Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Starting 18 March, the current $5,000 purchase limit at the domestic duty free shops will be abolished for the locals.</li>
<li>The removal of the $5,000 purchase limit at duty free shops in Korea should encourage purchase of luxury women's apparel, bags, and cosmetics.</li>
<li>The removal of the purchase limit should help the major duty free operators in Korea including Hotel Shilla (008770 KS) and Shinsegae (004170 KS).  </li>
</ul>


Starting 18 March, the current $5,000 purchase limit at the domestic duty free shops will be abolished for the locals.
The removal of the $5,000 purchase limit at duty free shops in Korea should encourage purchase of luxury women's apparel, bags, and cosmetics.
The removal of the purchase limit should help the major duty free operators in Korea including Hotel Shilla (008770 KS) and Shinsegae (004170 KS).  


Elimination of Purchase Limits at Duty Free Shops in Korea

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 22 February, the KRX announced that LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) will be included in numerous local indices including KOSPI 200, KOSPI 100, and KRX 100 effective 3/11/2022.</li>
<li>This has been widely expected by the market. Due to the inclusion in KOSPI 200, investors will be able to short LG Energy Solution starting 11 March. </li>
<li>Once Dongwon F&amp;B is excluded from the KOSPI 200 index, this could be a key buying opportunity on this stock, given the company's solid fundamentals. </li>
</ul>


On 22 February, the KRX announced that LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) will be included in numerous local indices including KOSPI 200, KOSPI 100, and KRX 100 effective 3/11/2022.
This has been widely expected by the market. Due to the inclusion in KOSPI 200, investors will be able to short LG Energy Solution starting 11 March. 
Once Dongwon F&amp;B is excluded from the KOSPI 200 index, this could be a key buying opportunity on this stock, given the company's solid fundamentals. 


KOSPI 200: LG Energy Solution Inclusion and Dongwon F&B Exclusion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KRX has announced the Fast Entry inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> in the KOSPI200 Index at the close on 10 March. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-f-b-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3274:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a>'s inclusion in the KRX Secondary Battery Index and the BBIG Index should be announced in the next few days. That will add to passive buying.</li>
<li>Local institutions have been buyers on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> since listing while retail and foreign investors have been sellers. There is a biggish lock up expiry coming up.</li>
</ul>


KRX has announced the Fast Entry inclusion of LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) in the KOSPI200 Index at the close on 10 March. Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS) will be deleted.

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)'s inclusion in the KRX Secondary Battery Index and the BBIG Index should be announced in the next few days. That will add to passive buying.
Local institutions have been buyers on LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) since listing while retail and foreign investors have been sellers. There is a biggish lock up expiry coming up.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): LG Energy IN; Dongwon F&B Out

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea has 6 tight sector pairs worth monitoring regularly. Of them, Hyundai Dept/Shinsegae now appears in an extreme diversion at -2.87σ on a 20-day moving average. Their 180-day correlation coefficient is 0.92369.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average"}'>Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-11]C[1]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-11]C[2]'>Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.037739760425131}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>2.04</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.7137569380785163}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>1.71</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.160993227615466}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>2.16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-12]C[3]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-12]C[4]'>LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.4295746334880794}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>1.43</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4296221017317747}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>0.43</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.24660010671563912}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-0.25</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-13]C[5]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-13]C[6]'>Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.099785179684263}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-2.10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.909372721906592}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-0.91</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0407109696616685}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-2.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc."}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-14]C[7]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-14]C[8]'>Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc.</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.09559180069113433}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-0.10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.21251880342441315}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-0.21</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.31044173489418}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-0.31</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-15]C[9]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-15]C[10]'>BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.8212563464223854}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>2.82</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.6113428733650603}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>1.61</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2360588141562515}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>0.24</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-16]C[11]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-16]C[12]'>Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.8654321706876544}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-2.87</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.6015371114013477}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-2.60</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.807722354711979}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-1.81</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">Source: KRX 
</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>The current price ratio is 5.46% below the 180-day average and 17.28% below the 180-day high. What's noteworthy is that the price ratio fell 12.2% only in 9 trading sessions, causing a 4σ movement downwardly for Hyundai Dept.<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/204/512/original/Hyundai+Dept.+vs.+Shinsegae.png?1620244530" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="204512"></figure></section><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 723.636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-49]C[-10]">Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 351.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current price ratio"}'>Current price ratio</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 350.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.28462757527733756}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00000","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$B"&amp;R74C[0])'>0.28463</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 351.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day mean"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>%Δ to 180-day mean</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 350.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.05460355438237345}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$C"&amp;R74C[0])'>-5.46%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 351.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day high"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>%Δ to 180-day high</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 350.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1727905582093986}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$D"&amp;R74C[0])'>-17.28%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 351.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"%Δ to 180-day low"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":4,"2":"[$₩]#,##0"}'>%Δ to 180-day low</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 350.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.0910723718964607}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=indirect("$E"&amp;R74C[0])'>9.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 723.636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Korea has 6 tight sector pairs worth monitoring regularly. Of them, Hyundai Dept/Shinsegae now appears in an extreme diversion at -2.87σ on a 20-day moving average. Their 180-day correlation coefficient is 0.92369.








Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average
Today
T-1
T-2


Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc
2.04
1.71
2.16


LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd
1.43
0.43
-0.25


Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co
-2.10
-0.91
-2.04


Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc.
-0.10
-0.21
-0.31


BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd
2.82
1.61
0.24


Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc
-2.87
-2.60
-1.81

Source: KRX 


The current price ratio is 5.46% below the 180-day average and 17.28% below the 180-day high. What's noteworthy is that the price ratio fell 12.2% only in 9 trading sessions, causing a 4σ movement downwardly for Hyundai Dept.





Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc

Current price ratio
0.28463


%Δ to 180-day mean
-5.46%


%Δ to 180-day high
-17.28%


%Δ to 180-day low
9.11%

Source: KRX



Hyundai Dept & Shinsegae At -2.9σ Due to Duty-Free Factor, but Should Head for Mean Reversion Now

Korea has 6 closely correlated and co-integrated sector pairs. All of them have a +0.8 180-day correlation coefficient. Also, they all have a sufficiently linear 180-day price scattered chart showing the nature of their high cointegration.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" style="width: 723.636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Closely correlated &amp; co-integrated sector pairs in Korea"}'>Closely correlated &amp; co-integrated sector pairs in Korea</td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Ticker</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Name"}'>Name</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"180-day correlation"}'>180-day correlation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd."}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[1]">Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"055550"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-1]C[0]">055550</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KB Financial Group Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[0]">KB Financial Group Inc</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"105560"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-1]C[-1]">105560</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9610517352067552}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('1'!R870C10:R994C10, '1'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.96105</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Uplus Corp"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-3]C[3]">LG Uplus Corp</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"032640"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[2]">032640</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Telecom Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-3]C[2]">SK Telecom Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"017670"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-2]C[1]">017670</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8992786663054949}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('2'!R870C10:R994C10, '2'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.89928</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kia Corp"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-4]C[5]">Kia Corp</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"000270"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-3]C[4]">000270</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor Co"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-4]C[4]">Hyundai Motor Co</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005380"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-3]C[3]">005380</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8668911065680154}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('3'!R870C10:R994C10, '3'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.86689</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-5]C[7]">Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"091990"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-4]C[6]">091990</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion, Inc."}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-5]C[6]">Celltrion, Inc.</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"068270"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-4]C[5]">068270</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.850526307159412}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('4'!R870C10:R994C10, '4'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.85053</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"BGF Retail Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-6]C[9]">BGF Retail Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"282330"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-5]C[8]">282330</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"GS Retail Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-6]C[8]">GS Retail Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"007070"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-5]C[7]">007070</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7760017852780396}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('5'!R870C10:R994C10, '5'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.77600</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 181.818px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-7]C[11]">Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 96.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"069960"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-6]C[10]">069960</td>
<td style="width: 165.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinsegae Inc"}' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-7]C[10]">Shinsegae Inc</td>
<td style="width: 60.9091px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"004170"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]' data-sheets-formula="=Data!R[-6]C[9]">004170</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 135.455px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9327816777063404}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00000",1]' data-sheets-formula="=correl('6'!R870C10:R994C10, '6'!R870C11:R994C11)">0.93278</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" style="width: 723.636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>In the light of the short-selling resumption next week, these sector pairs will likely draw attention.Then, which pair is at an extreme sigma (±2.0σ) on a 20-day moving average? At the last close, three pairs come on the radar.<ol>
<li>Shinhan Financial and KB Financial: +2.16σ</li>
<li>Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor: -2.04σ</li>
<li>Hyundai Department Store and Shinsegae: -1.81σ</li>
</ol><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average"}'>Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Today"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>Today</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-1"}'>T-1</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-2"}'>T-2</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-3"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>T-3</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-4"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>T-4</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"T-5"}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,4,"[$₩]#,##0"]'>T-5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-11]C[1]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-11]C[2]'>Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.160993227615466}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>2.16</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.542772683735228}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>2.54</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.786381555409661}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>1.79</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.1128800501751042}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>1.11</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.181530165798035}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>0.18</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.22641999615163677}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>-0.23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-12]C[3]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-12]C[4]'>LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.24660010671563912}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-0.25</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.10403426571856596}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-0.10</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.6117954095017157}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-1.61</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.6376484979254156}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>-1.64</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.4249128627679264}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>-1.42</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.087684413507805}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>-2.09</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-13]C[5]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-13]C[6]'>Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0407109696616685}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-2.04</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.0025888653486463}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-2.00</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.1695043509161958}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-1.17</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.004698906236027549}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>0.00</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.10273148905333784}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>0.10</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.0802292544899608}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>-1.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc."}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-14]C[7]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-14]C[8]'>Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc.</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.31044173489418}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-0.31</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.7388105592067177}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-0.74</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.0110561898756243}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-1.01</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.0565672498648304}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>-0.06</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.1863196550598434}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>-0.19</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5127886597937376}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>0.51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-15]C[9]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-15]C[10]'>BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2360588141562515}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>0.24</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.102593735245234}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-2.10</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.5568836748773385}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-2.56</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.3214237049099196}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>-2.32</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.024092449046153583}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>-0.02</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.4712110272418423}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>0.47</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 320.909px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc"}' data-sheets-formula='=Data!R[-16]C[11]&amp;"/"&amp;Data!R[-16]C[12]'>Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.807722354711979}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$2")'>-1.81</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 45.4545px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.309293992473888}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$3")'>-2.31</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-2.530789825470454}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$4")'>-2.53</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.733312375711856}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$5")'>-1.73</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-1.3190244950375916}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$6")'>-1.32</td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 46.3636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":-0.03766239765956894}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.00",1]' data-sheets-formula='=indirect(R[0]C8&amp;"!$I$7")'>-0.04</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="7" rowspan="1" style="width: 723.636px;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>Out of these three pairs currently at ±2.0σ, the Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor pair deserves special attention as mean reversion appears already in progress for the other two pairs.

Korea has 6 closely correlated and co-integrated sector pairs. All of them have a +0.8 180-day correlation coefficient. Also, they all have a sufficiently linear 180-day price scattered chart showing the nature of their high cointegration.








Closely correlated &amp; co-integrated sector pairs in Korea

Name
Ticker
Name
Ticker
180-day correlation


Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.
055550
KB Financial Group Inc
105560
0.96105


LG Uplus Corp
032640
SK Telecom Co Ltd
017670
0.89928


Kia Corp
000270
Hyundai Motor Co
005380
0.86689


Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd
091990
Celltrion, Inc.
068270
0.85053


BGF Retail Co Ltd
282330
GS Retail Co Ltd
007070
0.77600


Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd
069960
Shinsegae Inc
004170
0.93278

Source: KRX

In the light of the short-selling resumption next week, these sector pairs will likely draw attention.Then, which pair is at an extreme sigma (±2.0σ) on a 20-day moving average? At the last close, three pairs come on the radar.
Shinhan Financial and KB Financial: +2.16σ
Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor: -2.04σ
Hyundai Department Store and Shinsegae: -1.81σ












Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average
Today
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5


Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd./KB Financial Group Inc
2.16
2.54
1.79
1.11
0.18
-0.23


LG Uplus Corp/SK Telecom Co Ltd
-0.25
-0.10
-1.61
-1.64
-1.42
-2.09


Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor Co
-2.04
-2.00
-1.17
0.00
0.10
-1.08


Celltrion HealthCare Co Ltd/Celltrion, Inc.
-0.31
-0.74
-1.01
-0.06
-0.19
0.51


BGF Retail Co Ltd/GS Retail Co Ltd
0.24
-2.10
-2.56
-2.32
-0.02
0.47


Hyundai Department Store Co Ltd/Shinsegae Inc
-1.81
-2.31
-2.53
-1.73
-1.32
-0.04

Source: KRX

Out of these three pairs currently at ±2.0σ, the Kia Corp/Hyundai Motor pair deserves special attention as mean reversion appears already in progress for the other two pairs.

Korea Pair Trade Idea: 6 Closely Correlated & Cointegrated Sector Pairs

South Korea

Shinsegae Co., Ltd. operates department stores in South Korea.  The Company retails food, clothing, household goods, electronics, and other items through several branch stores.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shinsegae (004170 KS)

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Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)