IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that KKR and TPG are exploring options, including a buyout of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a>, and are gauging initial interest from other global investors.</li>
<li>The favoured privatisation option for US ADRs with the Cayman Islands incorporation is a statutory merger requiring a two-thirds voting approval threshold. </li>
<li>The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders, facilitating a modest takeover premium. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that KKR and TPG are exploring options, including a buyout of PropertyGuru (PGRU US), and are gauging initial interest from other global investors.
The favoured privatisation option for US ADRs with the Cayman Islands incorporation is a statutory merger requiring a two-thirds voting approval threshold. 
The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders, facilitating a modest takeover premium. 


PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our two previous Int'l Compass reports (Aug. 18 &amp; 24) we discussed that we were buyers on the pullback to the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>$93 on ACWI is 1+ year base support and a level that coincides with the 10-month uptrend. We remain bullish as long as the ACWI-US is above $93.</li>
<li>$93 on ACWI-US is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY can stay below respective resistance levels (4.3%-4.35% and $103.70-$105.70).</li>
</ul>


In our two previous Int'l Compass reports (Aug. 18 &amp; 24) we discussed that we were buyers on the pullback to the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
$93 on ACWI is 1+ year base support and a level that coincides with the 10-month uptrend. We remain bullish as long as the ACWI-US is above $93.
$93 on ACWI-US is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY can stay below respective resistance levels (4.3%-4.35% and $103.70-$105.70).


Further Declines in DXY, Sovereign Yields May Provide More Fuel for a Rally in Global Equities

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cartrade-tech-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33474:1" rel="noopener">Cartrade (0056989Z IN)</a> is a leading online destination for auto consumers in India. CarWale and BikeWale, key brands owned by CarTrade, ranked number one on relative online search popularity when compared to their key competitors over the last three years, according to Google Trends data. CarTrade’s shareholders include Warburg Pincus (34.44% of fully diluted shares), Temasek (26.48%), JP Morgan (11.93%) and March Capital (7.09%). CarTrade is looking to raise Rs28 billion ($375 million) through an IPO in India, according to press reports. The IPO comprises a pure offer for sale of 18.53 million shares by its existing shareholders and promoters. The IPO is set to launch on 9 August.  India was the fifth largest car market in the world in 2019 and is forecasted to become the third-largest auto market in the world as measured by volume in 2025, according to RedSeer. The COVID-19 pandemic has also resulted in a shift in preference towards used cars as people limit their use of public transportation. Indian auto OEMs spent only 14% of their total ad budgets on digital advertising, which is significantly lower than the global average of 42% in 2020, according to RedSeer. <div class="content-highlight">The growing auto market combined with the rising penetration of digital ad spend presents an attractive opportunity for auto transaction platforms such as CarTrade. CarTrade is capitalising on this market opportunity as evidenced by its highly popular platforms, solid organic growth, strong margins and healthy cash generation. Overall, we think that CarTrade is an attractive play on India’s new economy sector.</div>

Cartrade (0056989Z IN) is a leading online destination for auto consumers in India. CarWale and BikeWale, key brands owned by CarTrade, ranked number one on relative online search popularity when compared to their key competitors over the last three years, according to Google Trends data. CarTrade’s shareholders include Warburg Pincus (34.44% of fully diluted shares), Temasek (26.48%), JP Morgan (11.93%) and March Capital (7.09%). CarTrade is looking to raise Rs28 billion ($375 million) through an IPO in India, according to press reports. The IPO comprises a pure offer for sale of 18.53 million shares by its existing shareholders and promoters. The IPO is set to launch on 9 August.  India was the fifth largest car market in the world in 2019 and is forecasted to become the third-largest auto market in the world as measured by volume in 2025, according to RedSeer. The COVID-19 pandemic has also resulted in a shift in preference towards used cars as people limit their use of public transportation. Indian auto OEMs spent only 14% of their total ad budgets on digital advertising, which is significantly lower than the global average of 42% in 2020, according to RedSeer. The growing auto market combined with the rising penetration of digital ad spend presents an attractive opportunity for auto transaction platforms such as CarTrade. CarTrade is capitalising on this market opportunity as evidenced by its highly popular platforms, solid organic growth, strong margins and healthy cash generation. Overall, we think that CarTrade is an attractive play on India’s new economy sector.

CarTrade Tech IPO Initiation: Shifting Gears

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, on 23rd Jul 2021, that they have entered into a business combination agreement which will see PropertyGuru go public in the US. The transaction will value PropertyGuru at an EV of US$1.35bn and equity value of US$1.78bn.We have looked at the company’s prior listing attempt when it tried to list in Australia in 2019. In this note, we will comment on the current listing arrangement.Link to our previous notes:<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/propertyguru-ipo-powered-by-singapore-recharged-by-vietnam-but-dragged-down-by-others" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru IPO - Powered by Singapore, Recharged by Vietnam but Dragged Down by Others</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/propertyguru-ipo-sotp-leaves-one-well-short-of-the-low-end" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru IPO - SOTP Leaves One Well Short of the Low-End</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/propertyguru-ipo-agents-q-a-shows-its-stranglehold-in-s-pore-throws-up-some-interesting-nuggets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru IPO - Agents Q&amp;A Shows Its Stranglehold in S’pore; Throws up Some Interesting Nuggets</a></li>
</ul>

PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, on 23rd Jul 2021, that they have entered into a business combination agreement which will see PropertyGuru go public in the US. The transaction will value PropertyGuru at an EV of US$1.35bn and equity value of US$1.78bn.We have looked at the company’s prior listing attempt when it tried to list in Australia in 2019. In this note, we will comment on the current listing arrangement.Link to our previous notes:
PropertyGuru IPO - Powered by Singapore, Recharged by Vietnam but Dragged Down by Others
PropertyGuru IPO - SOTP Leaves One Well Short of the Low-End
PropertyGuru IPO - Agents Q&amp;A Shows Its Stranglehold in S’pore; Throws up Some Interesting Nuggets


PropertyGuru/Bridgetown 2 SPAC Listing/Merger - Second Time Lucky - Some Food for Thought

Autohome Inc (Adr) / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autohome-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20234:1" rel="noopener">Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US)</a> is a leading online destination for auto consumers in China, ranking first among automotive service platforms as measured by mobile daily active users as of 31 December 2020 according to QuestMobile. Autohome passed its Hong Kong listing committee hearing and could raise up to $1 billion through a secondary listing, according to press reports. <div class="content-highlight">Autohome joins the second wave of Hong Kong secondary listings set to hit the screens in the coming months. Autohome like several companies which pursued secondary listings in the past, does not require the funds as its cash-rich and highly cash generative. Autohome is an attractive equity story as it is a leading online auto platform that can capitalise on the opportunities presented by China’s recovering auto market, in our view. </div>

Autohome Inc (Adr) (ATHM US) is a leading online destination for auto consumers in China, ranking first among automotive service platforms as measured by mobile daily active users as of 31 December 2020 according to QuestMobile. Autohome passed its Hong Kong listing committee hearing and could raise up to $1 billion through a secondary listing, according to press reports. Autohome joins the second wave of Hong Kong secondary listings set to hit the screens in the coming months. Autohome like several companies which pursued secondary listings in the past, does not require the funds as its cash-rich and highly cash generative. Autohome is an attractive equity story as it is a leading online auto platform that can capitalise on the opportunities presented by China’s recovering auto market, in our view. 

Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online

Germany

Scout24 AG is an operator of digital classifieds platforms. The Company specializes in the real estate and automotive sectors in Germany and other selected European countries.

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Scout24 AG (G24 GR)

PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout

The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders,...

Arun George

Further Declines in DXY, Sovereign Yields May Provide More Fuel for a Rally in Global Equities

We continue to believe $93 on $ACWI is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield $TNX and $DXY can stay below their...

Vermilion Research

CarTrade Tech IPO Initiation: Shifting Gears

CarTrade is looking to raise Rs28 billion ($375 million) through an IPO in India. Overall, we think that CarTrade is an attractive play on India’s...

Arun George

PropertyGuru/Bridgetown 2 SPAC Listing/Merger - Second Time Lucky - Some Food for Thought

PropertyGuru and Bridgetown 2 announced, that they have merge to take PropertyGuru go public in the US. The transaction will value PropertyGuru at...

Sumeet Singh

Autohome Secondary Listing: Motoring Online

Autohome passed its HK listing hearing for a $1 billion secondary listing. Autohome is an attractive equity story that can capitalise on the...

Arun George

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