External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The Minister of Finance has announced that the spring bill will contain reforms of SEK 11.5bn – thus reinforcing the expansionary stance.</li><li>The government will present its Spring budget bill for 2025 on Tuesday 15 April at 08.00 CET.</li><li>The government has so far announced detailed proposals amounting to SEK 7.9bn to be included in the Spring Bill. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Minister of Finance has announced that the spring bill will contain reforms of SEK 11.5bn – thus reinforcing the expansionary stance.The government will present its Spring budget bill for 2025 on Tuesday 15 April at 08.00 CET.The government has so far announced detailed proposals amounting to SEK 7.9bn to be included in the Spring Bill. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The Riksbank lowered the policy rate by 25bp to 2.50% as widely expected.</li><li>According to the bank, “if the outlook for inflation and economic activity remains unchanged, the policy rate may be cut once again during the first half of 2025”.</li><li>First impression: Hawkish Policy rate: Cut to 2.50% Rate path: The rate path indicates a possibility of one more rate cut next year. The end-point at 2.25% in Q4 2027 (previous 2.25% in Q3 2027)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Riksbank lowered the policy rate by 25bp to 2.50% as widely expected.According to the bank, “if the outlook for inflation and economic activity remains unchanged, the policy rate may be cut once again during the first half of 2025”.First impression: Hawkish Policy rate: Cut to 2.50% Rate path: The rate path indicates a possibility of one more rate cut next year. The end-point at 2.25% in Q4 2027 (previous 2.25% in Q3 2027)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK.</li><li>However, we now believe that the NOK appreciation is over in the short term, and we see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month.So why has NOK been so strong through November?</li><li>It is probably a combination of several factors.1) The cumulative total return of a buy-and-hold carry trade position has increased through October and November, due to the increasing interest rate differential between high and low interest rate countries.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK.However, we now believe that the NOK appreciation is over in the short term, and we see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month.So why has NOK been so strong through November?It is probably a combination of several factors.1) The cumulative total return of a buy-and-hold carry trade position has increased through October and November, due to the increasing interest rate differential between high and low interest rate countries.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: We see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month

<ul><li>The headline ESI fell to 84.3 in December from 84.9 the previous month.</li><li>The ESI has been a good indicator for GDP growth during the past years and indicates that GDP will continue to fall.</li><li>As for the business sector, confidence deteriorated in the manufacturing industry and construction while there was an improvement for retailers and the service sector.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The headline ESI fell to 84.3 in December from 84.9 the previous month.The ESI has been a good indicator for GDP growth during the past years and indicates that GDP will continue to fall.As for the business sector, confidence deteriorated in the manufacturing industry and construction while there was an improvement for retailers and the service sector.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Swedish Tendency Survey: Continued Contraction

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>High beta currencies have done well over the past week.</li><li>A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.</li><li>Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

High beta currencies have done well over the past week.A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

Sweden

The Swedish krona is the official currency of Sweden

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SEK (USDSEK CURNCY)

Sweden Spring Bill 2025 preview: Support

The Minister of Finance has announced that the spring bill will contain reforms of SEK 11.5bn – thus reinforcing the expansionary stance.

Nordea

Riksbank flash-comment: Hawkish cut

According to the bank, “if the outlook for inflation and economic activity remains unchanged, the policy rate may be cut once again during the...

Nordea

NOK Update: We see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month

November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK. However, we now believe that...

Nordea

Swedish Tendency Survey: Continued Contraction

The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) edged down in December. Price plans are sticky at elevated levels. The headline ESI fell to 84.3 in December...

Nordea

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

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