HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Among domestic enterprises, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-neurotech-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35379:1" rel="noopener">MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)</a>’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>, the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. </li>
<li>Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.</li>
<li>By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.</li>
</ul>


Among domestic enterprises, MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of Microport Scientific (853 HK), the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. 
Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.
By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.


MicroPort NeuroTech (2172.HK) 22H1 - Advantages Deserve Recognition, but with Overvaluation Risk

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Equity Capital Markets

MicroPort NeuroTech / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.</li>
<li>The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.</li>
<li>In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.</li>
</ul>


The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.
The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.
In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.


Pre-IPO MicroPort NeuroTech - The Industry, the Business and the Concern

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>MicroPort is the largest Chinese neuro-interventional medical device company and has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Its Portfolio consists of 30 commercialised products and candidates.</li>
<li>Although struggling with margins, the company has an impressive product portfolio with a majority of them having strong competitive advantages.</li>
<li>As most of the products are poised for growth, we are largely positive on the company.  </li>
</ul>


MicroPort is the largest Chinese neuro-interventional medical device company and has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Its Portfolio consists of 30 commercialised products and candidates.
Although struggling with margins, the company has an impressive product portfolio with a majority of them having strong competitive advantages.
As most of the products are poised for growth, we are largely positive on the company.  


MicroPort NeuroTech IPO: Impressive Product Portfolio Offsets Profitability Concerns

China

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology Corporation Limited develops and manufactures neuro-interventional medical devices. The Company produces ischemic stroke prevention devices, ischemic stroke thrombectomy devices, intracranial stenosis treatment devicies, vacular access devices, and more. Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology conducts business in China.

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

MicroPort NeuroTech (2172.HK) 22H1 - Advantages Deserve Recognition, but with Overvaluation Risk

NeuroTech has advantages in product richness/quality system, but fierce competition/product homogenization, centralized procurement are major...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Microport’s 2021 performance missed expectations due to VBP and pandemic. Its “unique” development mode will lead to lower-than...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO MicroPort NeuroTech - The Industry, the Business and the Concern

NeuroTech's advantages include comprehensive product portfolio with stronger margin/cost control and first-mover advantage.But concerns are on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

We analyzed the centralized procurement and other concerns on MicroPort. Due to its development mode, the subsidiaries are more attractive and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

MicroPort NeuroTech IPO: Impressive Product Portfolio Offsets Profitability Concerns

Although Microport's margins have come under pressure, the company has an impressive product portfolio with a majority of them having strong...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA