HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Tofflon Science A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have seen four transactions of MNC acquiring Chinese Biotech companies. However, this does not mean that domestic big pharmaceutical companies will also participate in the acquisition of small Biotech.</li>
<li>The underlying investment logic of innovative drug is undergoing changes. Non-oncology fields, such as autoimmunity, CNS, endocrine metabolism, and ophthalmology will be the main hot directions of investment and R&amp;D.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-tofflon-science-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15970:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Tofflon Science A (300171 CH)</a> is still in downward trend. We’re not optimistic about its 2023 results. We don’t recommend bottom-fish this stock unless there is a major catalyst.</li>
</ul>


We have seen four transactions of MNC acquiring Chinese Biotech companies. However, this does not mean that domestic big pharmaceutical companies will also participate in the acquisition of small Biotech.
The underlying investment logic of innovative drug is undergoing changes. Non-oncology fields, such as autoimmunity, CNS, endocrine metabolism, and ophthalmology will be the main hot directions of investment and R&amp;D.

Shanghai Tofflon Science A (300171 CH) is still in downward trend. We’re not optimistic about its 2023 results. We don’t recommend bottom-fish this stock unless there is a major catalyst.


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.21) - M&As in Biotech, Capital Is Bullish on Non-Tumor Sectors, Tofflon

<ul>
<li>Tofflon needs to go through a considerable period of adjustment after experiencing the high point of performance. Its “periodicity” is obvious, which means the performance high growth is not sustainable.</li>
<li>The decline in growth rate of contract liabilities suggests that the future prospects is highly uncertain. Overall margins could continue to drop due to reduction in high margin overseas orders.</li>
<li>Unless there's a major catalyst, it’s difficult to see significant valuation boost in short term. Given the current downward trend in performance, valuation may continue to decline in the future.</li>
</ul>


Tofflon needs to go through a considerable period of adjustment after experiencing the high point of performance. Its “periodicity” is obvious, which means the performance high growth is not sustainable.
The decline in growth rate of contract liabilities suggests that the future prospects is highly uncertain. Overall margins could continue to drop due to reduction in high margin overseas orders.
Unless there's a major catalyst, it’s difficult to see significant valuation boost in short term. Given the current downward trend in performance, valuation may continue to decline in the future.


Shanghai Tofflon Science (300171.CH) 2022/23Q1 - It's Better Not to Go Against the Trend

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>There are overlapping names for the two indices and some of the stocks will also have flows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX)</a> trackers.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes between 9-10% for both indices over the last month with the deletes dropping a lot more than the adds.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
There are overlapping names for the two indices and some of the stocks will also have flows from the CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shang (SH000905 INDEX) trackers.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes between 9-10% for both indices over the last month with the deletes dropping a lot more than the adds.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical-A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Bullish Names Outperform Bearish Names Again

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; US$481mn One-Way

China

Shanghai Tofflon Science and Technology Company Limited develops, designs, produces and markets pharmaceutical freeze dryer and related systems. The Company's main products include in-place sterilisation, in-place lyophilization cleaners, laboratory freeze dryers, production freeze dryers, liquid nitrogen freeze dryers and freeze drying systems and equipments.

Shanghai Tofflon Science A (300171 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.21) - M&As in Biotech, Capital Is Bullish on Non-Tumor Sectors, Tofflon

MNCs acquiring Chinese biotech companies, but domestic big pharma may not follow suit.Investment focus shifting to non-oncology fields.Tofflon is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Tofflon Science (300171.CH) 2022/23Q1 - It's Better Not to Go Against the Trend

Tofflon is clearly in a downward cycle, with unclear outlook. It may take a long time for the next peak to occur. 2023 is difficult for Tofflon as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Bullish Names Outperform Bearish Names Again

The Bullish Names have outperformed the Bearish Names in successive insights. There were 5.75% and 4.18% outperformances in the periods between Mid...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; US$481mn One-Way

I estimate the one-way index flows for ChiNext and ChiNext 50 to collectively be around US$481mn. Three names have double inclusions expected and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.21) - M&As in Biotech, Capital Is Bullish on Non-Tumor Sectors, Tofflon

​MNCs acquiring Chinese biotech companies, but domestic big pharma may not follow suit.Investment focus shifting to non-oncology fields.Tofflon is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Tofflon Science (300171.CH) 2022/23Q1 - It's Better Not to Go Against the Trend

Tofflon is clearly in a downward cycle, with unclear outlook. It may take a long time for the next peak to occur. 2023 is difficult for Tofflon as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices

Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 8 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Bullish Names Outperform Bearish Names Again

The Bullish Names have outperformed the Bearish Names in successive insights. There were 5.75% and 4.18% outperformances in the periods between Mid...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: Multiple Changes to Expectations; US$481mn One-Way

I estimate the one-way index flows for ChiNext and ChiNext 50 to collectively be around US$481mn. Three names have double inclusions expected and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MNCs acquiring Chinese biotech companies, but domestic big pharma may not follow suit.Investment focus shifting to non-oncology fields.Tofflon is...

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Overlap Between the Indices