Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

<ul>
<li>The NMPA has issued a draft regulation about rare diseases, which would have a profound impact. Investors are advised to follow this field as policy becomes more friendly.</li>
<li>After continuous corrections, many investors are wondering if the healthcare sector has reached bottom. We analyzed our thoughts and judgement.</li>
<li>Let's have a look at the lockdown in China from a different angle. The zero-COVID policy could make economic sense. The “travails” are significant for the coming economic crisis.</li>
</ul>


The NMPA has issued a draft regulation about rare diseases, which would have a profound impact. Investors are advised to follow this field as policy becomes more friendly.
After continuous corrections, many investors are wondering if the healthcare sector has reached bottom. We analyzed our thoughts and judgement.
Let's have a look at the lockdown in China from a different angle. The zero-COVID policy could make economic sense. The “travails” are significant for the coming economic crisis.


China Healthcare Weekly (May20)-Lockdown Impact on Macro Economy, Bottom Signal? Rare Disease Policy

<ul>
<li>Last week, the 7th national volume-based purchase (VBP) began, involving 208 product specifications and 59 varieties.</li>
<li>We summaries the competitive landscape and outlook of both domestic and foreign pharmaceutical companies in this VBP.</li>
<li>Most investors may not have experienced July 22, 2015, so there is no reason to dismiss the prospects of China's healthcare industry because of the correction in the short term. </li>
</ul>


Last week, the 7th national volume-based purchase (VBP) began, involving 208 product specifications and 59 varieties.
We summaries the competitive landscape and outlook of both domestic and foreign pharmaceutical companies in this VBP.
Most investors may not have experienced July 22, 2015, so there is no reason to dismiss the prospects of China's healthcare industry because of the correction in the short term. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.28) - 7th National VBP, Taking History as a Mirror, Confidence Rebuilt

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Last week, the results of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) were released.</li>
<li>A new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints was released, and the selection rules were relatively mild.</li>
<li>Recently, China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) released the "2020 Annual Drug Evaluation Report". 
</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, Fosun Kite and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchmed-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:133:1" rel="noopener">Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)</a>. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.19%, while CSI 300 increased 2.69% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Last week, the results of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) were released.
A new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints was released, and the selection rules were relatively mild.
Recently, China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) released the "2020 Annual Drug Evaluation Report". 

Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), Fosun Kite and Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK). Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.19%, while CSI 300 increased 2.69% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. manufactures pharmaceutical products. The Company's products include large infusion products, tablets, capsules, antibiotic injection, lyophilized powder for injection, and traditional Chinese medicine.

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Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical (002422 CH)

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

The policy about subsidy for VBP is a positive sign for innovation. NMPA is unpredictable, increasing the uncertainty of drug approval. Here's what...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May20)-Lockdown Impact on Macro Economy, Bottom Signal? Rare Disease Policy

The lockdown could make economic sense, which is significant for coming economic crisis;We analyzed the bottom signal of biotech/CXO/medical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.28) - 7th National VBP, Taking History as a Mirror, Confidence Rebuilt

We analyzed the competitive landscape of 7th national VBP. Taking history as a mirror, the 2015 healthcare reform could be a good reference.So,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.25)

This article analyzed the results of 5th national volume-based purchase, the new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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