Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

·  A year ago, the key issue to understand was that commodity markets were about to tighten and position accordingly – energy and materials have been the best performing MSCI sectors.·  The global economy is starting the year on a strong cyclical footing, with EM factory PMIs accelerating ex India and Brazil, while both Europe and the US have seen momentum build further.·  A key risk is the fallout from an attempt by the new US administration to close the merchandise trade deficit which has…

·  A year ago, the key issue to understand was that commodity markets were about to tighten and position accordingly – energy and materials have been the best performing MSCI sectors.·  The global economy is starting the year on a strong cyclical footing, with EM factory PMIs accelerating ex India and Brazil, while both Europe and the US have seen momentum build further.·  A key risk is the fallout from an attempt by the new US administration to close the merchandise trade deficit which has…

US Policy Focus Shifts to Closing Trade Deficit…

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider, Nowcast, Inc.

Ryota Hayashi

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider

Nowcast, Inc.

We at Nowcast develop "Big-Data Economic Analytics Platforms".  We aim to revolutionize the financial markets by providing "accurate" and "real-time" analytics based on economic indicators and corporate activity data procured worldwide. 

Our Main Services

(1) Real-time Analytics
With our Nikkei CPI Now Index at our core, we provide real time analytics of global economic indicators such as POS Data. By utilizing Big-Data technology, we also provide real-time analytics of micro level data such as corporate earnings. 

(2) Big-Data Application Consulting
We too provide business consultation and conduct joint research on initiatives that strive to use data, such as from the operation capacity of construction machinery to number of passengers on railroad trains, as economic indicators. We provide continuous support to Data Scientists specialized in economics in their proposal stage, product development and up till its business development. 

(3) Monetary Policy Insights
With the proactive involvement of and support from from academicians in macroeconomics & key figures in the financial industry, we produce reports, conduct seminars and meetings that discuss about the forecast of financial markets, provide intellectual suggestions on asset allocation, etc. 

Macroeconomics

<ul class="ember-tether-target ember-tether-element-attached-top ember-tether-element-attached-left ember-tether-target-attached-top ember-tether-target-attached-right"><li>"Nikkei CPINow" is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data” gathered on a real-time basis; making it possible to “nowcast” economic developments, that is, to gauge them almost in real time.</li><li>Nikkei CPINow was launched in January 2016, disseminating the new “CPINow” price indeces, which succeeds and improves upon the Nikkei UTokyo Daily Price Index.</li><li>This December 2016 Review looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow S index &amp; T index.</li></ul>

"Nikkei CPINow" is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data” gathered on a real-time basis; making it possible to “nowcast” economic developments, that is, to gauge them almost in real time.Nikkei CPINow was launched in January 2016, disseminating the new “CPINow” price indeces, which succeeds and improves upon the Nikkei UTokyo Daily Price Index.This December 2016 Review looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow S index &amp; T index.

December 2016 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. <div class="content-highlight">Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…</div>

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report, Quiddity Advisors

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul><li>"Overweights" - Japan and Taiwan</li><li>"Underweights" - India, Singapore, Indonesia, and the Philippines</li><li>Recent Upgrades - Japan, Taiwan, and Australia. </li><li>Recent Downgrades - Hong Kong, China, Korea, India, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines</li><li>Key Sector Overweights - APAC financials, China consumer discretionary, Korea/Taiwan IT (semiconductors), Australia and Japan materials, Malaysia and Indonesia plantations</li><li>Key Sector Underweights - APAC consumer staples, APAC utilities, Hong Kong property</li><li>Top Bullish Themes - Macau tourism, APAC "value"factor tilt, Indian crop yield enhancement</li><li>Top Bearish Themes - Japan "minimum volatility" factor tilt and high dividend stable "bond-proxy" equities</li><li>"Top Pick" equities identified in key sectors and themes</li></ul>This is the final in a series of four short notes, which evaluate our APAC investment strategy insights over the past 3 months, provides an overview of the current state of APAC valuation and earnings, followed by an update of our asset allocation, stock, sector and equity ideas.

"Overweights" - Japan and Taiwan"Underweights" - India, Singapore, Indonesia, and the PhilippinesRecent Upgrades - Japan, Taiwan, and Australia. Recent Downgrades - Hong Kong, China, Korea, India, Thailand, Indonesia and the PhilippinesKey Sector Overweights - APAC financials, China consumer discretionary, Korea/Taiwan IT (semiconductors), Australia and Japan materials, Malaysia and Indonesia plantationsKey Sector Underweights - APAC consumer staples, APAC utilities, Hong Kong propertyTop Bullish Themes - Macau tourism, APAC "value"factor tilt, Indian crop yield enhancementTop Bearish Themes - Japan "minimum volatility" factor tilt and high dividend stable "bond-proxy" equities"Top Pick" equities identified in key sectors and themesThis is the final in a series of four short notes, which evaluate our APAC investment strategy insights over the past 3 months, provides an overview of the current state of APAC valuation and earnings, followed by an update of our asset allocation, stock, sector and equity ideas.

ANIMAL SPIRITS REPORT: Investment Outlook - Emerging Markets Trumped but Japan Escapes Value Trap

Country and Sector Earnings Revision Summary<ul><li>J-curve effects apparent in Europe, Australia, and Japan</li><li>Emerging market earnings revision underperformance led by China</li><li>Financial sector earnings recovery, especially in Japan</li><li>Consumer discretionary earnings under pressure</li><li>Earnings momentum in telecoms fading since last earnings update</li></ul>This is the third in a series of four short notes, which evaluate our APAC investment strategy insights over the past 3 months, provides an overview of the current state of APAC valuation and earnings, followed by an update of our asset allocation, stock, sector and equity ideas.

Country and Sector Earnings Revision SummaryJ-curve effects apparent in Europe, Australia, and JapanEmerging market earnings revision underperformance led by ChinaFinancial sector earnings recovery, especially in JapanConsumer discretionary earnings under pressureEarnings momentum in telecoms fading since last earnings updateThis is the third in a series of four short notes, which evaluate our APAC investment strategy insights over the past 3 months, provides an overview of the current state of APAC valuation and earnings, followed by an update of our asset allocation, stock, sector and equity ideas.

ANIMAL SPIRITS REPORT: Country and Sector Earnings Revision Summary (Dec 2016)

Japan

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

Price Gauge
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Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)

US Policy Focus Shifts to Closing Trade Deficit…

· A year ago, the key issue to understand was that commodity markets were about to tighten and position accordingly – energy and materials have...

Sean Maher

December 2016 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

"Nikkei CPINow" is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data”...

Nowcast, Inc.

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal...

Douglas Kim

ANIMAL SPIRITS REPORT: Investment Outlook - Emerging Markets Trumped but Japan Escapes Value Trap

"Overweights" - Japan and Taiwan "Underweights" - India, Singapore, Indonesia, and the Philippines Recent Upgrades - Japan, Taiwan, and...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

ANIMAL SPIRITS REPORT: Country and Sector Earnings Revision Summary (Dec 2016)

Country and Sector Earnings Revision Summary J-curve effects apparent in Europe, Australia, and Japan Emerging market earnings revision...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

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