Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. </li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. 
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Clear Signs of Pre-Positioning; Stay Away from the Crowds

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes each for the ASX50 and ASX100 indices and 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed (and continue to outperform) the forecast deletes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes each for the ASX50 and ASX100 indices and 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The forecast adds have outperformed (and continue to outperform) the forecast deletes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johns-lyng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26649:1" rel="noopener">Johns Lyng (JLG AU)</a> IE considers PEP’s A$4.00 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$3.72-4.42 valuation range.</li>
<li>The offer requires regulatory (FIRB and US) and shareholder approvals. The scheme vote should pass as no disinterested shareholder comes close to holding a blocking stake.  </li>
<li>The offer is reasonable as the timing of an earnings recovery is highly uncertain. At the last close and for a 23 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/11.0%. </li>
</ul>


The Johns Lyng (JLG AU) IE considers PEP’s A$4.00 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$3.72-4.42 valuation range.
The offer requires regulatory (FIRB and US) and shareholder approvals. The scheme vote should pass as no disinterested shareholder comes close to holding a blocking stake.  
The offer is reasonable as the timing of an earnings recovery is highly uncertain. At the last close and for a 23 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/11.0%. 


Johns Lyng (JLG AU): Scheme Vote on 8 October

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Frasers REIT plans to sell a Melbourne office tower for $129M to an Australian tycoon, indicating a significant transaction in the real estate market.</li><li>Industry leaders from Hilton, KKR, CREAL, and Pegasus are convening in Singapore to discuss strategies for the hospitality sector at a forum.</li><li>Norges has appointed Alexander Knapp as the new Global Real Estate Head and Jason Leong as the new leader of Asia Fund following van den Berg's departure.</li></ul>

Frasers REIT plans to sell a Melbourne office tower for $129M to an Australian tycoon, indicating a significant transaction in the real estate market.Industry leaders from Hilton, KKR, CREAL, and Pegasus are convening in Singapore to discuss strategies for the hospitality sector at a forum.Norges has appointed Alexander Knapp as the new Global Real Estate Head and Jason Leong as the new leader of Asia Fund following van den Berg's departure.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-May-2025): Mt. Maunganui Cold Storage for Sale

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>After the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a> Scheme Meeting result was announced earlier today, post-close the S&amp;P/ASX team announced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia (VNT AU)</a> would replace it on 21 July at the close.</li>
<li>This is not that surprising. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> expected it in June, and it was a super-close second recently for him for the Sep rebalance. </li>
<li>Given the shareholder structure and flow dynamics, it's worth taking a closer look.</li>
</ul>


After the Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU) Scheme Meeting result was announced earlier today, post-close the S&amp;P/ASX team announced Ventia (VNT AU) would replace it on 21 July at the close.
This is not that surprising. Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA expected it in June, and it was a super-close second recently for him for the Sep rebalance. 
Given the shareholder structure and flow dynamics, it's worth taking a closer look.


Ventia Services (VNT) Selected to Join ASX 200 - Not A Surprise

Australia

Service Stream Limited is a specialized fixed, wireless and broadband telecommunications service provider. The Company acquires property, plans, approves, designs, constructs, installs, commissions, and provides ongoing maintenance forwireless communications facilities. The Company also provides installation, construction and maintenance services for the telecom industry.

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Service Stream (SSM AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Clear Signs of Pre-Positioning; Stay Away from the Crowds

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Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

There could be 22 changes across the ASX family in Dec. Plus passive buying in LNW due to a sole listing on the ASX. The adds have outperformed and...

Brian Freitas

Johns Lyng (JLG AU): Scheme Vote on 8 October

The offer is reasonable, and the scheme vote should pass. At the last close and for a 23 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/11.0%.

Arun George

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-May-2025): Mt. Maunganui Cold Storage for Sale

Frasers REIT to sell Melbourne office tower for $129M, hospitality strategies discussed at Singapore Forum, Jason Leong new head of Asia Fund,...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Ventia Services (VNT) Selected to Join ASX 200 - Not A Surprise

Ventia (VNT AU) was chosen to join the S&P ASX 200 on Friday's close, replacing Blackmores. It was not that much of a surprise. There have been...

Travis Lundy

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Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Clear Signs of Pre-Positioning; Stay Away from the Crowds

There are clear signs of positioning among some of the high-impact expected ADDs/DELs and staying away from such overcrowded bets might be a good...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

There could be 22 changes across the ASX family in Dec. Plus passive buying in LNW due to a sole listing on the ASX. The adds have outperformed and...

Brian Freitas

Johns Lyng (JLG AU): Scheme Vote on 8 October

The offer is reasonable, and the scheme vote should pass. At the last close and for a 23 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/11.0%.

Arun George

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-May-2025): Mt. Maunganui Cold Storage for Sale

Frasers REIT to sell Melbourne office tower for $129M, hospitality strategies discussed at Singapore Forum, Jason Leong new head of Asia Fund,...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Ventia Services (VNT) Selected to Join ASX 200 - Not A Surprise

Ventia (VNT AU) was chosen to join the S&P ASX 200 on Friday's close, replacing Blackmores. It was not that much of a surprise. There have been...

Travis Lundy

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up