Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. </li>
<li>One new deal this week: Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a></strong> A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. 
One new deal this week: Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.
Keys updates took place for: Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) and Shinsei Bank (8303 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary:  Crown Resorts, Singapore Press, Shinsei Bank

<ul>
<li>There are currently 49  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. </li>
<li>New deals this week include: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quantum-health-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9494:1" rel="noopener">Quantum Health Group (QTM AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toppan-forms-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5061:1" rel="noopener">Toppan Forms (7862 JP)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katakura-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2007:1" rel="noopener">Katakura Industries (3001 JP)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissei-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10064:1" rel="noopener">Nissei Corp (6271 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a></strong>,<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-super-market-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15519:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Super (9919 JP)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2583:1" rel="noopener">Nippo Corp (1881 JP)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP). </a></strong>
</li>
</ul>


There are currently 49  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. 
New deals this week include: Quantum Health Group (QTM AU), Toppan Forms (7862 JP), Katakura Industries (3001 JP), and Nissei Corp (6271 JP).
Keys updates took place for: Sydney Airport (SYD AU),Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU), Kansai Super (9919 JP), Nippo Corp (1881 JP), and Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP). 



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Oil Search, Nippo, Singapore Press, Toppan Forms

<div>
<p>This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.


I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.


More below the fold.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Aussie Pharma, Milton, Shinsei Bank

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Daibochi Plastic & Packaging Industry / Event-Driven

<p>On 13th September 2021, Malaysia based packaging material manufacturer and property developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scientex-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2408:1" rel="noopener">Scientex (SCI MK)</a> launched an <a href="https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=118460&amp;name=EA_GA_ATTACHMENTS" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Unconditional Voluntary Take-Over Offer</a> to buy all the remaining shares in their 61.88%-owned subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daibochi-plastic-packaging-industry-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15164:1" rel="noopener">Daibochi (DPP MK)</a>.  </p><p>Scientex will pay RM2.70 per ordinary share and RM0.32 per warrant in cash. The Offer is for 124,784,759 ordinary shares (representing 38.12% of the total issued shares) and 26,137,985 warrants (representing 95.75% of the outstanding Warrants). The overall size of the Deal is approximately US$80mn. </p><div><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p></div><hr><div><div class="content-remarks"><p>For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Malaysia, please refer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-malaysia-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30129" rel="noopener">Quiddity Malaysia M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> </p></div></div>

On 13th September 2021, Malaysia based packaging material manufacturer and property developer Scientex (SCI MK) launched an Unconditional Voluntary Take-Over Offer to buy all the remaining shares in their 61.88%-owned subsidiary Daibochi (DPP MK).  Scientex will pay RM2.70 per ordinary share and RM0.32 per warrant in cash. The Offer is for 124,784,759 ordinary shares (representing 38.12% of the total issued shares) and 26,137,985 warrants (representing 95.75% of the outstanding Warrants). The overall size of the Deal is approximately US$80mn. More below the fold. For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Malaysia, please refer to Quiddity Malaysia M&amp;A Guide 2019 

Scientex - Daibochi: Unconditional Voluntary Take-Over Offer

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> renews second major lease in Hengde Logistics (BUY; TP S$0.80/unit)</h3><p>ECWREIT has renewed a second major lease of some 74,057sqm in relation to Hengde Logistics with China Tobacco Zhejiang Industrial. The second major lease (Phase 2 renewal) came after a successful renewal of 152,752sqm of space in Oct20 (Phase 1 renewal). During the Phase 2 renewal, China Tobacco committed to a lease term of 2.65 years to coincide with the expiry of the Phase 1 renewal. Both leases with China Tobacco will expire on 31Dec23. Although the renewal rental rate contracted for the Phase 2 renewal is 8.8% lower than the existing rental rate, the effective blended rental rate of Phase 1 renewal and Phase 2 renewal is 2.2% lower than the effective blended rental rate of the expiring China Tobacco leases at Hengde Logistics Phase 1 and Phase 2. Similar to the Phase 1 Renewal, China Tobacco informed that they will no longer require the warehouse management services for the Phase 2 Renewal due to their internal restructuring. ECWREIT expects the Phase 2 Renewal to reduce ECWREIT’s revenue by 0.8%.</p><p>Comments: The Phase 2 renewal rate at -8.8% came as a surprise with a high single-digit negative reversion, compared the positive reversion of +1.1% in its Phase 1 renewal. This also deviates from mgmt.’s earlier guidance of “similar renewal terms as Phase 1”, which we expect should be “flattish”. While pending further information on the rationale behind such renewal, on a “all-in” basis, we expect a ~3% decrease from FY20 Gross Revenue following its two renewals. We currently have a BUY rating and TP of S$0.80/unit, and will review our recommendations upon results release tomorrow.</p><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28059" rel="noopener">Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP)</a> Dallas hotel sale falls through after missed deposit deadline</h3><p>EAGLEHT will not be going ahead with the planned sale of its property in Texas, as the buyer missed the deadline for a deposit. The sale and purchase agreement for Crowne Plaza Dallas Near Galleria-Addison (CPDG) was thus terminated on 4May. EAGLEHT’s wholly-owned subsidiary will hold on to initial deposits of US$1.45m in the aborted US$18.5m deal with buyer Lockwood Development Partners. Numerous EHT entities had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in a Delaware court in 2021. But CPDG is not directly owned by a Chapter 11 entity, so it does not enjoy bankruptcy protection under Section 363 of the United States Bankruptcy Code. Amid the Chapter 11 entities’ limited ability to support CPDG, the decision was made to sell off CPDG, in the face of potential difficulty fetching a higher price in an auction, and the risk that a lender would foreclose on the property after mortgage loan defaults. But the EAGLEHT unit involved in the sale axed the agreement as the buyer did not meet the 3May deadline for an extra deposit of US$1.05m.</p><h3>One Bernam records 80 units sales (23% take-up rate) on its opening weekend</h3><p>MCC Group and Hao Yuan Investment said that over 80 units or 80% of the first phase of 100 units released at their JV project, One Bernam, were sold. This means ~23% out of a total of the 351units in the 99-year leasehold, mixed-use development, has been sold at ~S$2,650psf ASP. More than 90% of the units that were taken up were one- and two-bedroom units sized from 441-872sqft, priced upwards of S$1.017m. Most of the buyers are said to be Singapore citizens and Permanent Residents. In addition to the 351 residential units, One Bernam contains a two-storey retail podium of 15,726sqft, and one floor of serviced apartments with 13 keys. While one- and two-bedroom units make up 91% of the residences in the project, there are 29 three-bedroom apartments of 1,421sqft. There are also two units of three-bedroom penthouses with sizes of 1,744-1,948sqft, while the largest penthouse is 4,306sqft in size and contains five bedrooms. </p><h3>Biggest penthouse at Park Nova sold at S$5,838psf, a record for Orchard Boulevard area</h3><p>Park Nova, Shun Tak Holdings’ luxury condo in Singapore’s Orchard Boulevard-Tomlinson area, has recorded five units sales for well over $100m. The two biggest five-bedroom penthouses in the 54-unit luxury condo at 18 Tomlinson Road fetched S$34.438m and S$26.026m, respectively. The biggest penthouse of 5,899sqft garnered interest from more than one party and almost had to be sold via balloting. However, one party prevailed and emerged the eventual buyer at S$34.438m or S$5,838psf. The transaction price of S$26.026m for the second biggest penthouse of 4,499sqft, worked out to S$5,785psf. The third and smallest penthouse of 3,229sqft is also believed to have been sold for above S$17m.</p>

SingaporeEC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) renews second major lease in Hengde Logistics (BUY; TP S$0.80/unit)ECWREIT has renewed a second major lease of some 74,057sqm in relation to Hengde Logistics with China Tobacco Zhejiang Industrial. The second major lease (Phase 2 renewal) came after a successful renewal of 152,752sqm of space in Oct20 (Phase 1 renewal). During the Phase 2 renewal, China Tobacco committed to a lease term of 2.65 years to coincide with the expiry of the Phase 1 renewal. Both leases with China Tobacco will expire on 31Dec23. Although the renewal rental rate contracted for the Phase 2 renewal is 8.8% lower than the existing rental rate, the effective blended rental rate of Phase 1 renewal and Phase 2 renewal is 2.2% lower than the effective blended rental rate of the expiring China Tobacco leases at Hengde Logistics Phase 1 and Phase 2. Similar to the Phase 1 Renewal, China Tobacco informed that they will no longer require the warehouse management services for the Phase 2 Renewal due to their internal restructuring. ECWREIT expects the Phase 2 Renewal to reduce ECWREIT’s revenue by 0.8%.Comments: The Phase 2 renewal rate at -8.8% came as a surprise with a high single-digit negative reversion, compared the positive reversion of +1.1% in its Phase 1 renewal. This also deviates from mgmt.’s earlier guidance of “similar renewal terms as Phase 1”, which we expect should be “flattish”. While pending further information on the rationale behind such renewal, on a “all-in” basis, we expect a ~3% decrease from FY20 Gross Revenue following its two renewals. We currently have a BUY rating and TP of S$0.80/unit, and will review our recommendations upon results release tomorrow.Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP) Dallas hotel sale falls through after missed deposit deadlineEAGLEHT will not be going ahead with the planned sale of its property in Texas, as the buyer missed the deadline for a deposit. The sale and purchase agreement for Crowne Plaza Dallas Near Galleria-Addison (CPDG) was thus terminated on 4May. EAGLEHT’s wholly-owned subsidiary will hold on to initial deposits of US$1.45m in the aborted US$18.5m deal with buyer Lockwood Development Partners. Numerous EHT entities had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in a Delaware court in 2021. But CPDG is not directly owned by a Chapter 11 entity, so it does not enjoy bankruptcy protection under Section 363 of the United States Bankruptcy Code. Amid the Chapter 11 entities’ limited ability to support CPDG, the decision was made to sell off CPDG, in the face of potential difficulty fetching a higher price in an auction, and the risk that a lender would foreclose on the property after mortgage loan defaults. But the EAGLEHT unit involved in the sale axed the agreement as the buyer did not meet the 3May deadline for an extra deposit of US$1.05m.One Bernam records 80 units sales (23% take-up rate) on its opening weekendMCC Group and Hao Yuan Investment said that over 80 units or 80% of the first phase of 100 units released at their JV project, One Bernam, were sold. This means ~23% out of a total of the 351units in the 99-year leasehold, mixed-use development, has been sold at ~S$2,650psf ASP. More than 90% of the units that were taken up were one- and two-bedroom units sized from 441-872sqft, priced upwards of S$1.017m. Most of the buyers are said to be Singapore citizens and Permanent Residents. In addition to the 351 residential units, One Bernam contains a two-storey retail podium of 15,726sqft, and one floor of serviced apartments with 13 keys. While one- and two-bedroom units make up 91% of the residences in the project, there are 29 three-bedroom apartments of 1,421sqft. There are also two units of three-bedroom penthouses with sizes of 1,744-1,948sqft, while the largest penthouse is 4,306sqft in size and contains five bedrooms. Biggest penthouse at Park Nova sold at S$5,838psf, a record for Orchard Boulevard areaPark Nova, Shun Tak Holdings’ luxury condo in Singapore’s Orchard Boulevard-Tomlinson area, has recorded five units sales for well over $100m. The two biggest five-bedroom penthouses in the 54-unit luxury condo at 18 Tomlinson Road fetched S$34.438m and S$26.026m, respectively. The biggest penthouse of 5,899sqft garnered interest from more than one party and almost had to be sold via balloting. However, one party prevailed and emerged the eventual buyer at S$34.438m or S$5,838psf. The transaction price of S$26.026m for the second biggest penthouse of 4,499sqft, worked out to S$5,785psf. The third and smallest penthouse of 3,229sqft is also believed to have been sold for above S$17m.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10May21) - ECWREIT renews major Hengde logistics lease

Malaysia

Scientex Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries manufactures polyvinyl chloride (PVC), polyurethane leather sheetings, packaging materials, bricks, and automotive parts.  Scientex also operates in property investment, development, and leasing, as well as deals in securities.

Scientex Bhd (SCI MK)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, Singapore Press, Shinsei Bank

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

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Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Oil Search, Nippo, Singapore Press, Toppan Forms

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

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Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Aussie Pharma, Milton, Shinsei Bank

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Scientex - Daibochi: Unconditional Voluntary Take-Over Offer

Malaysia based packaging material manufacturer Scientex launched an Unconditional Voluntary Take-Over Offer to buy all the remaining shares in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10May21) - ECWREIT renews major Hengde logistics lease

ECWREIT renews major Hengde logistics lease; EAGLEHT Dallas hotel sales fell through; ALI recovering slowly but surely, RLC 1Q21 results weighed by...

SCCM Asia Research