Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect Thai inflation to continue easing from May to August, driven down by the high base effect and lower oil prices.</li><li>The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.</li><li>We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate by 25 bps to 2.00% in the meeting on May 31, 2023, which should be the last rate hike in this upcycle. </li></ul>

We expect Thai inflation to continue easing from May to August, driven down by the high base effect and lower oil prices.The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate by 25 bps to 2.00% in the meeting on May 31, 2023, which should be the last rate hike in this upcycle. 

Special Report: Inflation Remains on a Downtrend

<ul><li>Greater clarity after the general election should ease worries over a possible coup and a delay in the formation of a coalition government, which we expect to consist of three parties, i.e., the Pheu Thai Party, the Palang Pracharath Party and the Bhumjaithai Party, in our base-case scenario; this would reduce the risk premium of the SET Index, pushing it up to our target of 1,607 points.</li><li>Historical data from the five most recent elections shows that the SET increased by an average of +3.47% in the month after they were held; and in the week before and after the general elections took place, the index rose by 1.87% and 3.81%, respectively.</li><li>The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH, ADVANC and MINT.</li></ul>

Greater clarity after the general election should ease worries over a possible coup and a delay in the formation of a coalition government, which we expect to consist of three parties, i.e., the Pheu Thai Party, the Palang Pracharath Party and the Bhumjaithai Party, in our base-case scenario; this would reduce the risk premium of the SET Index, pushing it up to our target of 1,607 points.Historical data from the five most recent elections shows that the SET increased by an average of +3.47% in the month after they were held; and in the week before and after the general elections took place, the index rose by 1.87% and 3.81%, respectively.The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH, ADVANC and MINT.

Special Report: Election Rally (History to Repeat Itself)

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/straits-trading-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15745" rel="noopener">Straits Trading (STRTR SP)</a> acquires 2 freehold office buildings in Melbourne</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-sponsor-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19779" rel="noopener">First Sponsor (FSG SP)</a> FY21 net profit up 18% YoY; Led by property development segment, hotels’ recovery underway in CN and EUR</li><li>SREIT ETFs picks up retail investors as net buy continues into 2022</li></ul>

Straits Trading (STRTR SP) acquires 2 freehold office buildings in MelbourneFirst Sponsor (FSG SP) FY21 net profit up 18% YoY; Led by property development segment, hotels’ recovery underway in CN and EURSREIT ETFs picks up retail investors as net buy continues into 2022

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Feb22) - STRTR Buys 2 Melbourne Offices

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU fell 31.4% YoY; Delivering on turnaround story  </li><li>Oakwood plans to open 20 new properties in 2022; Targets to double portfolio by 2025</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-lai-huat-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9115" rel="noopener">HLH Group (HLHG SP)</a> optimistic on Cambodian market recovery in 2022</li></ul>

Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP) 2H21 DPU fell 31.4% YoY; Delivering on turnaround story  Oakwood plans to open 20 new properties in 2022; Targets to double portfolio by 2025HLH Group (HLHG SP) optimistic on Cambodian market recovery in 2022

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (20Jan22) - SSREIT Delivering on Turnaround Story

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aims-amp-capital-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:933" rel="noopener">AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP)</a> to acquire Woolworths headquarters at 5.17% NPI yield; Accretive to DPU by 4.7%</h3><ul><li>AAREIT has acquired Woolworths headquarters for a purchase consideration of AUD463.25m (~S$454.0m) from Inmark Asset Management. The property is fully leased to Woolworths Group – Australia’s largest supermarket retailer, top 10 ASX listed companies. Woolworths HQ property is a corporate campus with a total site area of 90,010sqm and a total NLA of 44,972sqm. The current NLA provides for significant development potential to circa 180,000sqm based on the maximum allowable GFA. The purchase consideration of AUD463.25m excludes transaction costs of ~AUD31.0m. As such, the total acquisition cost is AUD494.25m (~S$484.4m)</li><li>The property has a long-term lease balance of 10 years and built-in rental escalation of 2.75% pa. Portfolio value will be enlarged by 26.6% to over S$2.28bn, while WALE will rise to 4.92 years. Portfolio occupancy will rise to 95.9% (from 95.7%) and master lease will represent 48% of total portfolio (from 38%)</li><li>The initial NPI yield is 5.17% and AAREIT plans to funding this acquisition through a combination of debt financing, recently issued S$250m perpetual securities, and potentially EFR. The funding structure utilising local debt financing (56%) and perpetual securities (44%) will bring aggregate leverage to 38.6% and result in DPU accretion of 4.7% on FY21 pro-forma basis. Upon settlement, the Manager has elected to receive the acquisition fee in AAREIT units</li><li>Following the completion of the proposed acquisition, AAREIT will have a total of 29 properties, of which 26 properties are located throughout Singapore (62%) and the remaining in Australia (38%).</li></ul>

SingaporeAIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) to acquire Woolworths headquarters at 5.17% NPI yield; Accretive to DPU by 4.7%AAREIT has acquired Woolworths headquarters for a purchase consideration of AUD463.25m (~S$454.0m) from Inmark Asset Management. The property is fully leased to Woolworths Group – Australia’s largest supermarket retailer, top 10 ASX listed companies. Woolworths HQ property is a corporate campus with a total site area of 90,010sqm and a total NLA of 44,972sqm. The current NLA provides for significant development potential to circa 180,000sqm based on the maximum allowable GFA. The purchase consideration of AUD463.25m excludes transaction costs of ~AUD31.0m. As such, the total acquisition cost is AUD494.25m (~S$484.4m)The property has a long-term lease balance of 10 years and built-in rental escalation of 2.75% pa. Portfolio value will be enlarged by 26.6% to over S$2.28bn, while WALE will rise to 4.92 years. Portfolio occupancy will rise to 95.9% (from 95.7%) and master lease will represent 48% of total portfolio (from 38%)The initial NPI yield is 5.17% and AAREIT plans to funding this acquisition through a combination of debt financing, recently issued S$250m perpetual securities, and potentially EFR. The funding structure utilising local debt financing (56%) and perpetual securities (44%) will bring aggregate leverage to 38.6% and result in DPU accretion of 4.7% on FY21 pro-forma basis. Upon settlement, the Manager has elected to receive the acquisition fee in AAREIT unitsFollowing the completion of the proposed acquisition, AAREIT will have a total of 29 properties, of which 26 properties are located throughout Singapore (62%) and the remaining in Australia (38%).

Thailand

SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited develops real estate properties for sale and rental.  The Company owns and manages Shinawatra Tower III office building. Additionally, SC Asset and its subsidiaries own Shinawatra Tower I and Shinawatra Tower II office buildings, develop single house, condominium and office building projects, and provide management consultant services.

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SC Asset Corp (SC TB)

Special Report: Inflation Remains on a Downtrend

The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.

Krungthai XSpring

Special Report: Election Rally (History to Repeat Itself)

The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH,...

Krungthai XSpring

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Feb22) - STRTR Buys 2 Melbourne Offices

Retail investors net BUY the SREITs sector; SC targets THB22bn in presales and revs; PRMX to complete San Juan tower; Klang Valley incoming retail...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (20Jan22) - SSREIT Delivering on Turnaround Story

SSREIT delivering on turnaround story; Oakwood targets double portfolio by 2025; HLHG bullish on Cambodia; MEG buys 2.2ha MJC property for...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Oct21)

AAREIT acquires Woolworths HQ, DPU accretive by +4.7%; Luxury condo prices climbing 5.2% YoY in 3Q21; Mapletree buys S$4bn US logistics assets; SC...

SCCM Asia Research

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