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Equity Bottom-Up

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>Cambricon is a leading Chinese AI chip designer, well-positioned to capitalize on the country's push for technological self-sufficiency and the booming domestic AI market.</li>
  <li>The company has demonstrated explosive revenue growth and a significant financial turnaround, achieving profitability in recent quarters after years of substantial investment and losses.</li>
  <li>Despite its strong growth, Cambricon faces significant risks from intense competition with global and domestic players, high valuation multiples, and geopolitical tensions impacting the semiconductor industry.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  Cambricon is a leading Chinese AI chip designer, well-positioned to capitalize on the country's push for technological self-sufficiency and the booming domestic AI market.
  The company has demonstrated explosive revenue growth and a significant financial turnaround, achieving profitability in recent quarters after years of substantial investment and losses.
  Despite its strong growth, Cambricon faces significant risks from intense competition with global and domestic players, high valuation multiples, and geopolitical tensions impacting the semiconductor industry.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Cambricon Technologies  Lt (688256 CH) - Aug 2026

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

CXMT Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cxmt-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44129:1" rel="noopener">CXMT Corporation (688825 CH)</a> concluded its IPO price at Rmb8.66, and we estimate this equals 5x PER for FY26 and 3.4x for FY27.</li>
<li>It is inexpensive relative to global peers, as they are trading at an average of 8.1x and 6.1x, respectively. Normally, A-shares trade at a higher multiple than global peers. </li>
<li>Applying the Hang Seng AH premium on the IPO, there is a 74.5% upside. Aggressively, if GPU companies are used as references, it may even provide a 3x upside.</li>
</ul>



CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) concluded its IPO price at Rmb8.66, and we estimate this equals 5x PER for FY26 and 3.4x for FY27.
It is inexpensive relative to global peers, as they are trading at an average of 8.1x and 6.1x, respectively. Normally, A-shares trade at a higher multiple than global peers. 
Applying the Hang Seng AH premium on the IPO, there is a 74.5% upside. Aggressively, if GPU companies are used as references, it may even provide a 3x upside.


CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) IPO: Valuation Insight

Shanghai Enflame Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-enflame-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50657:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Enflame Technology (ENFLAME CH)</a>, one of the "Four Domestic GPU Little Dragons", has just been approved by the CSRC to list on the STAR market, aiming to raise Rmb6bn.</li>
<li>The company's strengths lie in its comprehensive product portfolio, differentiated architecture (DSA vs. GPGPU), strong shareholder backing, and position for China's AI self-sufficiency.</li>
<li>At 27.1x P/S for FY26 (10% share capital enlargement), Enflame is inexpensive relative to A-share peers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-biren-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39934:1" rel="noopener">Biren Technology (6082 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-iluvatar-corex-semiconductor-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46193:1" rel="noopener">Iluvatar CoreX (9903 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Shanghai Enflame Technology (ENFLAME CH), one of the "Four Domestic GPU Little Dragons", has just been approved by the CSRC to list on the STAR market, aiming to raise Rmb6bn.
The company's strengths lie in its comprehensive product portfolio, differentiated architecture (DSA vs. GPGPU), strong shareholder backing, and position for China's AI self-sufficiency.
At 27.1x P/S for FY26 (10% share capital enlargement), Enflame is inexpensive relative to A-share peers, Biren Technology (6082 HK) and Iluvatar CoreX (9903 HK). 


Shanghai Enflame (燧原科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We have also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>Non-Technology pockets have done well in recent weeks as Technology has consolidated, and we believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29 can continue to work.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).
We have also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our April 23, 2026 Int’l Compass.
Non-Technology pockets have done well in recent weeks as Technology has consolidated, and we believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29 can continue to work.


Technology Is Still in Charge Longer-Term But Rotation Trade Has Legs

China

Cambricon Technologies Corporation Limited develops and distributes software products. The Company produces terminal intelligent processors, cloud intelligent chips, accelerator cards, intelligent computing cluster systems, and other products. Cambricon Technologies also produces computer peripheral products.

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Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH)

Primer: Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH) - Aug 2026

Cambricon is a leading Chinese AI chip designer, well-positioned to capitalize on the country's push for technological self-sufficiency and the...

αSK Primers

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) IPO: Valuation Insight

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) has announced it will start trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's STAR Market next Monday (27 Jul 2026).

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai Enflame (燧原科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

CSRC has just approved Shanghai Enflame Technology's application to list on the STAR market, with an aim of raising Rmb6bn. Its FY26F P/S ratio is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Technology Is Still in Charge Longer-Term But Rotation Trade Has Legs

Technology is Still in Charge Longer-Term, But Rotation Trade Has Legs. We believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

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Primer: Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH) - Aug 2026

Cambricon is a leading Chinese AI chip designer, well-positioned to capitalize on the country's push for technological self-sufficiency and the...

αSK Primers

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) IPO: Valuation Insight

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) has announced it will start trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's STAR Market next Monday (27 Jul 2026).

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai Enflame (燧原科技) Pre-IPO: Key Investment Thesis

CSRC has just approved ​Shanghai Enflame Technology's application to list on the STAR market, with an aim of raising Rmb6bn. Its FY26F P/S ratio is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Technology Is Still in Charge Longer-Term But Rotation Trade Has Legs

Technology is Still in Charge Longer-Term, But Rotation Trade Has Legs. We believe the "rotation trade" that we have been recommending since May 29...

Vermilion Research

CSRC has just approved Shanghai Enflame Technology's application to list on the STAR market, with an aim of raising Rmb6bn. Its FY26F P/S ratio is...