Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market, and it is quite possible that the lows have been established on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>Upgrading EM to Market Weight; MSCI Emerging Markets, China (shanghai Composite) and Hong Kong (Hang Seng) Still Bottoming; we discussed buying in our February 23, 2024 Int'l Compass
</li>
<li>Commodities all appear to be rolling over near resistance, which is what we discussed to watch for in our April 18, 2024 Int'l Compass. This has bullish implications for ACWI</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market, and it is quite possible that the lows have been established on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
Upgrading EM to Market Weight; MSCI Emerging Markets, China (shanghai Composite) and Hong Kong (Hang Seng) Still Bottoming; we discussed buying in our February 23, 2024 Int'l Compass

Commodities all appear to be rolling over near resistance, which is what we discussed to watch for in our April 18, 2024 Int'l Compass. This has bullish implications for ACWI


Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> released its 1Q2024 results this week with some palpable relief as it booked its first adjusted EBITDA but underlying revenue growth remains strong, especially for its O2O business. </li>
<li>The company saw take rates improve for both its Mitra O2O business and its marketplace businesses, helping to drive revenue growth. Costs were also reduced allowing for positive contribution margins. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> is expected to see sustainable profitability accompanied by revenue growth, with the marketplace recovering with improving product mix. BUKA'S "orphan" cash pile remains an issue but valuations are attractive.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak released its 1Q2024 results this week with some palpable relief as it booked its first adjusted EBITDA but underlying revenue growth remains strong, especially for its O2O business. 
The company saw take rates improve for both its Mitra O2O business and its marketplace businesses, helping to drive revenue growth. Costs were also reduced allowing for positive contribution margins. 

Bukalapak is expected to see sustainable profitability accompanied by revenue growth, with the marketplace recovering with improving product mix. BUKA'S "orphan" cash pile remains an issue but valuations are attractive.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Eureka Moment with Better Visibility Ahead

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28807:1" rel="noopener">Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP)</a> and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. </li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> on the LQ45 in Indonesia. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP) and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. 
There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from Brian Freitas on the LQ45 in Indonesia. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying business performance.</li><li>Founded in 2009 as Garena by CEO Forrest Li, the company rebranded to Sea Ltd in 2017 and gained access to a wide range of games through Tencent's investment in 2010.</li><li>After achieving profitability in 2023, Sea Ltd is now focused on accelerating growth and drawing comparisons to Amazon's early years.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying business performance.Founded in 2009 as Garena by CEO Forrest Li, the company rebranded to Sea Ltd in 2017 and gained access to a wide range of games through Tencent's investment in 2010.After achieving profitability in 2023, Sea Ltd is now focused on accelerating growth and drawing comparisons to Amazon's early years.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>03888 HK/BIDU US/BABA US: Kingsoft WPS has released an upgraded AI version, with the new AI platform integrating "Ernie Bot" and "Qwen". (+)</li>
<li>700 HK/002624 CH/BILI US: The NPPA Has Released the Latest Batch of Import Game Code Approvals. (+/+/-)</li>
<li>1519.HK/SE: J&amp;T reports Southeast Asia parcel volume increased 55% yoy in 1Q24 (+)</li>
</ul>


03888 HK/BIDU US/BABA US: Kingsoft WPS has released an upgraded AI version, with the new AI platform integrating "Ernie Bot" and "Qwen". (+)
700 HK/002624 CH/BILI US: The NPPA Has Released the Latest Batch of Import Game Code Approvals. (+/+/-)
1519.HK/SE: J&amp;T reports Southeast Asia parcel volume increased 55% yoy in 1Q24 (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:3888 HK/BIDU/BABA/700HK/002624 CH/BILI/1519HK/SE/JD/NTES /ATVI/MSFT

Singapore

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sea Ltd (SE US)

Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

Upgrading Emerging Markets $EEM $VWO to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom $FXI $MCHI $KWEB; Lows Likely in on $ACWI; Commodities...

Vermilion Research

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Eureka Moment with Better Visibility Ahead

Bukalapak is expected to see sustainable profitability accompanied by revenue growth, with the marketplace recovering with a better product mix....

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Limited (SE) - Friday, Jan 12, 2024

Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:3888 HK/BIDU/BABA/700HK/002624 CH/BILI/1519HK/SE/JD/NTES /ATVI/MSFT

Kingsoft WPS upgrades AI version with "Ernie Bot" and "Qwen", NPPA releases new import game code approvals, J&T reports 55% yoy parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Emerging Markets to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom; Energy Breakdowns

Upgrading Emerging Markets $EEM $VWO to Market Weight; China/Hong Kong Continue to Bottom $FXI $MCHI $KWEB; Lows Likely in on $ACWI; Commodities...

Vermilion Research

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Eureka Moment with Better Visibility Ahead

Bukalapak is expected to see sustainable profitability accompanied by revenue growth, with the marketplace recovering with a better product mix....

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Limited (SE) - Friday, Jan 12, 2024

Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:3888 HK/BIDU/BABA/700HK/002624 CH/BILI/1519HK/SE/JD/NTES /ATVI/MSFT

​Kingsoft WPS upgrades AI version with "Ernie Bot" and "Qwen", NPPA releases new import game code approvals, J&T reports 55% yoy parcel volume...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kingsoft WPS upgrades AI version with "Ernie Bot" and "Qwen", NPPA releases new import game code approvals, J&T reports 55% yoy parcel volume...