Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After a prolonged slump characterized by growth saturation and a drowsy economy, Thailand’s consumption-driven stocks should enter a phase of recovery.</li><li>We expect a favorable accumulation window through October, leading into the earnings preview period for 3Q25E results, which should mark the seasonal bottom.</li><li>Valuations remain broadly attractive following a significant de-rating since 2023. </li></ul>

After a prolonged slump characterized by growth saturation and a drowsy economy, Thailand’s consumption-driven stocks should enter a phase of recovery.We expect a favorable accumulation window through October, leading into the earnings preview period for 3Q25E results, which should mark the seasonal bottom.Valuations remain broadly attractive following a significant de-rating since 2023. 

Special Report: Turning the Corner on the Consumption Slowdown - July 18, 2025

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 4th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Dusit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 4th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Dusit.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit

<ul><li>SSSG momentum remains weak, while domestic political uncertainty poses risks of delays in government investment disbursements.</li><li>The property market continues to be sluggish, and the upcoming minimum wage hike adds further pressure.</li><li>As a result, we have revised down our 2025-27E earnings forecasts for the home improvement retail segment by an average of 26% per year, resulting in a flat earnings outlook for the sector over the next three years. </li></ul>

SSSG momentum remains weak, while domestic political uncertainty poses risks of delays in government investment disbursements.The property market continues to be sluggish, and the upcoming minimum wage hike adds further pressure.As a result, we have revised down our 2025-27E earnings forecasts for the home improvement retail segment by an average of 26% per year, resulting in a flat earnings outlook for the sector over the next three years. 

Commerce (Retail Business) - JULY 1, 2025

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 20th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 20th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, there will be 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the close on 30 June.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>Positioning appears to be a lot smaller in the adds compared to the deletes. There could be buying in the deletes on a drop in the stock price.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, there will be 4 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the close on 30 June.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
Positioning appears to be a lot smaller in the adds compared to the deletes. There could be buying in the deletes on a drop in the stock price.


SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

Thailand

Siam Global House PCL is a retailer of home related products for construction, repair, decoration, and renovation. The Company sells construction materials, hand tools, furniture, and garden tools.

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Siam Global House (GLOBAL TB)

Special Report: Turning the Corner on the Consumption Slowdown - July 18, 2025

After a prolonged slump characterized by growth saturation and a drowsy economy, Thailand’s consumption-driven stocks should enter a phase of...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Commerce (Retail Business) - JULY 1, 2025

SSSG momentum remains weak, while domestic political uncertainty poses risks of delays in government investment disbursements.

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor International

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Scb X, Cp Foods, Minor...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

There are 4 changes, plus DELTA capping. Impact on the adds is bigger and positioning appears smaller. The deletes are down a lot and there could...

Brian Freitas

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