HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.</li>
<li>The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.</li>
<li>There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.</li>
</ul>


While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.
The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.
There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.12)-Medical Insurance Negotiation,Spring Coil VBP,Valuation Upside Down

Equity Bottom-Up

MicroPort NeuroScientific / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Among domestic enterprises, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-neurotech-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35379:1" rel="noopener">MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)</a>’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>, the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. </li>
<li>Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.</li>
<li>By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.</li>
</ul>


Among domestic enterprises, MicroPort NeuroTech (2172 HK)’s product richness takes the lead. With the support of Microport Scientific (853 HK), the production quality system and capacity are relatively more guaranteed. 
Fierce competition and centralized procurement are the major challenges, but the rich domestic distribution network and promising internationalization prospects would help NeuroTech find way out.
By reducing the size of the IPO to maintain a good share price, at the expense of stock liquidity, it doesn’t really solve the problem.There’s risk of overvaluation for NeuroTech.


MicroPort NeuroTech (2172.HK) 22H1 - Advantages Deserve Recognition, but with Overvaluation Risk

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Equity Capital Markets

MicroPort NeuroScientific / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.</li>
<li>The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.</li>
<li>In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.</li>
</ul>


The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.
The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.
In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.


Pre-IPO MicroPort NeuroTech - The Industry, the Business and the Concern

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

China

Engages in research, development, manufacture and sale of neuro-interventional medical devices

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

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Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.12)-Medical Insurance Negotiation,Spring Coil VBP,Valuation Upside Down

This insight mainly analyzed some news circulating about 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, VBP on spring coil in Hebei and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

MicroPort NeuroTech (2172.HK) 22H1 - Advantages Deserve Recognition, but with Overvaluation Risk

NeuroTech has advantages in product richness/quality system, but fierce competition/product homogenization, centralized procurement are major...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Microport’s 2021 performance missed expectations due to VBP and pandemic. Its “unique” development mode will lead to lower-than...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO MicroPort NeuroTech - The Industry, the Business and the Concern

NeuroTech's advantages include comprehensive product portfolio with stronger margin/cost control and first-mover advantage.But concerns are on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

We analyzed the centralized procurement and other concerns on MicroPort. Due to its development mode, the subsidiaries are more attractive and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)