Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 4Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 4Q2025 were US$1,590 million and holdings were US$368 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI POWER, WEICHAI POWER, WUXI APPTEC, WUXI APPTEC, BYD, CMB, Mindray, EAST MONEY INFORMATION.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 4Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 4Q2025 were US$1,590 million and holdings were US$368 billion.
We highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI POWER, WEICHAI POWER, WUXI APPTEC, WUXI APPTEC, BYD, CMB, Mindray, EAST MONEY INFORMATION.


Northbound Flows (4Q2025): CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Beijing Strong Biotechnolo-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We have already discussed our flow expectations for the mainstream indices in the CSI family such as CSI300/500, SSE50/100, and the STAR50/100 for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs involved in the rebalance of some of the lesser known indices in the CSI family.</li>
<li>The indices covered in this insight are All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical Devices, National Defense, and Livestock Breeding indices.</li>
</ul>


We have already discussed our flow expectations for the mainstream indices in the CSI family such as CSI300/500, SSE50/100, and the STAR50/100 for the June 2024 index rebal event.
In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs involved in the rebalance of some of the lesser known indices in the CSI family.
The indices covered in this insight are All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical Devices, National Defense, and Livestock Breeding indices.


CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 31 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 14 June.</li>
<li>There are 5 adds/deletes - we correctly forecasted 3 adds and all 5 deletes. Passives need to trade 0.5-3x ADV on the adds and 0.5-2.1x ADV on the deletes.</li>
<li>With the index not very widely forecasted, the adds could outperform the deletes over the next week in a repeat of the performance at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>


CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 31 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 14 June.
There are 5 adds/deletes - we correctly forecasted 3 adds and all 5 deletes. Passives need to trade 0.5-3x ADV on the adds and 0.5-2.1x ADV on the deletes.
With the index not very widely forecasted, the adds could outperform the deletes over the next week in a repeat of the performance at the December rebalance.


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Adds Could Outperform Deletes in the Coming Week

Shinva Medical Instrument A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period ended on 30 April, there are just over 2 weeks to announcement of the changes, and implementation will be done at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 5 potential changes for the index in June where there could be buying of 1.6-2.6x ADV on the adds and selling of 0.7-2.6x ADV on the deletes.</li>
<li>At the December 2023 rebalance, the adds outperformed the deletes in the weeks prior to announcement of the changes and then spiked post-announcement. Repeat this time?</li>
</ul>


The review period ended on 30 April, there are just over 2 weeks to announcement of the changes, and implementation will be done at the close on 14 June.
We forecast 5 potential changes for the index in June where there could be buying of 1.6-2.6x ADV on the adds and selling of 0.7-2.6x ADV on the deletes.
At the December 2023 rebalance, the adds outperformed the deletes in the weeks prior to announcement of the changes and then spiked post-announcement. Repeat this time?


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Repeat of the December Rebal Could See Big Gains

China

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Company Limited produces and sells medical devices. The Company manufactures and sells orthopedic implants and other products. Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device markets its products throughout China.

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic De (688161 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic De (688161 CH)

Northbound Flows (4Q2025): CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 4Q2025 and highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Adds Could Outperform Deletes in the Coming Week

There are 5 changes for the index in June. We correctly forecast 3 adds and all 5 deletes. The adds outperformed the deletes post announcement in...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Repeat of the December Rebal Could See Big Gains

There could be 5 changes for the CSI Medical Service Index in June. Trackers will need to trade between 0.7-2.6x ADV. There was big outperformance...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (4Q2025): CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 4Q2025 and highlight flows for CATL, CATL, Moutai, Moutai, Luxshare Precision, Luxshare Precision, WEICHAI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock

We expect the the CSI Medical Services ADDs to outperform the Medical Services DELs over the next few days. The Inclusion/Exclusion events could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Adds Could Outperform Deletes in the Coming Week

There are 5 changes for the index in June. We correctly forecast 3 adds and all 5 deletes. The adds outperformed the deletes post announcement in...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Repeat of the December Rebal Could See Big Gains

There could be 5 changes for the CSI Medical Service Index in June. Trackers will need to trade between 0.7-2.6x ADV. There was big outperformance...

Brian Freitas