Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>China (MSCI China, Shanghai Comp., Shenzhen A Share) continues to offer many attractive setups and is a major focus in today’s EM Strategy report. Additionally, Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe with the RS uptrend intact. We highlight several attractive set ups.</p>

China (MSCI China, Shanghai Comp., Shenzhen A Share) continues to offer many attractive setups and is a major focus in today’s EM Strategy report. Additionally, Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe with the RS uptrend intact. We highlight several attractive set ups.

EM Strategy and Chartbook: Remain Overweight EM Vs. EAFE

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technlgy / Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technlgy (002709 CH)

<ul>
<li>Tinci is seeking an A+H listing. JPM, CITIC, and GF are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's two core segments: battery materials and daily and specialty chemicals.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's fair value based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Tinci is seeking an A+H listing. JPM, CITIC, and GF are the joint sponsors.
We look at the company's two core segments: battery materials and daily and specialty chemicals.
We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's fair value based on A-H premium.


Tinci (天赐材料) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shenzhen Senior Technology-A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shenzhen Senior is seeking an A+H listing and passed HKEX listing hearing. China Securities (International) is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: coated separators, wet-process separators, and dry-process separators.</li>
<li>We set out our preliminary view on fair value based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Shenzhen Senior is seeking an A+H listing and passed HKEX listing hearing. China Securities (International) is the sole sponsor.
We look at the company's core segments: coated separators, wet-process separators, and dry-process separators.
We set out our preliminary view on fair value based on A-H premium.


Shenzhen Senior (星源材质) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Tinci is the only enterprise in the world that has achieved full self-supply of "liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate - electrolyte" chain.This deep integration ensures supply chain security and reduces production costs. </li>
<li>Tinci enjoys an absolute cost advantage, which is the deepest moat. During the industry downturn, Tinci remained profitable. During the price increase cycle, profit elasticity far exceeded that of peers.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation of Tinci could be lower than the average valuation of comparable A-share companies, but slightly higher than that of some lithium battery material enterprises lacking integrated capabilities.</li>
</ul>


Tinci is the only enterprise in the world that has achieved full self-supply of "liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate - electrolyte" chain.This deep integration ensures supply chain security and reduces production costs. 
Tinci enjoys an absolute cost advantage, which is the deepest moat. During the industry downturn, Tinci remained profitable. During the price increase cycle, profit elasticity far exceeded that of peers.
Reasonable valuation of Tinci could be lower than the average valuation of comparable A-share companies, but slightly higher than that of some lithium battery material enterprises lacking integrated capabilities.


Tinci Materials Technology (A/H Listing) - Cost Advantage Is the Moat to Cope with Industry Cycle

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 10 adds/ 29 deletes for the China global index in February. The actual number of changes will be smaller depending on the review date chosen.</li>
<li>The flow on the forecast adds varies from US$17.5m-US$175m (0.05x-15x ADV) while the flow on the forecast deletes varies from US$14.4m-US$100.4m (0.25x-22.75x ADV).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a> is a potential inclusion to multiple indices in June and there will be much larger passive flows to the stock then.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 10 adds/ 29 deletes for the China global index in February. The actual number of changes will be smaller depending on the review date chosen.
The flow on the forecast adds varies from US$17.5m-US$175m (0.05x-15x ADV) while the flow on the forecast deletes varies from US$14.4m-US$100.4m (0.25x-22.75x ADV).

Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH) is a potential inclusion to multiple indices in June and there will be much larger passive flows to the stock then.


China/HK: Passive Activity Expected Later This Month

China

Shenzhen Capchem Technology Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells electronic chemicals.  The Company's products include electric capacitor chemicals and lithium ion battery chemicals.

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Shenzhen Capchem Technology (300037 CH)

EM Strategy and Chartbook: Remain Overweight EM Vs. EAFE

China (MSCI China, Shanghai Comp., Shenzhen A Share) continues to offer many attractive setups and is a major focus in today’s EM Strategy report....

Vermilion Research

Tinci (天赐材料) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shenzhen-listed Tinci is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shenzhen Senior (星源材质) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shenzhen Senior is seeking an A+H listing. This note covers the company's business, industry context and our early view on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tinci Materials Technology (A/H Listing) - Cost Advantage Is the Moat to Cope with Industry Cycle

Tinci's full self-supply of "liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate - electrolyte" chain offers cost advantage/supply chain security, making it...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China/HK: Passive Activity Expected Later This Month

There could be up to 10 adds/29 deletes for China in Feb. Flow varies from US$14m-175m and impact from 0.05x-22.75x ADV. Bestechnic Shanghai is a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Strategy and Chartbook: Remain Overweight EM Vs. EAFE

China (MSCI China, Shanghai Comp., Shenzhen A Share) continues to offer many attractive setups and is a major focus in today’s EM Strategy report....

Vermilion Research

Tinci (天赐材料) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shenzhen-listed Tinci is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shenzhen Senior (星源材质) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Shenzhen Senior is seeking an A+H listing. This note covers the company's business, industry context and our early view on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tinci Materials Technology (A/H Listing) - Cost Advantage Is the Moat to Cope with Industry Cycle

​Tinci's full self-supply of "liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate - electrolyte" chain offers cost advantage/supply chain security, making it...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China/HK: Passive Activity Expected Later This Month

There could be up to 10 adds/29 deletes for China in Feb. Flow varies from US$14m-175m and impact from 0.05x-22.75x ADV. Bestechnic Shanghai is a...

Brian Freitas

Tinci's full self-supply of "liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate - electrolyte" chain offers cost advantage/supply chain security, making it...