HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.</li>
<li>If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.</li>
<li>For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.</li>
</ul>


The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.
If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.
For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.</li>
<li>If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.</li>
<li>We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.</li>
</ul>


Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.
If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.
We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.


Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

<ul>
<li>As this year's policy risks gradually removed, after entering Q4, the healthcare sector has entered the range of investment.</li>
<li>Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Notice on the implementation plan of promoting high-quality development of API industry”, indicating related opportunities.</li>
<li>The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) officially opened last week. In the field of healthcare, there are ten related companies would be listed in BSE.</li>
</ul>


As this year's policy risks gradually removed, after entering Q4, the healthcare sector has entered the range of investment.
Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Notice on the implementation plan of promoting high-quality development of API industry”, indicating related opportunities.
The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) officially opened last week. In the field of healthcare, there are ten related companies would be listed in BSE.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.19) - Q4 Healthcare Rebound, New Policy on API, Beijing Stock Exchange

Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation and the related outlook of Innovent’s PD-1. </li>
<li>The concerns are still there. For example, to what extent the industrial structure of these new layout can show the development potential of the Company in the future? </li>
<li>Investors could choose to take advantage of the positive momentum in the short term, but are recommended to “reconsider” in terms of the long-term outlook.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation and the related outlook of Innovent’s PD-1. 
The concerns are still there. For example, to what extent the industrial structure of these new layout can show the development potential of the Company in the future? 
Investors could choose to take advantage of the positive momentum in the short term, but are recommended to “reconsider” in terms of the long-term outlook.


Innovent Biologics Inc (1801.HK) - The PD-1 Outlook and Other Concerns

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The national medical insurance negotiation is coming soon.</li>
<li>Last Friday, a new document about the VBP on insulin was released, and the bidding would start on November 26.</li>
<li>At some point next year, we may see some slowdown in the growth of investment and financing transmitted from the industry and primary market as well as a slowdown in the growth of CXO orders. </li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.35%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.35% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The national medical insurance negotiation is coming soon.
Last Friday, a new document about the VBP on insulin was released, and the bidding would start on November 26.
At some point next year, we may see some slowdown in the growth of investment and financing transmitted from the industry and primary market as well as a slowdown in the growth of CXO orders. 
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) and Antengene (6996 HK)Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.35%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.35% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.5) - Final Two Domestic Policy Risks, Outlook of China CXO Industry

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

This article analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, the change in logic of valuation due to the new COVID virus, and a...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

The article analyzed the commercialization performance vs the investment,the concerns on internationalization based on license-out mode and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.19) - Q4 Healthcare Rebound, New Policy on API, Beijing Stock Exchange

The article analyzed the investment logic and opportunities in healthcare in Q4, the new policy of API industry and potential trend, as well as the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801.HK) - The PD-1 Outlook and Other Concerns

The article analyzed Innovent in terms of its PD-1 in 2021 medical insurance negotiation, the market pattern, the outlook, and also include...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.5) - Final Two Domestic Policy Risks, Outlook of China CXO Industry

The insight mainly analyzed the final two domestic policy risks (the national medical insurance negotiation & the VBP on insulin) by the end of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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