Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Screen numbers a headline miss but outlook for guidance hike over 2Q numbers remains.</li>
<li>Shin Etsu drop on back of PVC weakness could be short lived on a more dovish outcome.</li>
<li>Renesas down after numbers with market wanting more clarity over comments that 2026 remains "unclear".</li>
</ul>


Screen numbers a headline miss but outlook for guidance hike over 2Q numbers remains.
Shin Etsu drop on back of PVC weakness could be short lived on a more dovish outcome.
Renesas down after numbers with market wanting more clarity over comments that 2026 remains "unclear".


Japan Morning Connection: EU Trade Deal Should Help JP Names with High European Exposure Gain

<ul>
<li>Big gains for AMD with analysts more upbeat than last weeks reaction to its AI conference suggests.</li>
<li>Advantest 9.6% yesterday on broker comments should see market hunting for laggards such as Kokusai Electric.</li>
<li>Estee lauder seeing an uptick in China may help beleaguered Shiseido and Kose move higher.</li>
</ul>


Big gains for AMD with analysts more upbeat than last weeks reaction to its AI conference suggests.
Advantest 9.6% yesterday on broker comments should see market hunting for laggards such as Kokusai Electric.
Estee lauder seeing an uptick in China may help beleaguered Shiseido and Kose move higher.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

<ul>
<li>Intel relief rally didn't last, but Broadcom rebounded after a week of selling despite Apple weakness.</li>
<li>Oracle is 7% in late-trading after posting very bullish cloud and cloud infra guidance.</li>
<li>Record sales for Nintendo's Switch2 console not enough to keep stock moving higher.</li>
</ul>


Intel relief rally didn't last, but Broadcom rebounded after a week of selling despite Apple weakness.
Oracle is 7% in late-trading after posting very bullish cloud and cloud infra guidance.
Record sales for Nintendo's Switch2 console not enough to keep stock moving higher.


Japan Morning Connection: Rumors Micron May Lift DDR4 Prices Lifts Sentiment for All Things Memory

<ul>
<li>Applied Digital landing a big data center order from CoreWeave lifting AI related plays setting upbeat tone for SPE.</li>
<li>Big Chinese SiC capacity coming online further adding to the price pressures for Rohm.</li>
<li>Square Enix cancelling its 'Project Gemini' with Polish developer another foreign flop reminiscent of Avengers?</li>
</ul>


Applied Digital landing a big data center order from CoreWeave lifting AI related plays setting upbeat tone for SPE.
Big Chinese SiC capacity coming online further adding to the price pressures for Rohm.
Square Enix cancelling its 'Project Gemini' with Polish developer another foreign flop reminiscent of Avengers?


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Growth expectations have come down, 2025 now expected flat YoY  1) China, Auto &amp; Industrial Capex declining 2) Intel inflated Capex is deflating 3) capacity add only from HBM, AI </li>
<li>The big structural positives continue (HBM, GAA, BSPD, High NA). This means higher Capex intensity. From 3nm to 14A, Capex doubles.  Wafer price doubles. </li>
<li>The risk is to overestimate demand: who can afford chips 2x more expensive? Chips that generate revenue or lower costs, ie chips that run applications in Data Centers</li>
</ul>


Growth expectations have come down, 2025 now expected flat YoY  1) China, Auto &amp; Industrial Capex declining 2) Intel inflated Capex is deflating 3) capacity add only from HBM, AI 
The big structural positives continue (HBM, GAA, BSPD, High NA). This means higher Capex intensity. From 3nm to 14A, Capex doubles.  Wafer price doubles. 
The risk is to overestimate demand: who can afford chips 2x more expensive? Chips that generate revenue or lower costs, ie chips that run applications in Data Centers


Semi Production Equipment Part 1: Great Tech Upgrades but Expectations Are Still Inflated

Japan

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

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SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: EU Trade Deal Should Help JP Names with High European Exposure Gain

Screen's numbers were a miss which might open a buy the dip opportunity. Reaction to Shin Etsu guidance may have been excessive. Names with high EU...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

Japan SPE underperformers may catch a bid. Estee Lauder's jump up has positive implications for Japan's Shiseido and Kose.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rumors Micron May Lift DDR4 Prices Lifts Sentiment for All Things Memory

Broadcom rebounds after earnings driven weakness. Quantum names up after positive comments from Jensen Huang. Nintendo's record sales fail to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...

Andrew Jackson

Semi Production Equipment Part 1: Great Tech Upgrades but Expectations Are Still Inflated

SEMI PROD EQUIIPMENT growth expectations have decreased, 2025 expected flat YoY. Structural positives like HBM and AI drive higher capex...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: EU Trade Deal Should Help JP Names with High European Exposure Gain

Screen's numbers were a miss which might open a buy the dip opportunity. Reaction to Shin Etsu guidance may have been excessive. Names with high EU...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran's Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

Japan SPE underperformers may catch a bid. Estee Lauder's jump up has positive implications for Japan's Shiseido and Kose.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rumors Micron May Lift DDR4 Prices Lifts Sentiment for All Things Memory

​Broadcom rebounds after earnings driven weakness. Quantum names up after positive comments from Jensen Huang. Nintendo's record sales fail to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Rising from Morning Lows on Expectations for a Trump-Xi Call

​Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...

Andrew Jackson

Semi Production Equipment Part 1: Great Tech Upgrades but Expectations Are Still Inflated

​SEMI PROD EQUIIPMENT growth expectations have decreased, 2025 expected flat YoY. Structural positives like HBM and AI drive higher capex...

Nicolas Baratte

Broadcom rebounds after earnings driven weakness. Quantum names up after positive comments from Jensen Huang. Nintendo's record sales fail to...

Applied Digital secures big data center order, setting a good tone for AI and SPE. Chinese SiC capacity increase adds pressure for Rohm. Potential...

SEMI PROD EQUIIPMENT growth expectations have decreased, 2025 expected flat YoY. Structural positives like HBM and AI drive higher capex...