HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.</li>
<li>Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.</li>
<li>United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.
Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.
United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.


China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Ind. (669 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> have a very high reliance on the US market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vtech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18812:1" rel="noopener">Vtech Hldgs (303 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK)</a> ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. </li>
<li>The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK), Techtronic Ind. (669 HK), Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK), and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) have a very high reliance on the US market.

Vtech Hldgs (303 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK) ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. 
The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like Orient Overseas International (316 HK) and Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK).


China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Sichuan Kelun-Biotech announces Phase 3 trial success for ADC-Keytruda combination therapy in first-line lung cancer. ImmuneOnco received Phase 3 trial approval for IMM0306 lenalidomide combination for follicular lymphoma in China.</li>
<li>Otsuka received FDA accelerated approval of Voyxact for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. Eisai has completed FDA submission of Leqembi Iqlik subcutaneous autoinjector as a weekly starting dose for early Alzheimer’s disease.</li>
<li>Alteogen secures $15M milestone payment from Merck as Keytruda subcutaneous formulation gets EU approval. SK Biopharmaceuticals in-licenses second radiopharmaceutical candidate, which has potential to target clear cell renal cell carcinoma.  </li>
</ul>


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech announces Phase 3 trial success for ADC-Keytruda combination therapy in first-line lung cancer. ImmuneOnco received Phase 3 trial approval for IMM0306 lenalidomide combination for follicular lymphoma in China.
Otsuka received FDA accelerated approval of Voyxact for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. Eisai has completed FDA submission of Leqembi Iqlik subcutaneous autoinjector as a weekly starting dose for early Alzheimer’s disease.
Alteogen secures $15M milestone payment from Merck as Keytruda subcutaneous formulation gets EU approval. SK Biopharmaceuticals in-licenses second radiopharmaceutical candidate, which has potential to target clear cell renal cell carcinoma.  


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 30) – Kelun Bio, ImmuneOnco, Otsuka, Eisai, Alteogen, SK Biopharma

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>For secondary-market investors, aligning with established technology pathways offers greater clarity and comfort than speculating on new business development deals from Chinese firms.</li>
<li>As IPOs of biotechs in HK increase crazily in 2025, it has led companies to overly pursue stock trading, share reduction and exit.We suggest investors remain rational about healthcare IPOs.  </li>
<li>The valuation/IPO pricing of Biokin is too high. Recent poor performance of A/H shares after IPO has already intensified concerns. This could be the reason for the delay of IPO.</li>
</ul>


For secondary-market investors, aligning with established technology pathways offers greater clarity and comfort than speculating on new business development deals from Chinese firms.
As IPOs of biotechs in HK increase crazily in 2025, it has led companies to overly pursue stock trading, share reduction and exit.We suggest investors remain rational about healthcare IPOs.  
The valuation/IPO pricing of Biokin is too high. Recent poor performance of A/H shares after IPO has already intensified concerns. This could be the reason for the delay of IPO.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.16) - Crazy Healthcare IPOs, Don't Bet on BD, Biokin HK IPO Delayed

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chairman of the Board Zhu Yi hopes to build Biokin into an MNC with the success of BL-B01D1.In other words, Zhu Yi is prepared to bet all on this product.</li>
<li>Biokin’s valuation should be lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a>, but higher than RemeGen. If BL-B01D1’s development is successful, Biokin’s future valuation ceiling will be higher than Kelun Bio.  </li>
<li>Global peak sales revenue share of BL-B01D1 could reach approximately RMB20 billion. If based on P/S of 5x, market value is RMB100 billion. So, there's bubble in valuation in A-share.</li>
</ul>


Chairman of the Board Zhu Yi hopes to build Biokin into an MNC with the success of BL-B01D1.In other words, Zhu Yi is prepared to bet all on this product.
Biokin’s valuation should be lower than Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK), but higher than RemeGen. If BL-B01D1’s development is successful, Biokin’s future valuation ceiling will be higher than Kelun Bio.  
Global peak sales revenue share of BL-B01D1 could reach approximately RMB20 billion. If based on P/S of 5x, market value is RMB100 billion. So, there's bubble in valuation in A-share.


Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

China

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops and provides biological drugs, chemical raw materials, antibody conjugating drugs, innovative drugs, and other products. Kelun Biotech also operates import and export businesses.

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Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 30) – Kelun Bio, ImmuneOnco, Otsuka, Eisai, Alteogen, SK Biopharma

Kelun Bio announces Phase 3 trial success for ADC-Keytruda combo in first-line lung cancer. Otsuka got FDA approval for IgAN drug. Alteogen secures...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.16) - Crazy Healthcare IPOs, Don't Bet on BD, Biokin HK IPO Delayed

Investors're advised to focus on technical route over new BD deals from Chinese companies. Investors need to remain rational about healthcare...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Biokin’s high-end IPO pricing (HK$389) shows a premium over A-shares (RMB352.3). Lower-end pricing (HK$347.5) is only discounted by 10%, far lower...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

​Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 30) – Kelun Bio, ImmuneOnco, Otsuka, Eisai, Alteogen, SK Biopharma

Kelun Bio announces Phase 3 trial success for ADC-Keytruda combo in first-line lung cancer. Otsuka got FDA approval for IgAN drug. Alteogen secures...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.16) - Crazy Healthcare IPOs, Don't Bet on BD, Biokin HK IPO Delayed

​Investors're advised to focus on technical route over new BD deals from Chinese companies. Investors need to remain rational about healthcare...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Biokin’s high-end IPO pricing (HK$389) shows a premium over A-shares (RMB352.3). Lower-end pricing (HK$347.5) is only discounted by 10%, far lower...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Investors're advised to focus on technical route over new BD deals from Chinese companies. Investors need to remain rational about healthcare...