Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>It's an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.</li>
<li>The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.</li>
<li>We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.</li>
</ul>


It's an exciting 1Q24 result that revenue and GM beat the prior guidance.
The 2Q24 outlook appears to be better than 1Q24, with revenue expected to increase by 5% to 7% QoQ and GM by 9% to 11%.
We consider the primary bottleneck is the embargo of EUV machines to China from the Netherlands.


SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.</li>
<li>Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.</li>
<li>A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> iPhone 16.</li>
</ul>



Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.
Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.
A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the Apple (AAPL US) iPhone 16.


Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Price Gauge
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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

Patrick Liao

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SMIC (981.HK): 1Q24 Outlook Was Improved, and The 2Q24 Outlook Appears to Be Better than 1Q24.

​Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

Patrick Liao

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

​Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 12th): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Mobile, Xiaomi, Bank Of China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Exciting 1Q24 results show revenue and GM surpassing guidance, with optimistic 2Q24 outlook despite EUV machine embargo impacting China.

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.