Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronic / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 4.95% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 4,413m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.</li>
<li>The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over multiple time periods. There will be pre-positions on the stocks and those could be unwound over the next week or two.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in March.
One way turnover is estimated at 4.95% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 4,413m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.
The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over multiple time periods. There will be pre-positions on the stocks and those could be unwound over the next week or two.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes as Adds Bigly Outperform Deletes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Feb 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Feb 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 10th): Premium Compressed for Utilities

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Feb 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 6.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.4% as of Feb 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 6.3ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 3rd): Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship

Qingdao Haier Biomedical  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.</li>
<li>With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.
With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

China

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures absorbable biomedical materials. The Company manufactures and sells intraocular lens, medical sodium hyaluronate, medical chitosan, medical collage sponge, and other products. Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology markets its products worldwide.

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

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Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes as Adds Bigly Outperform Deletes

There are 5 changes in March as the index committee stick to a 6-month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a big...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 10th): Premium Compressed for Utilities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Great Wall Motor, Huadian, Huaneng, Datang Intl.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 3rd): Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Great Wall Motor, CICC, Shanghai Haohai, Chalieco, Cosco Ship.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

There could be 5 index changes in March if the index committee continues using a 6-month minimum listing history. One-way turnover will be over 5%....

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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