stays structurally underweight but participation is rising, led by UAE and Saudi. Real Estate and Financials drive inflows, with Emaar, Al...

Steven Holden

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 29 September

US light-grade base oils domestic prices weaken versus feedstock/competing fuel prices; export price-differentials hold firmer. Diverging trends...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 29 September

US base oils demand could ease amid expectations of ready availability of supply and steady-to-lower prices. US demand typically rises in month of...

Base Oil News

Oil and Gas Giants Shift from Expansion to Discipline Amid Supply Glut and Cost Pressures

​Global oil majors are cutting jobs and investments due to weak demand and rising costs, with ExxonMobil emerging as the strongest player thanks to...

Mint Finance

Global oil majors are cutting jobs and investments due to weak demand and rising costs, with ExxonMobil emerging as the strongest player thanks to...