Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In the past week, Reuters reported that Shein has received approval from the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for its IPO in London.</li>
<li>In February 2025, Reuters reported Shein could cut its valuation in a potential listing to around $50 billion, which would be 24% lower than the previous private market funding round.</li>
<li>Tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China to US are likely to result in further reduction in the valuation of Shein, much lower than $50 billion. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, Reuters reported that Shein has received approval from the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for its IPO in London.
In February 2025, Reuters reported Shein could cut its valuation in a potential listing to around $50 billion, which would be 24% lower than the previous private market funding round.
Tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China to US are likely to result in further reduction in the valuation of Shein, much lower than $50 billion. 


Shein: London Approves IPO but Tariffs and End Of "De Minimis" Exemption to Lower Valuation

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Last time we wrote about Shein, they’d generated $32.2B in revenue in 2023, up 40% YoY.</li><li>Now, with revenue growth slowing to 23% YoY (projected $39.6B revenue in 2024) amid increased competition with Temu (owned by Pinduoduo, NASDAQ: PDD) and President Trump promising to close the de minimis loophole that Shein has used to ship its products tax-free, the company is betting on its future as a global “everything store”.</li><li>While Shein has become the face of cheap goods flooding American markets tax-free, fast fashion was a wedge into Shein’s next stage—building a global everything store with a massive selection in direct competition with Temu (~$50B GMV in 2024, up 250%) for price-sensitive consumers across electronics, toys, furniture, and more.</li></ul>

Last time we wrote about Shein, they’d generated $32.2B in revenue in 2023, up 40% YoY.Now, with revenue growth slowing to 23% YoY (projected $39.6B revenue in 2024) amid increased competition with Temu (owned by Pinduoduo, NASDAQ: PDD) and President Trump promising to close the de minimis loophole that Shein has used to ship its products tax-free, the company is betting on its future as a global “everything store”.While Shein has become the face of cheap goods flooding American markets tax-free, fast fashion was a wedge into Shein’s next stage—building a global everything store with a massive selection in direct competition with Temu (~$50B GMV in 2024, up 250%) for price-sensitive consumers across electronics, toys, furniture, and more.

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zoetop-business-co-ltd-shein" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33536:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN (1895674D HK)</a> returns to India after a five-year hiatus under a license agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> owned Reliance Retail ltd.</li>
<li>India's vast, untapped market for fast fashion, driven by a large and growing young population, rising disposable incomes, and increased e-commerce penetration presents an attractive growth opportunity for Shein.</li>
<li>Shein faces growing challenges in the US due to new trade restrictions. Its partnership with Reliance could serve as a strategic move to develop alternative supply chains outside China.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN (1895674D HK) returns to India after a five-year hiatus under a license agreement with Reliance Industries (RIL IN) owned Reliance Retail ltd.
India's vast, untapped market for fast fashion, driven by a large and growing young population, rising disposable incomes, and increased e-commerce penetration presents an attractive growth opportunity for Shein.
Shein faces growing challenges in the US due to new trade restrictions. Its partnership with Reliance could serve as a strategic move to develop alternative supply chains outside China.


SHEIN: Back in India in Alliance with Reliance, Amid Woes in the West

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>SHEIN's general counsel frustrated UK lawmakers by refusing to answer certain questions</li>
<li>It's the latest in a series of potential obstacles that could derail a planned London IPO</li>
<li>Add growing concerns over cotton supply chain &amp; new threat from <em>Amazon</em> to existing risks</li>
</ul>


SHEIN's general counsel frustrated UK lawmakers by refusing to answer certain questions
It's the latest in a series of potential obstacles that could derail a planned London IPO
Add growing concerns over cotton supply chain &amp; new threat from Amazon to existing risks


Poor Performance Before UK Lawmakers Is SHEIN's Latest Stumble on Journey To London (Or HK?) IPO

<ul>
<li>2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics &amp; transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)</li>
<li>Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have <em>not</em> performed well at all</li>
<li>Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return</li>
</ul>


2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics &amp; transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)
Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have not performed well at all
Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return


2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

Hong Kong

SHEIN Global Holdings Limited manufactures and distributes apparel products. The Company produces casual wear, loungewear, swimwear, sports apparel, and formal dress products. SHEIN Global Holdings conducts businesses in Mainland China and Hong Kong.

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SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)

Shein: London Approves IPO but Tariffs and End Of "De Minimis" Exemption to Lower Valuation

Tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China to US are likely to result in further reduction in the valuation of Shein, much lower...

Douglas Kim

Shein Vs Trump

TL;DR: Trump’s closure of the “de minimis loophole” threatens Shein’s core business of selling Chinese bodysuits and designer dupes into the U.S....

Sacra

SHEIN: Back in India in Alliance with Reliance, Amid Woes in the West

Shein returns to India after a 5-year hiatus with Reliance Retail partnership, eyeing growth in fast fashion market amid US trade challenges.

Devi Subhakesan

Poor Performance Before UK Lawmakers Is SHEIN's Latest Stumble on Journey To London (Or HK?) IPO

Sharp questions about SHEIN's supply chains and a competing product from US ecomm giant Amazon should be added to the growing list of challenges...

Tracking Traffic

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

After 2024 began with raised expectations, actual ECM activity in the Greater China logistics & transportation space disappointed. But there are a...

Tracking Traffic

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Shein: London Approves IPO but Tariffs and End Of "De Minimis" Exemption to Lower Valuation

Tariff war and ending de minimis for shipments from China to US are likely to result in further reduction in the valuation of Shein, much lower...

Douglas Kim

Shein Vs Trump

TL;DR: Trump’s closure of the “de minimis loophole” threatens Shein’s core business of selling Chinese bodysuits and designer dupes into the U.S....

Sacra

SHEIN: Back in India in Alliance with Reliance, Amid Woes in the West

​Shein returns to India after a 5-year hiatus with Reliance Retail partnership, eyeing growth in fast fashion market amid US trade challenges.

Devi Subhakesan

Poor Performance Before UK Lawmakers Is SHEIN's Latest Stumble on Journey To London (Or HK?) IPO

Sharp questions about SHEIN's supply chains and a competing product from US ecomm giant Amazon should be added to the growing list of challenges...

Tracking Traffic

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

After 2024 began with raised expectations, actual ECM activity in the Greater China logistics & transportation space disappointed. But there are a...

Tracking Traffic

Shein returns to India after a 5-year hiatus with Reliance Retail partnership, eyeing growth in fast fashion market amid US trade challenges.