Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting</a>'s PAF will double, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing</a>'s CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a>'s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.

BayCurrent Consulting's PAF will double, Fast Retailing's CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP). 

Sanrio (8136 JP)'s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<figure>
 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-06/reit%201.PNG' alt='Indicative timeline for Trust Scheme between MCT and MNACT' />
 </figure>
 <div class='content-caption'>Indicative timeline for Trust Scheme between MCT and MNACT</div>
<figure>
 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2022-06/reit%202.PNG' alt='Geographical breakdown of MPACT' />
 </figure>
 <div class='content-caption'>Geographical breakdown of MPACT</div>
<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd">
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THE ongoing merger of Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) is on track to create one of the top 10 largest Reits in Asia.

 
The merged entity, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT) will have an estimated market capitalisation of over S$10 billion and will hold a diversified portfolio of 18 commercial assets across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea, with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion.

 
The Reit managers believe that the merger will provide a pathway for growth by merging MCT, a Singapore-focused Reit, with MNACT, a ready and established platform that has scale and reach in North Asia.

 

MCT said that this will in turn bring about immediate financial benefits and access to attractive footholds into North Asia supported by established local operating teams with extensive experience and a strong track record.

 
Other key benefits cited by the Reits include enhanced financial flexibility to pursue more growth opportunities such as larger acquisitions and capital recycling opportunities, increased liquidity and index representation, enhanced geographic diversification, reduced single asset concentration and improved tenant diversification as well as immediate financial benefits in terms of distribution per unit (DPU) and net asset value (NAV) accretion on a historical pro forma basis.

 
Post-merger, MPACT will hold best-in-class assets such as Festival Walk in Hong Kong, Mapletree Business City and VivoCity in Singapore.

 

The Reit managers believe that together, these will improve overall cash flow stability and resilience through market cycles.

 
MPACT will host major tenants with global businesses such as Google, BMW, Seiko, HP Japan and NTT UD.

 
Together, the top 10 tenants by gross rental income (GRI) will contribute 23 per cent of its GRI post-merger. This is down from MCT’s 27.7 per cent and MNACT’s 37.7 per cent, reducing income concentration.

 
Unitholders of MCT and MNACT have voted in favour of the merger last month.

 
The merger will be effected through the acquisition by MCT of all the issued and paid-up units of MNACT by way of a trust scheme of arrangement.

 

During the election period, each MNACT unitholder is entitled to choose only one form of scheme consideration: scrip-only, cash-and-scrip or cash-only options. The cash-only consideration will be the default form of the scheme consideration.

 

Based on indicative dates announced by the Reit managers, the election period is expected to run from Jun 15 to 29 while the merged entity is expected to begin trading on Jul 29.

 
MNACT’s estimated date of delisting will be on Aug 3.

 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/merger-of-mct-and-mnact-creates-pathway-for-growth">read </a>the original version.
</body></html>


      
    
    Indicative timeline for Trust Scheme between MCT and MNACT

      
    
    Geographical breakdown of MPACT


THE ongoing merger of Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) is on track to create one of the top 10 largest Reits in Asia.

 
The merged entity, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT) will have an estimated market capitalisation of over S$10 billion and will hold a diversified portfolio of 18 commercial assets across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea, with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion.

 
The Reit managers believe that the merger will provide a pathway for growth by merging MCT, a Singapore-focused Reit, with MNACT, a ready and established platform that has scale and reach in North Asia.

 

MCT said that this will in turn bring about immediate financial benefits and access to attractive footholds into North Asia supported by established local operating teams with extensive experience and a strong track record.

 
Other key benefits cited by the Reits include enhanced financial flexibility to pursue more growth opportunities such as larger acquisitions and capital recycling opportunities, increased liquidity and index representation, enhanced geographic diversification, reduced single asset concentration and improved tenant diversification as well as immediate financial benefits in terms of distribution per unit (DPU) and net asset value (NAV) accretion on a historical pro forma basis.

 
Post-merger, MPACT will hold best-in-class assets such as Festival Walk in Hong Kong, Mapletree Business City and VivoCity in Singapore.

 

The Reit managers believe that together, these will improve overall cash flow stability and resilience through market cycles.

 
MPACT will host major tenants with global businesses such as Google, BMW, Seiko, HP Japan and NTT UD.

 
Together, the top 10 tenants by gross rental income (GRI) will contribute 23 per cent of its GRI post-merger. This is down from MCT’s 27.7 per cent and MNACT’s 37.7 per cent, reducing income concentration.

 
Unitholders of MCT and MNACT have voted in favour of the merger last month.

 
The merger will be effected through the acquisition by MCT of all the issued and paid-up units of MNACT by way of a trust scheme of arrangement.

 

During the election period, each MNACT unitholder is entitled to choose only one form of scheme consideration: scrip-only, cash-and-scrip or cash-only options. The cash-only consideration will be the default form of the scheme consideration.

 

Based on indicative dates announced by the Reit managers, the election period is expected to run from Jun 15 to 29 while the merged entity is expected to begin trading on Jul 29.

 
MNACT’s estimated date of delisting will be on Aug 3.

 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Merger of MCT and MNACT creates pathway for growth

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1H Earnings season is just around the corner for most Japanese companies and a lot of companies like to revise guidance when they annouce 1H earnings. We thought we would look for companies where consensus estimates and current company guidance is significantly different. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5415" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5415:1">Nintendo Co Ltd (7974 JP)</a> tops the list with consensus OP 103% above company guidance. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15359" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1">Ricoh Co Ltd (7752 JP)</a>'s difference is almost as bad with consensus OP 93% above guidance. Other big names that made the list are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8416" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8416:1">Komatsu</a>…

1H Earnings season is just around the corner for most Japanese companies and a lot of companies like to revise guidance when they annouce 1H earnings. We thought we would look for companies where consensus estimates and current company guidance is significantly different. Nintendo Co Ltd (7974 JP) tops the list with consensus OP 103% above company guidance. Ricoh Co Ltd (7752 JP)'s difference is almost as bad with consensus OP 93% above guidance. Other big names that made the list are Komatsu…

Companies Where Consensus and Company Guidance Are Far Apart.....

Yesterday we had 9 names expected to announced results soon move on strong volume. Only 1 of the names had any news behind the move. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3735" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3735:1">Seiko Holdings Corp (8050 JP)</a> was up 3% on strong volume as its subsidiary announced new batteries.All the other names did not have news. On the positive side, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11990" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11990:1">Tocalo Co Ltd (3433 JP)</a> was up 3%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8053" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8053:1">Century Tokyo Leasing Corp (8439 JP)</a> was up 2% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16039" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16039:1">Itochu Enex Co Ltd (8133 JP)</a> was up 1%.On the other side, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14533" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14533:1">Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP)</a> was down 2% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8339" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1">T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)</a>…

Yesterday we had 9 names expected to announced results soon move on strong volume. Only 1 of the names had any news behind the move. Seiko Holdings Corp (8050 JP) was up 3% on strong volume as its subsidiary announced new batteries.All the other names did not have news. On the positive side, Tocalo Co Ltd (3433 JP) was up 3%, Century Tokyo Leasing Corp (8439 JP) was up 2% and Itochu Enex Co Ltd (8133 JP) was up 1%.On the other side, Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP) was down 2% and T Gaia Corp (3738 JP)…

Earnings Leakage Report - 9 Names Moved on Strong Volume and Only 1 Had News Behind the Move....

Japan

SEIKO HOLDINGS CORPORATION (Hattori Seiko) designs, manufactures, and sells electronic devices, watches and clocks in Japan and overseas. The Company also sells jewelry, ophthalmic lenses, golf clubs and computer peripherals.

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Seiko Holdings (8050 JP)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

A week or so to go for the announcement of changes to the NKY in September. The forecast adds have dropped a bit over the last week and there will...

Brian Freitas

REIT Watch - Merger of MCT and MNACT creates pathway for growth

THE ongoing merger of Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) is...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Companies Where Consensus and Company Guidance Are Far Apart.....

1H Earnings season is just around the corner for most Japanese companies and a lot of companies like to revise guidance when they annouce 1H...

Custom Products Group

Earnings Leakage Report - 9 Names Moved on Strong Volume and Only 1 Had News Behind the Move....

Yesterday we had 9 names expected to announced results soon move on strong volume. Only 1 of the names had any news behind the move. Seiko Holdings...

Custom Products Group

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)