Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Shougang Fushan Resources / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We preview <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a> earnings for FY23. We expect revenue /profit growth of -15%/12% YoY with H2FY23 revenue/profit -1.7%/2.3% YoY due to lower coking coal prices.</li>
<li>We expect the company to pay an FY23 dividend of 36 HKD cents, implying an 11.3% yield. At the current spot price, the implied yield is 11.3%. </li>
<li>The company's balance sheet is rich in cash, with more than a billion USD (~50% of market capitalization). However, we are skeptical that the company will pay big special dividends. </li>
</ul>


We preview Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) earnings for FY23. We expect revenue /profit growth of -15%/12% YoY with H2FY23 revenue/profit -1.7%/2.3% YoY due to lower coking coal prices.
We expect the company to pay an FY23 dividend of 36 HKD cents, implying an 11.3% yield. At the current spot price, the implied yield is 11.3%. 
The company's balance sheet is rich in cash, with more than a billion USD (~50% of market capitalization). However, we are skeptical that the company will pay big special dividends. 


Shougang Fushan Resource (639 HK): FY23 Earnings, 11% Dividend Yield With ~50% of Mkt Cap in Cash

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a> energy, a pure play on high coking coal prices, now trades at 5.7x FY24 PE (1.5x EV-EBITDA), assuming 2,200 RMB/ton prices (vs spot 2500). </li>
<li>The company has ~7.5 bn HKD of net cash (on H12023), representing 50% of the market cap despite conducting a recent buyback of 5% and paying all its outstanding dividends/taxes. </li>
<li>With an 80% payout, we can also expect a dividend yield of 14% for FY24 if prices average 2200 RMB/ton.  </li>
</ul>



Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) energy, a pure play on high coking coal prices, now trades at 5.7x FY24 PE (1.5x EV-EBITDA), assuming 2,200 RMB/ton prices (vs spot 2500). 
The company has ~7.5 bn HKD of net cash (on H12023), representing 50% of the market cap despite conducting a recent buyback of 5% and paying all its outstanding dividends/taxes. 
With an 80% payout, we can also expect a dividend yield of 14% for FY24 if prices average 2200 RMB/ton.  


Fushan Energy: Coking Coal Prices High and Dividend Yield >10% with ~50% of Mkt Cap in Cash

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC, Innovent Biologics, CCB, Sunac China.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC, Innovent Biologics, CCB, Sunac China.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 15th): ICBC, Innovent Biologics, CCB, Sunac China

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40028:1" rel="noopener">Integral Corporation (5842 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Doosan Robotics (454910 KS), ARM Holdings (1822695D US), Integral Corporation (5842 JP) and S.F. Holding (002352 CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP), Eoflow (294090 KS), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).  


Weekly Deals Digest (03 Sep) - JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Doosan Robotics, ARM, Integral Corp

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Marginal float helped fuel the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a> bubble. Then it popped. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.</li>
<li>The backlash against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-cm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36658:1" rel="noopener">Star CM Holdings (6698 HK)</a> calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.</li>
</ul>


Marginal float helped fuel the VinFast (VFS US) bubble. Then it popped. 
The Prosus (PRX NA)/Naspers (NPN SJ) Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.
The backlash against Star CM Holdings (6698 HK) calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

Hong Kong

Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd. produces and sells coking coal products and side products in China. The Company is principally engaged in mining of coking coal and production and sales of raw and clean coking coal,

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Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)

Shougang Fushan Resource (639 HK): FY23 Earnings, 11% Dividend Yield With ~50% of Mkt Cap in Cash

We summarize our expectations for 639 HK ( Shougang Fushan Resources ). The stock trades at an 11.3% dividend yield on our estimated FY23 earnings...

Sameer Taneja

Fushan Energy: Coking Coal Prices High and Dividend Yield >10% with ~50% of Mkt Cap in Cash

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) energy, a pure play on high coking coal prices, now trades at 5.7x FY24 PE (1.5x EV-EBITDA), assuming 2,200 RMB...

Sameer Taneja

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 15th): ICBC, Innovent Biologics, CCB, Sunac China

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC, Innovent Biologics, CCB, Sunac China.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Sep) - JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Doosan Robotics, ARM, Integral Corp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (JSR, Seiko PMC, Eoflow, ENM, Shougang Fushan, Costa, Symbio, Musgrave) and ECM (Doosan...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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