Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend cutting loss on MOSHI after its holding-period return dropped –6.2%, breaching the threshold.</li><li>Selling pressure in commerce stocks (M, MOSHI) pulled the portfolio’s average return down 0.09% from the previous day, lagging the SET, which rose 0.90%.</li><li>KTX’s Tactical Picks portfolio is constructed within SET100 Index constituents.</li></ul>

We recommend cutting loss on MOSHI after its holding-period return dropped –6.2%, breaching the threshold.Selling pressure in commerce stocks (M, MOSHI) pulled the portfolio’s average return down 0.09% from the previous day, lagging the SET, which rose 0.90%.KTX’s Tactical Picks portfolio is constructed within SET100 Index constituents.

KTX Tactical Picks - October 2, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul><li>The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.</li><li>Buying from broker proprietary accounts introduced some volatility, but the index was lifted by a rotation in blue-chip stocks while selling pressure stayed light.</li><li>However, with light volume and the need for stronger fund inflows, the index remains volatile.</li></ul>

The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.Buying from broker proprietary accounts introduced some volatility, but the index was lifted by a rotation in blue-chip stocks while selling pressure stayed light.However, with light volume and the need for stronger fund inflows, the index remains volatile.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 30, 2025

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to trade sideways today, with the support at 1,284/1,270 and the resistance at 1,300/1,316.</li><li>US equities closed higher (S&amp;P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.</li><li>Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on the long-term foreign-currency issuer default ratings (IDRs) of five Thai banks—EXIM, KTB, TTB, Standard Chartered (Thai), and UOB (Thai)—to Negative from Stable.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to trade sideways today, with the support at 1,284/1,270 and the resistance at 1,300/1,316.US equities closed higher (S&amp;P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook on the long-term foreign-currency issuer default ratings (IDRs) of five Thai banks—EXIM, KTB, TTB, Standard Chartered (Thai), and UOB (Thai)—to Negative from Stable.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 30, 2025

<ul><li>For the six banks under our coverage, we estimate combined net profit of Bt42bn in 3Q25E (–4.3% YoY, –7.0% QoQ).</li><li>Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and equity market recovery.</li><li>We maintain our “Neutral” sector weighting, as 3Q25E earnings are unlikely to stand out given weaker loans and NIM.</li></ul>

For the six banks under our coverage, we estimate combined net profit of Bt42bn in 3Q25E (–4.3% YoY, –7.0% QoQ).Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and equity market recovery.We maintain our “Neutral” sector weighting, as 3Q25E earnings are unlikely to stand out given weaker loans and NIM.

Banking Sector 3Q25E Profit Outlook Pressured By Loans And NIM - Neutral

<ul><li>The SET advanced for a second consecutive day, supported by two straight sessions of foreign investor buying.</li><li>The index regained a positive pattern after breaking above the resistance at 1,284 points, signaling a reversal that supports further gains.</li><li>We expect the index to continue climbing toward the 1,300-point target.</li></ul>

The SET advanced for a second consecutive day, supported by two straight sessions of foreign investor buying.The index regained a positive pattern after breaking above the resistance at 1,284 points, signaling a reversal that supports further gains.We expect the index to continue climbing toward the 1,300-point target.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 26, 2025

Thailand

SCB X Public Company Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers accounts, loans, cards, deposits, insurance, investment, payment, digital banking, and other related services. SCB X serves customers worldwide.

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Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)

KTX Tactical Picks - October 2, 2025 (Eng.)

Selling pressure in commerce stocks (M, MOSHI) pulled the portfolio’s average return down 0.09% from the previous day, lagging the SET, which rose...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 30, 2025

The SET rebounded following the government’s policy statement and in line with most Asian bourses that advanced after the Dow Jones.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 30, 2025

US equities closed higher (S&P500 +0.26%, NASDAQ +0.48%), supported by the PCE Price Index coming in line with expectations.

Krungthai XSpring

Banking Sector 3Q25E Profit Outlook Pressured By Loans And NIM - Neutral

Net interest income (NII) is expected to decline, weighed down by loan contraction and lower NIM, while non-NII should rise on investment gains and...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. September 26, 2025

The index regained a positive pattern after breaking above the resistance at 1,284 points, signaling a reversal that supports further gains.

Krungthai XSpring

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