External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within exports, favorable currency, and lower staff costs</li><li>Domestic 2W demand has failed to revive in H1 and the outlook for H2 remains weak, given the erratic rainfall which has hurt rural sentiment</li><li>Also, while inventory destocking with distributors in key export markets is now over, demand from Africa is likely to remain tepid, given: 1) sharp devaluation of Naira relative to USD; 2) lack of adequate availability of USD in some markets; 3) government’s proposal of putting a blanket ban on motorcycles in Nigeria</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Auto: BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within exports, favorable currency, and lower staff costsDomestic 2W demand has failed to revive in H1 and the outlook for H2 remains weak, given the erratic rainfall which has hurt rural sentimentAlso, while inventory destocking with distributors in key export markets is now over, demand from Africa is likely to remain tepid, given: 1) sharp devaluation of Naira relative to USD; 2) lack of adequate availability of USD in some markets; 3) government’s proposal of putting a blanket ban on motorcycles in NigeriaContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Shree Cement, Tata Elxsi, Federal Bank

<ul><li>Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver 8% YoY volume growth (three-year CAGR: 8%) in Q2FY23</li><li>We estimate average utilisation of ~71% vs 78/70% QoQ/YoY. In our view, cement prices fell ~3% QoQ on pan-India basis in Q2</li><li>Prices fell 5-6% QoQ each in north and central regions, 3-4% each in east and west regions and ~1-2% in south</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver 8% YoY volume growth (three-year CAGR: 8%) in Q2FY23We estimate average utilisation of ~71% vs 78/70% QoQ/YoY. In our view, cement prices fell ~3% QoQ on pan-India basis in Q2Prices fell 5-6% QoQ each in north and central regions, 3-4% each in east and west regions and ~1-2% in southContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Healthy offtake; costs to peak out in Q2

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Traditionally Q2 is a soft quarter for cement producers from a demand perspective as it nosedives owing to the monsoon season impacting construction activities.</li><li>In Q2FY23, the cement companies witnessed soft demand in Jul’22 and Aug’22 but saw demand reviving strongly in Sep’22, driven by higher retail as well as institutional demand.</li><li>Institutional demand was more robust led by increasing construction activity after the receding monsoon.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Traditionally Q2 is a soft quarter for cement producers from a demand perspective as it nosedives owing to the monsoon season impacting construction activities.In Q2FY23, the cement companies witnessed soft demand in Jul’22 and Aug’22 but saw demand reviving strongly in Sep’22, driven by higher retail as well as institutional demand.Institutional demand was more robust led by increasing construction activity after the receding monsoon.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Q2fy23 Preview - Recovery on Cards Despite a Weak Quarter

<div><div><div><ul><li>High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.</li><li>Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.</li><li>Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div>

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizations</li><li>The trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.</li><li>The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizationsThe trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

India

Shree Cement Ltd. manufactures cement and cement products. The Company sells its products primarily in Northern India under its own brand names.

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Shree Cement (SRCM IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Shree Cement, Tata Elxsi, Federal Bank

BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Healthy offtake; costs to peak out in Q2

Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver 8% YoY volume growth (three-year...

HDFC Securities

Cement Q2fy23 Preview - Recovery on Cards Despite a Weak Quarter

Traditionally Q2 is a soft quarter for cement producers from a demand perspective as it nosedives owing to the monsoon season impacting...

Axis Direct

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.

HDFC Securities

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

1QFY23 earnings for the cement sector will be muted as we expect margin pressure to continue in the near term due to higher operating costs,...

Nirmal Bang

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