Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index in September.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 1% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 3.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 5bn (US$700m).</li>
<li>Near term performance for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> changes has been great, while the performance of the outright STAR100 Index changes has been far from satisfactory.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 1 change for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index in September.
We estimate turnover of 1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 3.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 5bn (US$700m).
Near term performance for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) changes has been great, while the performance of the outright STAR100 Index changes has been far from satisfactory.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Outright Changes & Migrations

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, QI AN XIN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, JINKO SOLAR, Shengyi Electronics, Qi An Xin Technology, Jinko Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, QI AN XIN TECHNOLOGY, NATIONAL SILICON INDUSTRY, JINKO SOLAR, Shengyi Electronics, Qi An Xin Technology, Jinko Solar.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Sep): LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 12 September.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 6.1% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 23.8bn (US$3.3bn).</li>
<li>There will be huge capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH)</a> following the massive rally in the stock over the last couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the STAR50 INDEX and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 12 September.
We estimate one-way turnover of 6.1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 23.8bn (US$3.3bn).
There will be huge capping outflows for Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH) following the massive rally in the stock over the last couple of months.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Changes & Capping Lead to US$3.3bn Trade

China

Shengyi Electronics Co., Ltd. produces and sells circuit board products. The Company manufactures and sells multilayer printed circuit boards and other products. Shengyi Electronics markets its products primarily throughout China with limited overseas.

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Shengyi Electronics (688183 CH)

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Outright Changes & Migrations

The STAR50/100 forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month, and by a lot. Announcement is at the close on Friday, so...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in SUPCON TECHNOLOGY (688777 CH), SHENGYI ELECTRONICS (688183 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Sep): LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY, TRINA SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in LOONGSON TECHNOLOGY (688047 CH), TRINA SOLAR (688599 CH), Xinjiang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Changes & Capping Lead to US$3.3bn Trade

The STAR50 and STAR100 indices rebalance at the close today. The add is up, the delete is down, and the big capping name sold off hard before...

Brian Freitas

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