Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Value investor- India mid & small caps

Bhaskar Chakraborty

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Consumer loan applications recoverIndian consumers seem to have recovered some of their strides after the jolt of demonetization in November 2016. The period of November-December 2016 saw a 60% YoY decline in consumer durable loan applications, a 43% decline in 2-Wheeler loan applications, a 27% decline in home loan applications and a 23% decline in personal loan applications (Source: TransUnion CIBIL). However, consumer credit inquiries have rebounded at a healthy 25% YoY in January and 15% YoY…

Consumer loan applications recoverIndian consumers seem to have recovered some of their strides after the jolt of demonetization in November 2016. The period of November-December 2016 saw a 60% YoY decline in consumer durable loan applications, a 43% decline in 2-Wheeler loan applications, a 27% decline in home loan applications and a 23% decline in personal loan applications (Source: TransUnion CIBIL). However, consumer credit inquiries have rebounded at a healthy 25% YoY in January and 15% YoY…

India Consumer Discretionary: On-The-Ground Signals of Growth Rebound

India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years, Das Capital Management and Advisors

Arun Thirumalai

India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years

Das Capital Management and Advisors

Das Capital is a research boutique with an aim to continuously map and plan the investment needs of investors focused on India. We have a six member research team with a combined experience of over 40 years as a part of our investment wing. Our team assisted in the setup of Premji Investments, which was one of India’s first family offices focused to managing Mr.Azim Premji personal wealth. We also serve as a research team to two Indian private equity energy funds “Small is Beautiful” and “KSK Emerging India Energy Fund”.

<div class="content-highlight"><h2>Market Overview</h2></div>The S&amp;P BSE Sensex and CNX NIFTY rose 2.1% and 3.4% respectively from 14 Feb-14March 2017.<ul>
<li>The market witnessed a steady rise post budget as fears of an extension of holding period for long-term capital gains in Budget 2017 proved unfounded. The Government kept the fiscal deficit target of FY18 at 3.2%, a positive signal for markets.</li>
<li>The rally was further accentuated post a massive win for the Bharatiya Janata Party in the states of Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Winning a major…</li>
</ul>

Market OverviewThe S&amp;P BSE Sensex and CNX NIFTY rose 2.1% and 3.4% respectively from 14 Feb-14March 2017.
The market witnessed a steady rise post budget as fears of an extension of holding period for long-term capital gains in Budget 2017 proved unfounded. The Government kept the fiscal deficit target of FY18 at 3.2%, a positive signal for markets.
The rally was further accentuated post a massive win for the Bharatiya Janata Party in the states of Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Winning a major…


Market Outlook- Massive Victory for BJP in State Elections to Accentuate Reforms

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6 million households, feature phones too are making a strong drive into the hands of consumers in India, especially in rural areas where wireless teledensity is a low 52.84 compared to 165.04 in urban India. According to Speeda, the Indian mobile phone market is predominantly a feature phone market with smartphones making up for only 39.7% of handset sales…

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6 million households, feature phones too are making a strong drive into the hands of consumers in India, especially in rural areas where wireless teledensity is a low 52.84 compared to 165.04 in urban India. According to Speeda, the Indian mobile phone market is predominantly a feature phone market with smartphones making up for only 39.7% of handset sales…

Feature Phones Dominate Sales Even as India Enters Age Where "Data Is the New Oil"

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home) providers into the limelight. But rising prices could put pressure on consumers who now have the opportunity to substitute DTH with other cord-cutters. Will broadband and OTT (over-the-top) operators disrupt the DTH market in India?DetailDTH Subscribers Capitalise on Digitisation of Cable TV in IndiaThe Indian DTH (Direct-to-Home) market is the largest in…

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home) providers into the limelight. But rising prices could put pressure on consumers who now have the opportunity to substitute DTH with other cord-cutters. Will broadband and OTT (over-the-top) operators disrupt the DTH market in India?DetailDTH Subscribers Capitalise on Digitisation of Cable TV in IndiaThe Indian DTH (Direct-to-Home) market is the largest in…

Cable TV Digitisation in India: Growth of Broadband Users Unlikely to Lead to Cord-Cutting of DTH

India

Shoppers Stop is a leading Indian retailer that operates department stores, specialty beauty outlets, and value fashion formats, focusing on a "premiumisation" strategy. The company offers a wide range of household and consumer products, including apparel, cosmetics, personal accessories, home wares, and electronics, and distributes international beauty brands. Shoppers Stop was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

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Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the...

Vermilion Research

India Consumer Discretionary: On-The-Ground Signals of Growth Rebound

Consumer loan applications recoverIndian consumers seem to have recovered some of their strides after the jolt of demonetization in November 2016....

Bhaskar Chakraborty

Market Outlook- Massive Victory for BJP in State Elections to Accentuate Reforms

Market OverviewThe S&P BSE Sensex and CNX NIFTY rose 2.1% and 3.4% respectively from 14 Feb-14March 2017. The market witnessed a steady rise...

Das Capital Management and Advisors

Feature Phones Dominate Sales Even as India Enters Age Where "Data Is the New Oil"

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6...

Speeda Research

Cable TV Digitisation in India: Growth of Broadband Users Unlikely to Lead to Cord-Cutting of DTH

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home)...

Speeda Research

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