IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. </li>
<li>In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. </li>
<li>The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. 
In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by SBI Holdings (8473 JP) through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. 
The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Well Since SBI Group Took Control

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>TSE has approved the relisting of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, which is scheduled to go public on 17 December 2025 with an anticipated market cap of $8.4bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> is forecasted to achieve fast-entry in one Global index in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> may be included in the other Global index at the next review, subject to float cap risk.</li>
</ul>


TSE has approved the relisting of SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), which is scheduled to go public on 17 December 2025 with an anticipated market cap of $8.4bn.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) is forecasted to achieve fast-entry in one Global index in December.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) may be included in the other Global index at the next review, subject to float cap risk.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP): Fast-Entry Comeback

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> has extended its partial tender for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE Inc (4477 JP)</a> to 15 October, keeping the price at JPY340; the extension suggests acceptances have been tepid.</li>
<li>SBI may hold firm on price, given its record of not bumping partial offers, such as Shinsei in 2021, and peers' 6% median derating. </li>
<li>However, a bump remains likely: the major shareholders are unlikely to tender, and the extension suggests most minorities are also holding out at JPY340. </li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP) has extended its partial tender for BASE Inc (4477 JP) to 15 October, keeping the price at JPY340; the extension suggests acceptances have been tepid.
SBI may hold firm on price, given its record of not bumping partial offers, such as Shinsei in 2021, and peers' 6% median derating. 
However, a bump remains likely: the major shareholders are unlikely to tender, and the extension suggests most minorities are also holding out at JPY340. 


BASE (4477 JP): SBI’s Tender Extension Signals a Price Bump Is Needed

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan's banks can benefit from continued strong loan demand, with signals from the Tankan Survey and from the loan officer survey</li>
<li>The story for Japan's banks is not only about unwinding cross shareholdings and rising interest rates, but it's also about core lending</li>
<li>With bettering loan volume, with more demand and inclination to lend, banks can see benign credit metrics, further supporting profit delta</li>
</ul>


Japan's banks can benefit from continued strong loan demand, with signals from the Tankan Survey and from the loan officer survey
The story for Japan's banks is not only about unwinding cross shareholdings and rising interest rates, but it's also about core lending
With bettering loan volume, with more demand and inclination to lend, banks can see benign credit metrics, further supporting profit delta


Japan's Banks - Lending Is Strong, Loan Officer Survey Suggests More, Credit Costs Can Be Low

Japan

SBI Shinsei Bank, Ltd. provides banking services including deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction, as well as investment trust service and issuance of long-term bonds.

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SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)