Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Kuang-Chi Technologies   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.</li>
</ul>


There could be 8 changes at the June rebalance with the Industrials and Information Technology sectors gaining 3 index spots each and the Materials sector losing 4 spots.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 32.55bn (US$4.5bn). There are 13 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 weeks even though there have been large ETF creations. There could be more outperformance coming up.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,023.9 million, led by consumer staples, materials, financials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari Technology, Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology, Midea, Focus Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,023.9 million, led by consumer staples, materials, financials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari Technology, Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology, Midea, Focus Media.


Northbound Flows (May 10th): Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,241.6 million, led by industrials, consumer discretionary, information technology sectors, and offset by financials, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Contemporary Amperex Technology, Sany Heavy Industry, Hundsun Technologies, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Eve Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,241.6 million, led by industrials, consumer discretionary, information technology sectors, and offset by financials, utilities.
We highlight flows for Contemporary Amperex Technology, Sany Heavy Industry, Hundsun Technologies, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Eve Energy.


Northbound Flows (Feb 17th): CATL, Sany Heavy, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Eve Energy

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$456.0 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun Technologies, Byd, Midea, Tongwei, Trina Solar</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 10th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$456.0 million, led by financials, information technology, utilities sectors, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun Technologies, Byd, Midea, Tongwei, Trina Solar


Northbound Flows (Feb 10th): Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun

China

Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures advanced materials. The Company designs, produces, and markets anode materials. Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology also manufactures lithium battery making devices, coating membrane, and aluminum plastic films used in clean energy, energy saving, and environmental protection fields.

Shanghai Putailai New Energy T (603659 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai Putailai New Energy T (603659 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 8 Changes a Side in June; US$4.5bn Trade

8 changes forecast for CSI300 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.44% and round-trip trade is US$4.5bn. A long adds/short deletes trade has done...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

There could be 7 changes for the CSI300 in June with a one-way turnover of 1.45% and a round-trip trade of US$3.9bn. The adds and deletes have...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (May 10th): Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare Precision, Nari

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CMB, Inovance, Haier Smart Home, Luxshare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 17th): CATL, Sany Heavy, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Eve Energy

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for CATL, Sany Heavy, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Eve Energy.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 10th): Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao, Hundsun

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, Luzhou Lao Jiao,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)