ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erajaya-swasembada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18869:1" rel="noopener">Erajaya</a> recently released its 1Q2023 results with net sales increasing by +29% YoY but with -20.5% decrease in net profit due to increased opex related to its expansion and inventory build.</li>
<li>The company plans to add 400 new outlets this year, lower than last year's 575, as it ramps up its newer stores, which should help to improve profitability in 2H2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erajaya-swasembada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18869:1" rel="noopener">Erajaya</a> continues to add to its stable of brands outside mobile handsets, including JD Sports, Wellings, Grand Lucky, The Face Shop, Paris Baguette, and has launched EraBlue with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mobile-world-investment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22638:1" rel="noopener">Mobile World</a>.</li>
</ul>



Erajaya recently released its 1Q2023 results with net sales increasing by +29% YoY but with -20.5% decrease in net profit due to increased opex related to its expansion and inventory build.
The company plans to add 400 new outlets this year, lower than last year's 575, as it ramps up its newer stores, which should help to improve profitability in 2H2023.

Erajaya continues to add to its stable of brands outside mobile handsets, including JD Sports, Wellings, Grand Lucky, The Face Shop, Paris Baguette, and has launched EraBlue with Mobile World.


Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) - In Ramping Up Mode

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)</li>
<li>700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)</li>
<li>XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )</li>
</ul>


BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)
700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version was launched on July 14th (+/-)
XPEV : Xpeng denies planning of PHEV pipelines  ( / )


China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

Equity Capital Markets

J&T Global Express  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>J&amp;T’s China growth will slow from a lack of (1) M&amp;A targets, and (2) cash to sustain a price war. SEA’s growth will slow, and profit margin decline due to</li>
<li> (1) Shopee in-sourcing of high-profit parcels(2) PE-backed rivals using price wars to gain market share. Lower penetration of China supply-chain platforms will stunt J&amp;T’s growth in New Markets, we expect.</li>
<li>In our base case we value J&amp;T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&amp;T’s valuation in its latest round of funding.</li>
</ul>


J&amp;T’s China growth will slow from a lack of (1) M&amp;A targets, and (2) cash to sustain a price war. SEA’s growth will slow, and profit margin decline due to
 (1) Shopee in-sourcing of high-profit parcels(2) PE-backed rivals using price wars to gain market share. Lower penetration of China supply-chain platforms will stunt J&amp;T’s growth in New Markets, we expect.
In our base case we value J&amp;T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&amp;T’s valuation in its latest round of funding.


Blue Lotus IPO Outlook/J&T Express: Cash Crunch as Prices Slump, Overseas Volume Ramps

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s announcement this week that it would cut 11% of its workforce was a move to rationalise costs to give the platform a sure footing for longer-term growth. </li>
<li>Near-Term profit targets would be achieved without these recent cuts which are focused on addressing geographical cost imbalances and taking into account potential automation through the impact of Generative AI.</li>
<li>The outlook for growth this year looks promising, with the potential for a strong 2H recovery despite employee-related costs but cuts will establish a more competitive cost base long term. </li>
</ul>



Grab's announcement this week that it would cut 11% of its workforce was a move to rationalise costs to give the platform a sure footing for longer-term growth. 
Near-Term profit targets would be achieved without these recent cuts which are focused on addressing geographical cost imbalances and taking into account potential automation through the impact of Generative AI.
The outlook for growth this year looks promising, with the potential for a strong 2H recovery despite employee-related costs but cuts will establish a more competitive cost base long term. 


Grab Holdings (GRAB IJ) - Rationalising With Growth in Mind

<ul>
<li>Recently, there has been more discussion about TikTok's e-commerce business in Southeast Asia on Chinese media and social networks.</li>
<li>Many service providers and entrepreneurs in China have also been inspired and hope to take the lead in the market with their domestic experience.</li>
<li>We estimate that TikTok’s 2023 GMV in Southeast Asia will reach 20%~ of Shopee, and this is one of the key reasons why we are bearish to SE.</li>
</ul>


Recently, there has been more discussion about TikTok's e-commerce business in Southeast Asia on Chinese media and social networks.
Many service providers and entrepreneurs in China have also been inspired and hope to take the lead in the market with their domestic experience.
We estimate that TikTok’s 2023 GMV in Southeast Asia will reach 20%~ of Shopee, and this is one of the key reasons why we are bearish to SE.


SE/Tiktok:Chinese Practitioners' Discussions About TikTok's E-Commerce Business in Southeast Asia

Singapore

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sea Ltd (SE US)

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) - In Ramping Up Mode

Erajaya plans to slow its store build-out this year, as it ramps up its new outlets helping to improve profitability, with strong sales performance...

Angus Mackintosh

China TMT Update-BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK/700HK/SE/XPEV-Online Retail Sales Growth；"Arena Breakout"；

BABA/VIPS/JD/PDD/3690.HK: Online retail sales growth steady in June NBS data (+)/700HK/SE:Tencent's FPS game "Arena Breakout" international version...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus IPO Outlook/J&T Express: Cash Crunch as Prices Slump, Overseas Volume Ramps

We expect that J&T’s China and SEA’s growth will slow down. we value J&T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&T’s valuation in its latest round of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Grab Holdings (GRAB IJ) - Rationalising With Growth in Mind

Grab's announcement this week that it would cut 11% of its workforce was a move to rationalise costs to give the platform a sure footing for longer...

Angus Mackintosh

SE/Tiktok:Chinese Practitioners' Discussions About TikTok's E-Commerce Business in Southeast Asia

Many service providers and entrepreneurs in China have been inspired and hope to take the lead in booming live streaming e-commerce in Southeast...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)