Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

I added three new single-subsidiary holding companies to my Korea stub list. They are Green Cross Holdings, Hitejinro Holdings, and Seah Holdings.







Korea stubs (single-subsidiary)

Holdco
Ticker
Subsidiary
Ticker


Amorepacific Group
002790
Amorepacific Corp
090430


BGF Co Ltd
027410
BGF Retail Co Ltd
282330


Halla Holdings Corp
060980
Mando Corp
204320


Hanjin Kal
180640
Korean Air Lines Co Ltd
003490


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
000240
Hankook Tire &amp; Technology Co Ltd
161390


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
016450
Hansae Co., Ltd.
105630


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
012630
HDC Hyundai Development Co
294870


Nexen Corporation
005720
Nexen Tire Corp
002350


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
072710
Nongshim Co Ltd
004370


ORION Holdings Corp
001800
Orion Corp
271560


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
005810
POONGSAN CORPORATION
103140


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
009970
Youngone Corporation
111770


* Green Cross Holdings
005250
* Green Cross Corp
006280


* Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
000140
* HiteJinro Co Ltd
000080


* Seah Holdings Corp
058650
* Seah Besteel Corporation
001430

Source: KRX

Halla Holdings and Seah Holdings have the widest discount to their respective NAV, 66.50% and 63.26%, respectively. Nongshim Holdings and BGF closely follow. Hanjin Kal








Korea stubs (single-subsidiary)
NAV discount
Single subsidiary weight in NAV
Single subsidiary weight in GAV


Amorepacific Group
15.23%
95.10%
92.71%


BGF Co Ltd
58.33%
71.57%
84.19%


Halla Holdings Corp
66.50%
70.10%
50.91%


Hanjin Kal
-10.55%
83.08%
83.96%


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
15.04%
89.41%
97.86%


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
41.51%
75.59%
67.16%


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
37.19%
63.29%
55.47%


Nexen Corporation
46.91%
73.79%
73.89%


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
58.79%
69.97%
70.45%


ORION Holdings Corp
45.25%
96.61%
87.61%


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
53.23%
82.21%
86.59%


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
51.42%
81.28%
86.72%


Green Cross Holdings
48.90%
174.03%
91.25%


Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
16.99%
104.18%
82.30%


Seah Holdings Corp
63.26%
57.92%
52.84%

Source: KRX



Korea Stubs Status Check: 15 in Total Incl. 3 New Ones

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 December.There are 10 inclusions and 10 exclusions in the December 2020 review with an estimated one-way turnover of 1.06%.The inclusions and exclusions are:<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup><col span="4"></colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 96pt;"><h3>Inclusions</h3></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 96pt;"><h3>Exclusions</h3></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Code</td>
<td>Name</td>
<td>Code</td>
<td>Name</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>003090.KS</td>
<td>Daewoong Co Ltd</td>
<td>000640.KS</td>
<td>Dong-A Socio Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>003230.KS</td>
<td>Samyang Foods Co Ltd</td>
<td>001430.KS</td>
<td>SeAH Besteel Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>008350.KS</td>
<td>Namsun Aluminium Co Ltd</td>
<td>002270.KS</td>
<td>Lotte Foods Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>013890.KS</td>
<td>Zinus Inc</td>
<td>014830.KS</td>
<td>Unid Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>019170.KS</td>
<td>Shinpoong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd</td>
<td>019680.KS</td>
<td>Daekyo Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>039490.KS</td>
<td>KIWOOM Securities Co Ltd</td>
<td>025860.KS</td>
<td>Namhae Chemical Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>112610.KS</td>
<td>CS Wind Corp</td>
<td>027410.KS</td>
<td>BGF Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>272210.KS</td>
<td>Hanwha Systems Co Ltd</td>
<td>060980.KS</td>
<td>Halla Holdings Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>336260.KS</td>
<td>Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd</td>
<td>093050.KS</td>
<td>LF Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>352820.KS</td>
<td>Big Hit Entertainment Co Ltd</td>
<td>170900.KS</td>
<td>Dong-A ST Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>There are 11 trading days to implementation and there are quite a few deletes that have over 3-4 days of ADV to trade. The impact on the inclusions is smaller but there will be a lot of active funds looking to buy the stocks so they don't deviate too much from their benchmark.

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 December.There are 10 inclusions and 10 exclusions in the December 2020 review with an estimated one-way turnover of 1.06%.The inclusions and exclusions are:



Inclusions
Exclusions


Code
Name
Code
Name


003090.KS
Daewoong Co Ltd
000640.KS
Dong-A Socio Holdings Co Ltd


003230.KS
Samyang Foods Co Ltd
001430.KS
SeAH Besteel Corp


008350.KS
Namsun Aluminium Co Ltd
002270.KS
Lotte Foods Co Ltd


013890.KS
Zinus Inc
014830.KS
Unid Co Ltd


019170.KS
Shinpoong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
019680.KS
Daekyo Co Ltd


039490.KS
KIWOOM Securities Co Ltd
025860.KS
Namhae Chemical Corp


112610.KS
CS Wind Corp
027410.KS
BGF Co Ltd


272210.KS
Hanwha Systems Co Ltd
060980.KS
Halla Holdings Corp


336260.KS
Doosan Fuel Cell Co Ltd
093050.KS
LF Corp


352820.KS
Big Hit Entertainment Co Ltd
170900.KS
Dong-A ST Co Ltd


There are 11 trading days to implementation and there are quite a few deletes that have over 3-4 days of ADV to trade. The impact on the inclusions is smaller but there will be a lot of active funds looking to buy the stocks so they don't deviate too much from their benchmark.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here, but Decent Impact Expected

Shinpoong Pharmaceutical / Index Rebalance

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in November. The constituent changes will be effective from the open on 11 December 2020 and the rebalancing trades will need to be done at the closing auction on 10 December 2020.At the current time, we see nine stocks being added to and deleted from the index with another three stocks as very close adds and deletes. There could be an additional change with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/big-hit-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28959:1" rel="noopener">Big Hit Entertainment (352820 KS)</a> getting index inclusion as a Fast Entry - this change could be announced ahead of the regular review announcement or as a part of the regular announcement, though the implementation will be at the same time as the December review.The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions by a wide margin over the last 6 months though the performance has been subdued over the last 2 months. With the short sell ban still in force, we could see the potential inclusions continue to outperform the potential exclusions after this period of consolidation, especially once the announcement of the changes has been made.In the Insight, we look at the expected changes, the impact of the changes on the stocks, the performance of the stocks and the short interest, the behaviour of the inclusions/exclusions at the June review and recommend some trades going forward.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in November. The constituent changes will be effective from the open on 11 December 2020 and the rebalancing trades will need to be done at the closing auction on 10 December 2020.At the current time, we see nine stocks being added to and deleted from the index with another three stocks as very close adds and deletes. There could be an additional change with Big Hit Entertainment (352820 KS) getting index inclusion as a Fast Entry - this change could be announced ahead of the regular review announcement or as a part of the regular announcement, though the implementation will be at the same time as the December review.The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions by a wide margin over the last 6 months though the performance has been subdued over the last 2 months. With the short sell ban still in force, we could see the potential inclusions continue to outperform the potential exclusions after this period of consolidation, especially once the announcement of the changes has been made.In the Insight, we look at the expected changes, the impact of the changes on the stocks, the performance of the stocks and the short interest, the behaviour of the inclusions/exclusions at the June review and recommend some trades going forward.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete, Nine (Or Ten) Possible Changes

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in November. The constituent changes will be effective from 11 December 2020 and the rebalancing trades will need to be done at the closing auction on 10 December 2020.At the current time, we see nine stocks being added to and deleted from the index with another three stocks as very close adds and deletes. This takes into the account the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS)</a> as a Fast Entry into the index and exclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kiswire-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2093:1" rel="noopener">Kiswire Ltd (002240 KS)</a> on 10 September.The expected inclusions have outperformed the expected exclusions, and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>, by a wide margin over the last 4 months. If the short sell ban expires on 15 September, stocks that have seen a sharp run up could be vulnerable to profit taking and short selling. Reduce existing positions over the next couple of weeks as we near the decision point on whether the short sell ban will stay in place or will be extended.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in November. The constituent changes will be effective from 11 December 2020 and the rebalancing trades will need to be done at the closing auction on 10 December 2020.At the current time, we see nine stocks being added to and deleted from the index with another three stocks as very close adds and deletes. This takes into the account the inclusion of SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS) as a Fast Entry into the index and exclusion of Kiswire Ltd (002240 KS) on 10 September.The expected inclusions have outperformed the expected exclusions, and the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX), by a wide margin over the last 4 months. If the short sell ban expires on 15 September, stocks that have seen a sharp run up could be vulnerable to profit taking and short selling. Reduce existing positions over the next couple of weeks as we near the decision point on whether the short sell ban will stay in place or will be extended.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes; Short Sell Ban The Wildcard

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

After the market close today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">Posco (005490 KS)</a> announced a massive share buyback program worth 1 trillion won ($830 million). This share buyback of 1 trillion won represents nearly 6.5% of the company's total market cap. This represents a very large share buyback program and should have a positive impact on boosting POSCO's depressed share price.Potential cut in steel production - POSCO is considering a<a href="https://finance.naver.com/item/news_read.nhn?article_id=0004659709&amp;office_id=277&amp;code=005490&amp;page=&amp;sm=title_entity_id.basic" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> cut in steel production</a>, which would be the first time it would cut its production in 12 years (2008). A major reason why POSCO may cut its production is because of the lower demand for steel from its major customer segments including autos, construction, and shipbuilding which could last for a longer than expected period.POSCO is currently trading at a depressed valuation of only 0.3x P/B. POSCO has not conducted any major share buyback for more than a decade so today's announcement of 1 trillion won share buyback program should have a positive boost to its share price. POSCO is a dividend play and its DPS averaged 10,000 won annually in the past two years. At the current price of 178,000 won, this represents an attractive market dividend yield of 5.9%.

After the market close today, Posco (005490 KS) announced a massive share buyback program worth 1 trillion won ($830 million). This share buyback of 1 trillion won represents nearly 6.5% of the company's total market cap. This represents a very large share buyback program and should have a positive impact on boosting POSCO's depressed share price.Potential cut in steel production - POSCO is considering a cut in steel production, which would be the first time it would cut its production in 12 years (2008). A major reason why POSCO may cut its production is because of the lower demand for steel from its major customer segments including autos, construction, and shipbuilding which could last for a longer than expected period.POSCO is currently trading at a depressed valuation of only 0.3x P/B. POSCO has not conducted any major share buyback for more than a decade so today's announcement of 1 trillion won share buyback program should have a positive boost to its share price. POSCO is a dividend play and its DPS averaged 10,000 won annually in the past two years. At the current price of 178,000 won, this represents an attractive market dividend yield of 5.9%. 

South Korea

SeAH Besteel Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes steel products. The Company produces special steel, heavy forgings, spring steel, bearing steel, auto parts, axles, and other related products. SeAH Besteel Holdings markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SeAH Besteel Holdings (001430 KS)

Korea Stubs Status Check: 15 in Total Incl. 3 New Ones

This post examines the current status of Korea's 15 stubs (3 new ones added to the list), having a single subsidiary accounting for at least 60% of...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here, but Decent Impact Expected

There are 10 inclusions and exclusions in the KOSPI200 and there is significant impact expected some of the stocks. We feel the inclusions could...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete, Nine (Or Ten) Possible Changes

The KOSPI200 index review will be announced in the next 4 weeks. We see 9 inclusions/ exclusions and significant volume to sell on the deletions....

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes; Short Sell Ban The Wildcard

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea Stubs Status Check: 15 in Total Incl. 3 New Ones

This post examines the current status of Korea's 15 stubs (3 new ones added to the list), having a single subsidiary accounting for at least 60% of...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: No Surprises Here, but Decent Impact Expected

There are 10 inclusions and exclusions in the KOSPI200 and there is significant impact expected some of the stocks. We feel the inclusions could...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete, Nine (Or Ten) Possible Changes

The KOSPI200 index review will be announced in the next 4 weeks. We see 9 inclusions/ exclusions and significant volume to sell on the deletions....

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes; Short Sell Ban The Wildcard

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2020 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in...

Brian Freitas

POSCO: A Massive Share Buyback

After the market close today, Posco (005490 KS) announced a massive share buyback program worth 1 trillion won ($830 million). This share buyback...

Douglas Kim